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Aidan Warnakulasuriya

Scholar Victoria · Australia
Inactive 19m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
680 #3,126
Peak
713 March 2024
Record
0W · 13L
Last
March 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Regional
Current
1127 #3,753
Peak
1147 January 2025
Record
10W · 19L · 4D
Last
January 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Regional
Current
847 #1,757
Peak
859 October 2024
Record
0W · 4L
Last
October 2024
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Regional
Current
1037 #571
Peak
1049 July 2024
Record
4W · 5L · 1D
Last
July 2024
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Regional
Current
1000 #1,131
Peak
1013 July 2024
Record
0W · 0L
Last
July 2024

Scout analysis

Longsword

10W · 19L · 4D (30%)
Form
Steady
Recent 31% vs older 25%
Record: 10W · 19L · 4D (30%)
Recent half (16 fights): 31%
Older half (16 fights): 25%
Delta: +6%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 33 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-2 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation: -2 (8 actual / 10 expected, n=24)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 26% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 5W · 14L (26%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
20 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1127
Peak rating: 1147 (January 2025)
Gap to peak: -20
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword 9W · 15L · 4D (32%) -1.5 vs expectation (n=19) avg opponent 1236
+5 fights in 2 thinner divisions

Sabre

0W · 13L (0%)
Form
Steady
Recent 0% vs older 0%
Record: 0W · 13L (0%)
Recent half (6 fights): 0%
Older half (6 fights): 0%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 13 Losses
Based on 13 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-1.8 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation: -1.8 (0 actual / 1.8 expected, n=7)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
Pool stage: 0W · 12L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
33 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 680
Peak rating: 713 (March 2024)
Gap to peak: -33
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
By division
Mixed Steel Sabre 0W · 12L (0%) -1.5 vs expectation (n=6) avg opponent 1233
+1 fight in 1 thinner division

Sidesword

4W · 5L · 1D (40%)
Form
Steady
Recent 40% vs older 40%
Record: 4W · 5L · 1D (40%)
Recent half (5 fights): 40%
Older half (5 fights): 40%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 10 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
Pool stage: 1W · 3L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1037
Peak rating: 1049 (July 2024)
Gap to peak: -12
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
By division
+10 fights in 2 thinner divisions

Rapier

0W · 4L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 0W · 4L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 4 Losses
Based on 4 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
Pool stage: 0W · 4L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 847
Peak rating: 859 (October 2024)
Gap to peak: -12
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.

Smallsword

0W · 3L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 3 fights
Record: 0W · 3L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 3 recorded smallsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Reach
7 events · au · 2.4 yrs active
5 rated weapons
Tournaments: 7
Countries fought in: 1 (au)
Months active: 29
Fights / year: 26.1
Rated weapons: 5

Clubmates · Scholar Victoria (35)

Events & fights (7)

Ides of March 2026
March 2026 · au
8 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 3062 ▼125 · 681.8
LOSS
882 38%
LOSS
LOSS
1359 20%
LOSS
1212 26%
LOSS
1362 20%
LOSS
1083 30%
LOSS
1557 12%
LOSS
927 38%
CapoFiore 2025
January 2025 · au
6 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2643 ▲124 · 1,147.8
LOSS
Jay Tan · Scholar Victoria Longsword · B Tier Eliminations
1127 52%
LOSS
1784 4%
LOSS
1648 7%
WIN
1106 51%
WIN
1015 53%
LOSS
Oktoberfecht 2024
October 2024 · au
9 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2613 ▼55 · 1,132.8
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 1142 · 859.6
LOSS
Yeo Yong Jun · Wayfarers Longsword · Pool Set 1
1573 13%
LOSS
1212 45%
LOSS
1489 18%
LOSS
Joel Thomas · Scholar Victoria Longsword · Eighth-Finals
1298 36%
WIN
Dayantha Warnakulasuriya · Scholar Victoria Longsword · Elimination Bracket
1168 44%
LOSS
Mark Holgate · Adelaide Sword Academy Rapier · Pool Set 1 Score 3-7 Review →
1523
LOSS
Alex Wilson · Ursa Major HEMA Academy Rapier · Pool Set 1 Score 0-7 Review →
1100
LOSS
Stuart Manahan · The School of Historical Fencing Rapier · Pool Set 1 Score 3-6 Review →
1312
LOSS
Lincoln Rose · IronFolk Combat Rapier · Pool Set 1 Score 1-7 Review →
1289
Marozzo Cup 2024
July 2024 · au
No match-level data
21 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2472 ▲494 · 1,133.4
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 842 · 1,013.1
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 470 · 1,049.4
LOSS
Travis McKenzie · Scholar Victoria Longsword · Pool 1
1680 12%
DRAW
1086 50%
LOSS
David Gresham · Fitzroy College of Arms Longsword · Restricted
1483 22%
WIN
1086 50%
LOSS
WIN
511 63%
WIN
874 57%
LOSS
Xander McConnell · Adelaide Sword Academy Longsword · Restricted
1086 55%
DRAW
WIN
874 57%
DRAW
710 66%
LOSS
Travis McKenzie · Scholar Victoria Sidesword · Pool 1
1512
LOSS
882
WIN
WIN
LOSS
Travis McKenzie · Scholar Victoria Sidesword · Pool 1
1252
WIN
901
LOSS
LOSS
WIN
Ides of March 2024
March 2024 · au
8 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 1433 · 713.4
LOSS
Ronald Lee · Melbourne Messer Club Sabre · Pool Set 1 Score 1-5 Review →
1347
LOSS
Daniel Green · Vanguard Swordsmanship Academy Sabre · Pool Set 1 Score 0-5 Review →
1713
LOSS
Artemisia Yung · Fitzroy College of Arms Sabre · Pool Set 1 Score 3-5 Review →
986
LOSS
Clark Jurisic · Scholar Victoria Sabre · Pool Set 1 Score 2-5 Review →
1056
LOSS
Victor Ngo · Scholar Victoria Sabre · Pool Set 1 Score 1-5 Review →
1001
LOSS
LOSS
Travis McKenzie · Scholar Victoria Smallsword · Pools
LOSS
CapoFiore Comp 2024
January 2024 · au
7 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2624 ▲206 · 1,057.5
WIN
1265 44%
WIN
DRAW
Xander McConnell · Adelaide Sword Academy Longsword · Main Pools
1082 59%
LOSS
802 67%
LOSS
1120 53%
LOSS
Arron Leslie-Evans · Fechtschule Victoria Longsword · Swiss Pools
LOSS
Nelson McGuigan · Melbourne Messer Club Longsword · Swiss Pools
1617 27%
Oktoberfecht 2023
October 2023 · au
4 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2716 · 1,004.7
LOSS
Mark Holgate · Adelaide Sword Academy Longsword · Pool Set 1
1763
WIN
Mosh Hewson · Fitzroy College of Arms Longsword · Pool Set 1
LOSS
Alex Wilson · Ursa Major HEMA Academy Longsword · Pool Set 1
1292
LOSS
Joel Thomas · Scholar Victoria Longsword · Pool Set 1
1338
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.

Regional At least one of this fighter's ratings is "island" - their rank/percentile is relative to an isolated regional scene, not the global population. Cross-scene rating comparisons are unreliable.