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Merlyn Janssen

De Zwaardkring · Netherlands
Inactive 93m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1299
Peak
1370 January 2019
Record
9W · 3L
Last
January 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
870
Peak
915 January 2019
Record
1W · 3L
Last
January 2019

Scout analysis

Longsword

9W · 3L (75%)
Form
Rising
Recent 83% vs older 67%
Record: 9W · 3L (75%)
Recent half (6 fights): 83%
Older half (6 fights): 67%
Delta: +16%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 12 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
+1.3 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation: +1.3 (5 actual / 3.7 expected, n=6)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 75% · Elim 100%
Pool stage: 3W · 1L (75%)
Elimination: 4W · 0L (100%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
70 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1299
Peak rating: 1370 (January 2019)
Gap to peak: -70
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Rapier

1W · 3L (25%)
Form
Building
25% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 1W · 3L (25%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 4 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
Pool stage: 1W · 3L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
44 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 870
Peak rating: 915 (January 2019)
Gap to peak: -44
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
2 events · 2 countries · 2.2 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 2 (se, nl)
Months active: 26
Fights / year: 7.4
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · De Zwaardkring (88)

Events & fights (2)

Swordfish 2016
November 2016 · se
No match-level data
4 fights
Nederlandse HEMA Kampioenschappen 2019: Evenement 1
January 2019 · nl
No match-level data
12 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 670 ▲896 · 1,370.5
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 557 · 915.4
WIN
Robin Verhoef · De Zwaardkring Longsword · Eighthfinal 7
1008 63%
WIN
Ruud Herrewijnen · Zwaard & Steen Longsword · Final
805 66%
WIN
WIN
Robin Verhoef · De Zwaardkring Longsword · Pool 3
1008 63%
WIN
976 63%
LOSS
Ethan den Boer · Zwaard & Steen Longsword · Pool 3
1292 51%
WIN
Youp van den Beld · MARS Longsword · Quarterfinal 4
WIN
1197 64%
LOSS
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.