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Josh Russell

Arena Weapon Arts · United States
Inactive 40m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1184
Peak
1256 March 2022
Record
10W · 14L · 3D
Last
May 2023
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
926
Peak
958 January 2022
Record
1W · 5L
Last
January 2022

Scout analysis

Messer

13W · 15L · 4D (41%)
Form
Steady
Recent 38% vs older 44%
Record: 13W · 15L · 4D (41%)
Recent half (16 fights): 38%
Older half (16 fights): 44%
Delta: -6%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 32 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 46% · Elim 50%
Pool stage: 11W · 13L (46%)
Elimination: 2W · 2L (50%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Longsword

10W · 14L · 3D (37%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 23% vs older 54%
Record: 10W · 14L · 3D (37%)
Recent half (13 fights): 23%
Older half (13 fights): 54%
Delta: -31%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 27 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-3.5 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation: -3.5 (2 actual / 5.5 expected, n=12)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 38% · Elim 67%
Pool stage: 8W · 13L (38%)
Elimination: 2W · 1L (67%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
72 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1184
Peak rating: 1256 (March 2022)
Gap to peak: -72
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Other

4W · 3L (57%)
Form
Building
57% win rate · 7 fights
Record: 4W · 3L (57%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 7 recorded fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 75%
Pool stage: 3W · 1L (75%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Rapier

1W · 5L (17%)
Form
Building
17% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 1W · 5L (17%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 6 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 20%
Pool stage: 1W · 4L (20%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
31 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 926
Peak rating: 958 (January 2022)
Gap to peak: -31
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
3 events · us · 1.6 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 19
Fights / year: 45.5
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · Arena Weapon Arts (72)

Events & fights (5)

Spring Fechten 2023
May 2023 · us
20 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1245 ▼123 · 1,228.6
DRAW
Mathias Hight · Accademia del Leone Longsword · First Round Pools
1131 55%
LOSS
Clark Simon · Dallas School of Historical Fencing Longsword · First Round Pools
1499 31%
WIN
Paige Smith · Dallas School of Historical Fencing Longsword · First Round Pools
1163 50%
LOSS
1384 40%
LOSS
Matt Karmelich · House of Blades Longsword · Second Round Pools
1294 52%
LOSS
Josh Saito · Dallas School of Historical Fencing Longsword · Second Round Pools
1330 47%
WIN
Benjamin Grosse-Siestrup · Arena Weapon Arts Longsword · Second Round Pools
LOSS
James Hilty · Arena Weapon Arts Longsword · Second Round Pools
1145 59%
LOSS
Beau Hulgan · Arena Weapon Arts Messer · Elim Pool
WIN
WIN
Brent Leist · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts Messer · First Round Pools Score 2-1 Review →
DRAW
Donald McKay · Vier Blossen Historical Fencing Messer · First Round Pools
WIN
Christopher Willoughby · Arena Weapon Arts Messer · First Round Pools Score 2-1 Review →
LOSS
LOSS
Joseph Thibodaux · Albuquerque Sword Labs Messer · Second Round Pool
WIN
Brent Leist · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts Messer · Second Round Pool Score 2-1 Review →
LOSS
Just a Little WEIRD 2022
January 2022 · us
27 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 583 · 1,232.6
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 252 · 958.1
WIN
Joseph Baker · Austin Historical Weapons Guild Longsword · Consolation Bracket
LOSS
DJ Nero · Sword to Sword Longsword · Consolation Bracket
1214
WIN
Kyle Peltier · Sword to Sword Longsword · Elimination Bracket Score 21-0 Review →
WIN
Alexander Hoyte · Austin Historical Weapons Guild Longsword · Pool Set 1 Score 21-0 Review →
943
LOSS
Preston Swincher · Austin Historical Weapons Guild Longsword · Pool Set 1 Score 0-23 Review →
WIN
Dylan Cryer · Dallas School of Historical Fencing Longsword · Pool Set 1 Score 21-0 Review →
1209
LOSS
Chuck Reina · Arena Weapon Arts Longsword · Pool Set 1 Score 0-23 Review →
WIN
Michael Connop · Valiant: School Of Arms Longsword · Pool Set 1 Score 22-0 Review →
LOSS
Bryant Coston · Arena Weapon Arts Longsword · Pool Set 1 Score 0-23 Review →
1360
WIN
Amanda Turner · Sword to Sword Longsword · Pool Set 1 Score 21-0 Review →
LOSS
Steven Gotcher · Aegis Historical Combat Training Longsword · Pool Set 1 Score 0-23 Review →
1416
LOSS
Clark Simon · Dallas School of Historical Fencing Rapier · Consolation Bracket
LOSS
Vincent Dominic · All For One Fencing Rapier · Pool Set 1
WIN
LOSS
Beau Hulgan · Arena Weapon Arts Rapier · Pool Set 1
1542
LOSS
Preston Swincher · Austin Historical Weapons Guild Rapier · Pool Set 1 Score 0-23 Review →
LOSS
1681
WIN
Joseph Baker · Austin Historical Weapons Guild Messer · Consolation Bracket
WIN
Abigail Sims · Arena Weapon Arts Messer · Consolation Bracket
DOUBLE
Bryant Coston · Arena Weapon Arts Messer · Consolation Bracket Score 0-23 Review →
DOUBLE
Michael Connop · Valiant: School Of Arms Messer · Elimination Bracket Score 22-0 Review →
WIN
Preston Swincher · Austin Historical Weapons Guild Messer · Pool Set 1 Score 0-23 Review →
WIN
Andreas Fabis · Austin Historical Weapons Guild Messer · Pool Set 1 Score 23-0 Review →
DOUBLE
Steven Gotcher · Aegis Historical Combat Training Messer · Pool Set 1 Score 0-23 Review →
LOSS
Seneca Savoie · Arena Weapon Arts Messer · Pool Set 1 Score 0-21 Review →
LOSS
Bryant Coston · Arena Weapon Arts Messer · Pool Set 1 Score 0-23 Review →
LOSS
Coleman Liles · Sword to Sword Messer · Pool Set 1 Score 0-21 Review →
Schnegel Fechten 2022
March 2022 · us
8 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 532 ▲17 · 1,256.7
WIN
Michael Connop · Valiant: School Of Arms Longsword · Pool Set 1
1059 64%
LOSS
1553 26%
LOSS
Seneca Savoie · Arena Weapon Arts Longsword · Pool Set 1
1239 46%
DRAW
WIN
LOSS
1387 37%
LOSS
1282 42%
Texas Audacious Knife Fight 2023
August 2023
No match-level data
5 fights
Texas Audacious Knife Fight 2022
August 2022
No match-level data
12 fights
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.