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Justin Drury
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1446
#954
Peak
1494
June 2025
Record
48W · 29L · 2D
Last
March 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
1045
#1,971
Peak
1059
September 2024
Record
2W · 4L
Last
September 2024
Scout analysis
Longsword
48W · 28L · 2D (62%)
Longsword
48W · 28L · 2D (62%)
Form
Steady
Recent 59% vs older 64%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 59% vs older 64%
Record: 48W · 28L · 2D (62%)
Recent half (39 fights): 59%
Older half (39 fights): 64%
Delta: -5%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 78 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+1.7 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+1.7 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 5
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 9
Over/under vs expectation:
+1.7
(37 actual / 35.3 expected, n=60)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
17 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
17 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.86
Avg exchanges / match: 8.6
Doubles / match: 1.12
First scorer rate: 24%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 36%
Comeback wins (was behind): 91%
Stage
Balanced
Pool 66% · Elim 56%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 66% · Elim 56%
Pool stage: 40W · 21L (66%)
Elimination: 5W · 4L (56%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
47 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
47 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1446
Peak rating: 1494 (June 2025)
Gap to peak: -47
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
22W · 13L · 2D
(59%)
-2.8 vs expectation
(n=25)
avg opponent 1099
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier B)
8W · 4L
(67%)
+0.4 vs expectation
(n=10)
avg opponent 1129
Mixed Steel Longsword (Open)
7W · 3L
(70%)
+0.9 vs expectation
(n=8)
avg opponent 1187
Mixed Steel Longsword (Rose)
7W · 3L
(70%)
+1.4 vs expectation
(n=8)
avg opponent 1429
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier A)
4W · 5L
(44%)
+1.7 vs expectation
(n=9)
avg opponent 1638
Sabre
2W · 3L (40%)
Sabre
2W · 3L (40%)
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 2W · 3L (40%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 5 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
Pool stage: 1W · 3L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1045
Peak rating: 1059 (September 2024)
Gap to peak: -13
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
12 events · us · 2.8 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
12 events · us · 2.8 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 12
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 33
Fights / year: 30.2
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Metropolitan Historical Fencing Academy●
(33)
- David Rowe●
- James Darling●
- Collin Vredenburg●
- Mariana López Rodriguez●
- Joseph Yeager●
- Richard Shepro●
- Daniel Daugherty●
- Jenevieve Frank●
- Chad Reese●
- Connor Turley●
- Beatrice Ferraiuolo●
- Christian Gunberg●
- Morgan Conway●
- Julie Seeley-Hall●
- Tristan Ponader●
- Kyle Galambos●
- Esai Larios●
- Ben Samuels●
- Ava Beckman●
- James Swanson●
- Nora Lutz●
- Brendan Morris●
- Nathaniel Larson●
- David Weydert●
- Gabriel Gallegos●
- Alistair Stohner●
- Michael Brobeck●
- Patrick Murtha●
- Brayden Chancey●
- Jack Bolger●
- Roberto Martinez●
- Kyle Thomas●
- Craig Winkels●
Events & fights
(12)
ARFL March Madness 2026●
March 2026 · us
8 fights
▾
March 2026 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 935 ▼194 · 1,448.4
WIN
923 92%
Scotty Scuffle 2026●
March 2026 · us
5 fights
▾
March 2026 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 935 ▼194 · 1,448.4
WIN
1061 79%
LOSS
1291 70%
SERFO - Southeast Renaissance Fencing Open 2025●
June 2025 · us
6 fights
▾
June 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 612 ▲229 · 1,494.0
WIN
Eric Musgrove●
·
Atlanta Historical Fencing Academy●
Longsword
· Pools
Score 5-3 · 3 doubles
Review →
1511 40%
WIN
Daniel Pierce●
·
Atlanta Historical Fencing Academy●
Longsword
· Pools
Score 7-2 · 3 doubles
Review →
1593 27%
WIN
Bradley Cramer●
·
University of West Florida Fencing●
Longsword
· Pools
Score 6-1 · 2 doubles
Review →
1531 34%
LOSS
1786 9%
WIN
Eric Musgrove●
·
Atlanta Historical Fencing Academy●
Longsword
· Top 29
Score 5-3 · 3 doubles
Review →
1511 40%
ARFL April Assault 2025●
April 2025 · us
9 fights
▾
April 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 785 ▼26 · 1,445.4
LoCal Swordfight 2025●
March 2025 · us
3 fights
▾
March 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 759 ▼121 · 1,449.2
ARFL Longsword Open 2024●
November 2024 · us
10 fights
▾
November 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 599 ▲38 · 1,470.4
Atlantic Renaissance Fencing League Sword and Buckler Open 2024●
September 2024 · us
No match-level data
5 fights
▾
September 2024 · us
No match-level data
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 1039 · 1,059.6
WIN
Christian Buettner●
·
Maryland Kunst des Fechtens●
Sabre
· !! Attention !! Excluded From Scoring Calculations Pool Set 1
1371
Queen's Gambit 2024●
July 2024 · us
10 fights
▾
July 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 587 ▲387 · 1,462.6
WIN
Carman Spadaro●
·
New York Historical Fencing Association●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 6-0 · 1 double
Review →
LOSS
Paul Groover●
·
Atlanta Historical Fencing Academy●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 0-3 · 1 double
Review →
1541 35%
WIN
Paul Groover●
·
Atlanta Historical Fencing Academy●
Longsword
· Pool Set 3
Score 0-3 · 1 double
Review →
1541 35%
5 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 974 ▲145 · 1,368.5
Kings Cup 2024●
January 2024 · us
7 fights
▾
January 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1030 ▲113 · 1,333.0
LOSS
1294 51%
LOSS
1210 63%
WIN
1256 54%
8 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1030 · 1,294.6
Revolution Rumble 2023●
July 2023 · us
7 fights
▾
July 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1018 ▲12 · 1,309.4
WIN
1393 60%
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.