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Seth Keller
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Current
1421
#357
Peak
1427
March 2026
Record
9W · 6L
Last
March 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1386
#1,387
Peak
1508
March 2025
Record
13W · 8L
Last
March 2026
Scout analysis
Longsword
13W · 8L (62%)
Longsword
13W · 8L (62%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 40% vs older 80%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 40% vs older 80%
Record: 13W · 8L (62%)
Recent half (10 fights): 40%
Older half (10 fights): 80%
Delta: -40%
Current streak: 5 Losses
Based on 21 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-1.7 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-1.7 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
-1.7
(3 actual / 4.7 expected, n=8)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
5 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
5 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.76
Avg exchanges / match: 7.4
Doubles / match: 1.6
First scorer rate: 20%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 50%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Balanced
Pool 62% · Elim 67%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 62% · Elim 67%
Pool stage: 8W · 5L (62%)
Elimination: 4W · 2L (67%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
121 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
121 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1386
Peak rating: 1508 (March 2025)
Gap to peak: -121
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
+21 fights in 4 thinner divisions
Rapier
9W · 6L (60%)
Rapier
9W · 6L (60%)
Form
Rising
Recent 71% vs older 57%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 71% vs older 57%
Record: 9W · 6L (60%)
Recent half (7 fights): 71%
Older half (7 fights): 57%
Delta: +14%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 15 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+2.3 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+2.3 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
+2.3
(6 actual / 3.7 expected, n=9)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
4 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
4 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.61
Avg exchanges / match: 9.3
Doubles / match: 0.75
First scorer rate: 25%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 64%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 64%
Pool stage: 7W · 4L (64%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1421
Peak rating: 1427 (March 2026)
Gap to peak: -5
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Single Rapier (Tier B)
5W · 4L
(56%)
avg opponent 1057
+6 fights in 1 thinner division
Reach
3 events · us · 3.1 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
3 events · us · 3.1 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 37
Fights / year: 11.7
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Academy of Arms●
(42)
- Paul Barolet●
- Kayla Mouriz●
- Samuel Szymanski●
- Vanja Djekic●
- Alexandra Yastishock●
- Kristen Roberts●
- Michael McIntyre●
- Dean Flagg●
- Matthew Cowan●
- Harry Levinson●
- Brad Christman●
- Devin McCarthy●
- Kelsey Ward●
- Elan Matlovsky●
- Daniel Putnam●
- Erik Johnson●
- Shaun Butler●
- Ryan Houck●
- Alvaro Carmena-Black●
- Jakk Odinsson●
- Sage Lee●
- Daniel Buelna●
- Maura Dykstra●
- Paula Butler●
- Zoey Marshall●
- Ashley Schoenfeld●
- Cyrus Yalda●
- Dean Lewis●
- Colin Jindra●
- Emmanuel Masongsong●
- Timothy Latham●
- Jo Hempelmann●
- Amanda Avila●
- Joshua Roach●
- Paul Duffy●
- Andrea Ramirez●
- Elijah Brown●
- Jason Parker●
- Kevin Moran●
- Drew Franzblau●
- Ian Seegman●
- Jordan Mendenhall●
Events & fights
(4)
LoCal Swordfight 2026●
March 2026 · us
10 fights
▾
March 2026 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1261 ▼618 · 1,392.2
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 336 ▲493 · 1,427.2
LoCal Swordfight 2025●
March 2025 · us
10 fights
▾
March 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 495 ▲297 · 1,508.4
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 645 ▲590 · 1,216.0
SoCal Swordfight 2024●
February 2024 · us
10 fights
▾
February 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 609 · 1,439.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 830 · 899.8
SoCal Swordfight 2023○
February 2023
No match-level data
6 fights
▾
February 2023
No match-level data
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.