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Erik Miao
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1286
#2,127
Peak
1289
March 2026
Record
16W · 20L
Last
March 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Current
1186
#714
Peak
1187
March 2026
Record
3W · 2L · 1D
Last
March 2026
Scout analysis
Longsword
16W · 20L (44%)
Longsword
16W · 20L (44%)
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 39%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 39%
Record: 16W · 20L (44%)
Recent half (18 fights): 50%
Older half (18 fights): 39%
Delta: +11%
Current streak: 3 Wins
Based on 36 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+1.1 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+1.1 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 7
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 3
Over/under vs expectation:
+1.1
(11 actual / 9.9 expected, n=25)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
12 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
12 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 2.44
Avg exchanges / match: 8.3
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 58%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 32% · Elim 60%
▾
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 32% · Elim 60%
Pool stage: 7W · 15L (32%)
Elimination: 3W · 2L (60%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1286
Peak rating: 1289 (March 2026)
Gap to peak: -2
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
14W · 14L
(50%)
+3.9 vs expectation
(n=17)
avg opponent 1284
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier B)
2W · 6L
(25%)
-2.8 vs expectation
(n=8)
avg opponent 1111
Smallsword
3W · 6L · 1D (30%)
Smallsword
3W · 6L · 1D (30%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 20% vs older 40%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 20% vs older 40%
Record: 3W · 6L · 1D (30%)
Recent half (5 fights): 20%
Older half (5 fights): 40%
Delta: -20%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 10 recorded smallsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 29%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 29%
Pool stage: 2W · 5L (29%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sword & Buckler
3W · 2L · 1D (50%)
Sword & Buckler
3W · 2L · 1D (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
50% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 3W · 2L · 1D (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 6 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 75%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 75%
Pool stage: 3W · 1L (75%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1186
Peak rating: 1187 (March 2026)
Gap to peak: -1
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
5 events · 2 countries · 2.2 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
5 events · 2 countries · 2.2 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 5
Countries fought in: 2 (us, cn)
Months active: 26
Fights / year: 24
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Charlottesville HEMA●
(6)
Events & fights
(5)
ARFL March Madness 2026●
March 2026 · us
25 fights
▾
March 2026 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2066 ▲1762 · 1,289.5
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 698 · 1,187.5
LOSS
DRAW
Unicorn Cup 2026●
January 2026 · us
8 fights
▾
January 2026 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3767 · 1,105.9
LOSS
1253 33%
LOSS
617 71%
LOSS
1327 35%
WIN
916 71%
Revolution Rumble 2025●
July 2025 · us
8 fights
▾
July 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3469 ▼960 · 1,111.1
LOSS
1309 41%
5 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2456 ▲1564 · 1,215.3
Kings Cup 2024●
January 2024 · us
6 fights
▾
January 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2830 · 1,023.6
WIN
779
LOSS
Pike Pullen●
·
Swordwind Historical Swordsmanship●
Longsword
· Elimination Bracket
Score 1-4
Review →
1414
LOSS
1074
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.