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Rafael Sabino
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1224
#2,740
Peak
1226
March 2026
Record
12W · 16L
Last
March 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
1082
#1,817
Peak
1084
March 2026
Record
8W · 7L
Last
March 2026
Scout analysis
Longsword
12W · 16L (43%)
Longsword
12W · 16L (43%)
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 36%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 36%
Record: 12W · 16L (43%)
Recent half (14 fights): 50%
Older half (14 fights): 36%
Delta: +14%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 28 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-0.4 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-0.4 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
-0.4
(9 actual / 9.4 expected, n=21)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
5 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
5 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.64
Avg exchanges / match: 8.2
Doubles / match: 0.4
First scorer rate: 80%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 50%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 46%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 46%
Pool stage: 11W · 13L (46%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1224
Peak rating: 1226 (March 2026)
Gap to peak: -2
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
6W · 9L
(40%)
-0.5 vs expectation
(n=8)
avg opponent 1200
+13 fights in 3 thinner divisions
Sabre
8W · 7L (53%)
Sabre
8W · 7L (53%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 43% vs older 71%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 43% vs older 71%
Record: 8W · 7L (53%)
Recent half (7 fights): 43%
Older half (7 fights): 71%
Delta: -28%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 15 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-0.2 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-0.2 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation:
-0.2
(3 actual / 3.2 expected, n=7)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 2.42
Avg exchanges / match: 9.7
Doubles / match: 1.33
First scorer rate: 67%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
Pool stage: 8W · 4L (67%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1082
Peak rating: 1084 (March 2026)
Gap to peak: -1
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Sabre (Tier B)
4W · 6L
(40%)
-0.2 vs expectation
(n=7)
avg opponent 1048
+5 fights in 1 thinner division
Messer
3W · 2L · 1D (50%)
Messer
3W · 2L · 1D (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
50% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 3W · 2L · 1D (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 6 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
3 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
3 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.22
Avg exchanges / match: 7.3
Doubles / match: 1.67
First scorer rate: 33%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 50%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 75%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 75%
Pool stage: 3W · 1L (75%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Mixed Weapon
1W · 2L (33%)
Mixed Weapon
1W · 2L (33%)
Form
Building
33% win rate · 3 fights
▾
Form
Building
33% win rate · 3 fights
Record: 1W · 2L (33%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 3 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
Pool stage: 1W · 2L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
7 events · us · 3.1 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
7 events · us · 3.1 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 7
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 37
Fights / year: 16.9
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Scholars of Alcala●
(4)
Events & fights
(7)
LoCal Swordfight 2026●
March 2026 · us
9 fights
▾
March 2026 · us
Oktoberhau 2025●
October 2025 · us
5 fights
▾
October 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2945 ▲607 · 1,179.6
SpringSteel 2024●
May 2024 · us
10 fights
▾
May 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2365 ▼101 · 1,127.2
LOSS
1337 38%
WIN
Alex Alvarez●
·
Einhorn Los Angeles Historical Fencing Arts●
Messer
· Pool Set 1
Score 7-0 · 2 doubles
Review →
SoCal Swordfight 2024●
February 2024 · us
9 fights
▾
February 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2146 ▼407 · 1,138.9
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 965 ▲129 · 989.2
LOSS
1089 48%
LOSS
Oktoberhau 2023●
October 2023 · us
9 fights
▾
October 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1608 ▲477 · 1,201.9
WIN
Ilyse Kullman●
·
Einhorn Los Angeles Historical Fencing Arts●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 7-3
Review →
1084 50%
Combat Con 2023●
July 2023 · us
4 fights
▾
July 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2010 ▲736 · 1,108.5
SoCal Swordfight 2023●
February 2023 · us
6 fights
▾
February 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2216 · 944.7
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 721 · 885.5
LOSS
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.