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Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
1268
Peak
1349 September 2019
Record
15W · 12L
Last
November 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1206
Peak
1278 June 2019
Record
8W · 10L · 1D
Last
June 2019

Scout analysis

Sabre

15W · 11L (58%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 38% vs older 77%
Record: 15W · 11L (58%)
Recent half (13 fights): 38%
Older half (13 fights): 77%
Delta: -39%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 26 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-0.6 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation: -0.6 (4 actual / 4.6 expected, n=11)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 43%
Pool stage: 3W · 4L (43%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
80 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1268
Peak rating: 1349 (September 2019)
Gap to peak: -80
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Longsword

8W · 10L · 1D (42%)
Form
Steady
Recent 44% vs older 44%
Record: 8W · 10L · 1D (42%)
Recent half (9 fights): 44%
Older half (9 fights): 44%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 19 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-0.3 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation: -0.3 (5 actual / 5.3 expected, n=12)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 75%
Pool stage: 3W · 1L (75%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
71 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1206
Peak rating: 1278 (June 2019)
Gap to peak: -71
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword 4W · 5L · 1D (40%) -1 vs expectation (n=7) avg opponent 1350
+9 fights in 2 thinner divisions

Messer

5W · 1L (83%)
Form
Building
83% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 5W · 1L (83%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 6 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
7 events · 2 countries · 2.6 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 7
Countries fought in: 2 (se, no)
Months active: 31
Fights / year: 19.7
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · Sällskapet Lunds Kontrafäktare (8)

Events & fights (8)

Vasaslaget 2017
March 2017 · se
No match-level data
5 fights
Swedish Championships (qualifiers) 2017
February 2017 · se
No match-level data
4 fights
Battle of the Bridge 2017
September 2017 · se
No match-level data
14 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 80 · 1,341.6
Battle of the Bridge 2019
September 2019 · se
No match-level data
7 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 212 ▲45 · 1,349.0
LOSS
Kristofer Stanson · Stockholm HEMA Sabre · Eighthfinal 5
1776 14%
WIN
1086 51%
LOSS
Jimmy Olsson · West Coast HEMA Sabre · Pool 1
1388 39%
LOSS
Mikko Lehto · EHMS Sabre · Pool 1
1566 27%
LOSS
1778 13%
Oslo Penguin Cup 2019
June 2019 · no
No match-level data
9 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1058 ▲313 · 1,278.1
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 242 ▼1 · 1,306.7
LOSS
1762 15%
WIN
Thorsteinn Thorarensen · Bergen HEMA Longsword · Pool 2
743 77%
WIN
1225 58%
WIN
1128 65%
LOSS
Alexander Makarov · Tempus Fugitives Longsword · Pool 2
1740 16%
LOSS
Mikko Lehto · EHMS Sabre · Quarterfinal 1
1460 39%
WIN
888 84%
LOSS
Amir Sheikh-Warak · Schola Gladiatoria Sabre · Swiss competition 1
1653 26%
WIN
1152 59%
Swedish Championships 2018
July 2018 · se
No match-level data
1 fight
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 160 ▼19 · 1,314.7
LOSS
1471 44%
Scania Open 2017
April 2017 · se
No match-level data
5 fights
Vasaslaget 2019
March 2019
No match-level data
6 fights
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.