Skip to main content

Lucas Colbers

De Zwaardkring · Netherlands
Inactive 40m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1240
Peak
1286 August 2022
Record
9W · 11L · 1D
Last
May 2023

Scout analysis

Longsword

9W · 11L · 1D (43%)
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 40%
Record: 9W · 11L · 1D (43%)
Recent half (10 fights): 50%
Older half (10 fights): 40%
Delta: +10%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 21 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-2.4 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation: -2.4 (4 actual / 6.4 expected, n=14)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 50% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 7W · 7L (50%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
45 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1240
Peak rating: 1286 (August 2022)
Gap to peak: -45
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier B) 8W · 4L (67%) +0.3 vs expectation (n=5) avg opponent 1045
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier A) 1W · 7L · 1D (11%) -2.7 vs expectation (n=9) avg opponent 1510
Reach
4 events · nl · 1 yrs active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 4
Countries fought in: 1 (nl)
Months active: 12
Fights / year: 21
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · De Zwaardkring (88)

Events & fights (4)

Nederlandse HEMA Kampioenschappen 2023: Evenement: 1
May 2023 · nl
No match-level data
7 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1027 ▲315 · 1,280.9
WIN
Nieck Eikelenboom · MARS Longsword · Eighth-finals
1055 49%
WIN
947 55%
LOSS
1088 56%
WIN
Isobel Zijlstra · Zwaard & Steen Longsword · Pool 2
WIN
Mees Schultheiss · De Zwaardkring Longsword · Pool 2
867 61%
WIN
Nordin Youhat · Steelbound Longsword · Pool 2
LOSS
Alexey Rodriguez Blanter · Zwaard & Steen Longsword · Quarterfinals
1306 47%
Nederlandse HEMA Kampioenschappen 2022: Evenement: 3
November 2022 · nl
No match-level data
4 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1067 ▼304 · 1,199.2
LOSS
Max van den Ekart · Houw en Hoede Longsword · Pool 2
1621 33%
LOSS
Maurice Booij · MARS Longsword · Pool 2
1376 50%
LOSS
1730 24%
Nederlandse HEMA Kampioenschappen 2022: Evenement 2
August 2022 · nl
No match-level data
5 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 688 ▲251 · 1,286.0
LOSS
Oskar ter Mors · Historisch Vrijvechten Nederland Longsword · Eighth-finals match 4
1571 39%
WIN
1235 59%
LOSS
Max van den Ekart · Houw en Hoede Longsword · Poule 2
1615 36%
DRAW
1547 32%
LOSS
Arto Fama · Zwaard & Steen Longsword · Poule 2
1826 24%
Nederlandse HEMA Kampioenschappen 2022: Evenement 1
May 2022 · nl
No match-level data
5 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 815 · 1,186.5
LOSS
Daan Oort · MARS Longsword · Pool 1
WIN
LOSS
William Ouwehand · MARS Longsword · Pool 1
WIN
1006
WIN
Quentijn de Jongh · MARS Longsword · Pool 1
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.