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Muqing Niu
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1542
#500
Peak
1548
January 2026
Record
0W · 0L · 1139D
Last
January 2026
Scout analysis
Longsword
34W · 13L (72%)
Longsword
34W · 13L (72%)
Form
Steady
Recent 70% vs older 74%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 70% vs older 74%
Record: 34W · 13L (72%)
Recent half (23 fights): 70%
Older half (23 fights): 74%
Delta: -4%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 47 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-2 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-2 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 8
Over/under vs expectation:
-2
(16 actual / 18 expected, n=29)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 72% · Elim 63%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 72% · Elim 63%
Pool stage: 18W · 7L (72%)
Elimination: 5W · 3L (63%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1542
Peak rating: 1548 (January 2026)
Gap to peak: -6
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
21W · 9L
(70%)
-1.7 vs expectation
(n=19)
avg opponent 1338
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier B)
6W · 4L
(60%)
-0.3 vs expectation
(n=10)
avg opponent 1343
+7 fights in 1 thinner division
Other
7W · 2L (78%)
Other
7W · 2L (78%)
Form
Steady
Recent 75% vs older 75%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 75% vs older 75%
Record: 7W · 2L (78%)
Recent half (4 fights): 75%
Older half (4 fights): 75%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 3 Wins
Based on 9 recorded fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 71%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 71%
Pool stage: 5W · 2L (71%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Mixed Weapon
2W · 2L · 1D (40%)
Mixed Weapon
2W · 2L · 1D (40%)
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 2W · 2L · 1D (40%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 5 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
7 events · 3 countries · 1.9 yrs active
Single-weapon
▾
Reach
7 events · 3 countries · 1.9 yrs active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 7
Countries fought in: 3 (us, ca, fi)
Months active: 23
Fights / year: 31.8
Rated weapons: 1
Clubmates
·
Nanjing Axon Martial Arts●
(26)
- QiDong Ding●
- Tianhao Li●
- Chengyang Wu●
- Xuechen Xia●
- Ao Li●
- Xiaonan Sun●
- Matthew Mike Howell●
- Benyao Lin●
- QinYu Ruan●
- ZeWei Wu●
- YuMing Zhou●
- JiaYu Shi●
- Siyuan Tao●
- Yifan Wu●
- Jianing Pang●
- Yongyuan Sun●
- Ziyu Deng●
- Andrew Lee Guerra●
- Yiyang Liu●
- Yuan Chen●
- Yuze Lu●
- Quishark●
- Siyin Zhou●
- Yuan Cheng●
- Yunfei Qian●
- Yuze Xiahou●
Events & fights
(7)
Helsinki Longsword Open 2026●
January 2026 · fi
7 fights
▾
January 2026 · fi
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 447 ▲27 · 1,548.7
8 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 474 ▲348 · 1,540.0
WIN
1000 67%
King's Cup HEMA Tournament (Blades of Glory) 2025●
September 2025 · ca
4 fights
▾
September 2025 · ca
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 790 ▼125 · 1,460.9
15 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 652 ▲172 · 1,487.9
LoCal Swordfight 2025●
March 2025 · us
10 fights
▾
March 2025 · us
10 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 834 ▼451 · 1,406.0
SoCal Swordfight 2024●
February 2024 · us
7 fights
▾
February 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 335 · 1,527.8
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.