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Michael Hakes
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1521
#611
Peak
1651
October 2022
Record
61W · 32L · 13D
Last
October 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
1225
#1,247
Peak
1233
October 2025
Record
6W · 8L · 2D
Last
October 2025
Scout analysis
Longsword
61W · 32L · 13D (58%)
Longsword
61W · 32L · 13D (58%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 42% vs older 74%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 42% vs older 74%
Record: 61W · 32L · 13D (58%)
Recent half (53 fights): 42%
Older half (53 fights): 74%
Delta: -32%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 106 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-10.8 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-10.8 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 3
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 9
Over/under vs expectation:
-10.8
(44 actual / 54.8 expected, n=86)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
4 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
4 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.91
Avg exchanges / match: 5.3
Doubles / match: 0.5
First scorer rate: 50%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 50%
Stage
Balanced
Pool 69% · Elim 50%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 69% · Elim 50%
Pool stage: 57W · 26L (69%)
Elimination: 4W · 4L (50%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
130 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
130 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1521
Peak rating: 1651 (October 2022)
Gap to peak: -130
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
36W · 17L · 4D
(63%)
-4.2 vs expectation
(n=50)
avg opponent 1365
Mixed Steel Longsword (Pools)
12W · 5L · 3D
(60%)
-3.3 vs expectation
(n=12)
avg opponent 1246
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier A)
5W · 9L · 4D
(28%)
-2.4 vs expectation
(n=18)
avg opponent 1606
+11 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Mixed Weapon
13W · 15L · 3D (42%)
Mixed Weapon
13W · 15L · 3D (42%)
Form
Rising
Recent 53% vs older 33%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 53% vs older 33%
Record: 13W · 15L · 3D (42%)
Recent half (15 fights): 53%
Older half (15 fights): 33%
Delta: +20%
Current streak: 4 Wins
Based on 31 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 48%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 48%
Pool stage: 13W · 14L (48%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Smallsword
9W · 7L · 1D (53%)
Smallsword
9W · 7L · 1D (53%)
Form
Rising
Recent 63% vs older 50%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 63% vs older 50%
Record: 9W · 7L · 1D (53%)
Recent half (8 fights): 63%
Older half (8 fights): 50%
Delta: +13%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 17 recorded smallsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 60%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 60%
Pool stage: 9W · 6L (60%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sabre
6W · 8L · 2D (38%)
Sabre
6W · 8L · 2D (38%)
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 25%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 25%
Record: 6W · 8L · 2D (38%)
Recent half (8 fights): 50%
Older half (8 fights): 25%
Delta: +25%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 16 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 43%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 43%
Pool stage: 6W · 8L (43%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1225
Peak rating: 1233 (October 2025)
Gap to peak: -8
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Messer
8W · 6L · 2D (50%)
Messer
8W · 6L · 2D (50%)
Form
Steady
Recent 50% vs older 50%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 50% vs older 50%
Record: 8W · 6L · 2D (50%)
Recent half (8 fights): 50%
Older half (8 fights): 50%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 16 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
4 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
4 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 2.25
Avg exchanges / match: 4.5
Doubles / match: 1.75
First scorer rate: 25%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 67%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Balanced
Pool 50% · Elim 67%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 50% · Elim 67%
Pool stage: 5W · 5L (50%)
Elimination: 2W · 1L (67%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Dagger
5W · 4L · 1D (50%)
Dagger
5W · 4L · 1D (50%)
Form
Rising
Recent 60% vs older 40%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 60% vs older 40%
Record: 5W · 4L · 1D (50%)
Recent half (5 fights): 60%
Older half (5 fights): 40%
Delta: +20%
Current streak: 3 Wins
Based on 10 recorded dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 57%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 57%
Pool stage: 4W · 3L (57%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Other
4W · 1L (80%)
Other
4W · 1L (80%)
Form
Building
80% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
80% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 4W · 1L (80%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Wins
Based on 5 recorded fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
6 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
6 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.61
Avg exchanges / match: 4.8
Doubles / match: 0.17
First scorer rate: 33%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 25%
Comeback wins (was behind): 75%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 80%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 80%
Pool stage: 4W · 1L (80%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
11 events · us · 4.1 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
11 events · us · 4.1 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 11
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 49
Fights / year: 49.2
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
(95)
- Christopher Yang●
- Zeke Rozell●
- Alan Beck●
- Kim Sheely●
- Derek Nash●
- Ryan Hetchler●
- Jeremy Pace●
- Caelyn Hamilton●
- Dario Pewett●
- Micaiah Elliott●
- Dawn English●
- Garrett Baker●
- Kyle Toelle●
- Ann Pace●
- Jacob McDonald●
- Jonathan Marshall●
- Brian Owens●
- Amy Belcher●
- Caleb Raney●
- Micala Newland●
- Darrell Vannostran●
- Gabriel Lord●
- Christopher Davis●
- Caleb Hetchler●
- Nathan Cody●
- Jim Dan●
- Ronan Davis●
- John Bryant●
- Michael Worthy●
- Alyssa Diamond●
- Zac Jensen●
- Sam Starrett●
- Jasmin Martin●
- Kelsey Moran●
- Blaise Simpson●
- James Brasefield●
- Rowen Pace●
- Brent Leist●
- Hanna Olstad●
- Michael Freeland●
- Daniel Saunders●
- Solomon Smallwood●
- Joe Anthony●
- Marcello Buono●
- Dirk Yarker●
- Sam Walter●
- Kyle Penwright●
- Brendan Vinson●
- Zeke Benson●
- Christopher Geiger●
- Geoff Wilkerson●
- John Paul Bugos●
- James Olsson●
- Preston Parks●
- Edward Tucker●
- Kevin Clayton●
- Artemis Epstein●
- Joseph Blair●
- Brandon Green●
- Corben Chagnon●
- John Schading●
- Maxwell Bowling●
- Crispin Hasley●
- Christiana Zipay●
- Jeff Sorenson●
- Sarah Schulte●
- Adam Boretos●
- Nathan Reynolds●
- Patrick Chagnon●
- Cade Johnson●
- Shawn Coleman●
- Autumyn Williams●
- Denver Reese●
- Alexander Anderson●
- Daven Chagnon●
- Jasmine Rodriguez●
- Leeda Copley●
- Levin Pace●
- Masashi Takashima●
- Tanner Milgrim●
- Tyler Joy●
- Zachary Hollis●
- Frankie Buffo●
- Quintin Sudmeier●
- Taylor Lundgren●
- Connor Hope●
- Dalton Danker●
- Dan Buffo●
- Nathan Walters●
- Emma Moore●
- Jacob Harris●
- Jayla Johnson●
- Troy Baker●
- David Winters●
- Ann McKinney●
Events & fights
(12)
Gesellen Fechten 2025●
October 2025 · us
28 fights
▾
October 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 477 ▲44 · 1,536.9
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 994 ▲648 · 1,233.4
LOSS
1596 42%
DRAW
Micaiah Elliott●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 2-2
Review →
1709 24%
WIN
Bilal Haroon●
·
Dallas School of Historical Fencing●
Longsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 4-1
Review →
1519 54%
WIN
Kyle Toelle●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 2-1
Review →
1636 30%
WIN
WIN
Josiah Bielling●
·
East Texas Historical Fencing●
Smallsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 3-2
Review →
LOSS
Trestan Burns●
·
Appalachian Highland Historical Fencing●
Smallsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 1-2
Review →
LOSS
WIN
Josiah Bielling●
·
East Texas Historical Fencing●
Smallsword
· Second Round of Pools
Score 3-2
Review →
26 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 365 ▼15 · 1,539.9
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 1131 · 1,060.1
Donnybrook 2024●
August 2024 · us
9 fights
▾
August 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 342 ▼47 · 1,543.9
WIN
Daniel Rauens●
·
Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 9-5
Review →
1546 53%
LOSS
Othellis Roper●
·
Blossfechten Academy: Joplin HEMA School●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 7-9
Review →
1180 69%
WIN
Bruce Rawitch●
·
Kansas City HEMA●
Other
· !! Attention !! Excluded From Scoring Calculations Pool Set 1
Score 4-1
Review →
Summer Fechten 2023●
August 2023 · us
16 fights
▾
August 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 164 ▼14 · 1,604.5
DRAW
1418 79%
WIN
1638 45%
WIN
1432 79%
WIN
905 94%
Gesellen Fechten 2023●
October 2023 · us
31 fights
▾
October 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 209 ▼41 · 1,580.3
LOSS
1704 32%
WIN
Amy Belcher●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 3-0
Review →
870 96%
LOSS
1352 85%
LOSS
Kevin Franklin●
·
Tattershall School of Defense●
Longsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 0-2
Review →
1516 64%
WIN
Amy Belcher●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· Second Round of Pools
Score 3-0
Review →
870 96%
WIN
Lily Johnson●
·
Diamond Rose Academie D'Armes●
Mixed Weapon
· First Round of Pools
Score 2-1
Review →
LOSS
Michael Freeland●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Mixed Weapon
· First Round of Pools
Score 0-1
Review →
LOSS
Tyler Sigman●
·
Omaha Kunst des Fechtens●
Mixed Weapon
· First Round of Pools
Score 0-1 · 2 doubles
Review →
Schnegel Fechten 2023●
March 2023 · us
7 fights
▾
March 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 127 ▼33 · 1,619.3
Gesellen Fechten 2022●
October 2022 · us
25 fights
▾
October 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 85 ▼1 · 1,651.7
WIN
Caleb Hetchler●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 3-2
Review →
925 85%
DRAW
Rex Ashcraft●
·
Tattershall School of Defense●
Mixed Weapon
· Pool Set 1
Score 2-2 · 1 double
Review →
WIN
Bilal Haroon●
·
Dallas School of Historical Fencing●
Mixed Weapon
· Pool Set 1
Score 3-1 · 1 double
Review →
Bayou Fecht 2022●
May 2022 · us
14 fights
▾
May 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 66 ▲15 · 1,640.7
WIN
1174 90%
LOSS
1598 56%
WIN
1006 86%
WIN
1468 70%
LOSS
1586 63%
Donnybrook 2022●
June 2022 · us
12 fights
▾
June 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 70 ▼4 · 1,643.3
LOSS
1567 57%
LOSS
1703 43%
Schnegel Fechten 2022●
March 2022 · us
9 fights
▾
March 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 74 ▲246 · 1,618.0
WIN
1282 55%
Gesellen Fechten 2021●
October 2021 · us
16 fights
▾
October 2021 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 417 · 1,390.4
LOSS
Yanpeng Song●
·
Shanghai Historical Martial Arts●
Messer
· Pool Set 1
Score 1-2 · 2 doubles
Review →
DRAW
DRAW
WIN
Ryan Hetchler●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Messer
· Quarterfinals
Score 2-0 · 2 doubles
Review →
Messer Mayhem 2025○
April 2025
No match-level data
8 fights
▾
April 2025
No match-level data
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.