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Bryce Exley
Inactive 67m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1162
Peak
1199
October 2023
Record
14W · 23L · 2D
Last
October 2023
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
1226
Peak
1276
March 2021
Record
6W · 5L · 1D
Last
March 2021
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
1309
Peak
1348
February 2021
Record
4W · 1L
Last
February 2021
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword
Inactive
Current
1023
Peak
1075
February 2020
Record
3W · 6L · 1D
Last
February 2020
Scout analysis
Longsword
14W · 23L · 2D (36%)
Longsword
14W · 23L · 2D (36%)
Form
Steady
Recent 37% vs older 37%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 37% vs older 37%
Record: 14W · 23L · 2D (36%)
Recent half (19 fights): 37%
Older half (19 fights): 37%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 39 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-0.3 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-0.3 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 5
Over/under vs expectation:
-0.3
(11 actual / 11.3 expected, n=32)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
5 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
5 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 4.8
Avg exchanges / match: 4.8
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 40%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 33%
Comeback wins (was behind): 67%
Stage
Balanced
Pool 38% · Elim 50%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 38% · Elim 50%
Pool stage: 12W · 20L (38%)
Elimination: 2W · 2L (50%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
36 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
36 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1162
Peak rating: 1199 (October 2023)
Gap to peak: -36
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sabre
6W · 5L · 1D (50%)
Sabre
6W · 5L · 1D (50%)
Form
Steady
Recent 50% vs older 50%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 50% vs older 50%
Record: 6W · 5L · 1D (50%)
Recent half (6 fights): 50%
Older half (6 fights): 50%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 12 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 57% · Elim 50%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 57% · Elim 50%
Pool stage: 4W · 3L (57%)
Elimination: 2W · 2L (50%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
49 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
49 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1226
Peak rating: 1276 (March 2021)
Gap to peak: -49
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sidesword
3W · 6L · 1D (30%)
Sidesword
3W · 6L · 1D (30%)
Form
Rising
Recent 40% vs older 20%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 40% vs older 20%
Record: 3W · 6L · 1D (30%)
Recent half (5 fights): 40%
Older half (5 fights): 20%
Delta: +20%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 10 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 43%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 43%
Pool stage: 3W · 4L (43%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
52 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
52 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1023
Peak rating: 1075 (February 2020)
Gap to peak: -52
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier
4W · 1L (80%)
Rapier
4W · 1L (80%)
Form
Building
80% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
80% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 4W · 1L (80%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 5 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 80%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 80%
Pool stage: 4W · 1L (80%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
39 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
39 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1309
Peak rating: 1348 (February 2021)
Gap to peak: -39
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Smallsword
0W · 3L · 2D (0%)
Smallsword
0W · 3L · 2D (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
0% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 0W · 3L · 2D (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 5 recorded smallsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Dussack
1W · 1L (50%)
Dussack
1W · 1L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 2 fights
▾
Form
Building
50% win rate · 2 fights
Record: 1W · 1L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 2 recorded dussack fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
10 events · au · 5 yrs active
4 rated weapons
▾
Reach
10 events · au · 5 yrs active
4 rated weapons
Tournaments: 10
Countries fought in: 1 (au)
Months active: 60
Fights / year: 14.6
Rated weapons: 4
Clubmates
·
Scholar Victoria●
(35)
- Katherine Livingston●
- Daniel Pope●
- Travis McKenzie●
- Victor Ngo●
- Hunter Wild●
- Daniel Romano●
- Tamara Selge●
- Joel Thomas●
- James Stallard●
- Ben Stockdale●
- Thomas Tucker●
- Dayantha Warnakulasuriya●
- Zihan Shi●
- Clark Jurisic●
- Jay Tan●
- Gavin Corben●
- Owen Jin●
- Aidan Warnakulasuriya●
- Andrew Titter●
- Adi Ringma●
- David Kent●
- Anthony Duong●
- Joanne Pitts●
- Noah Vancam●
- Austin Sutton●
- Jordan Vargas●
- Matthew Wang●
- Thomas Nolte●
- Joshua Percival●
- Christopher Clarke●
- Alexander O'Brien●
- Jasper Wong●
- Brian Way●
- Brad McPherson●
- Tom Gilmour●
Events & fights
(10)
Oktoberfecht 2023●
October 2023 · au
4 fights
▾
October 2023 · au
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1634 ▲176 · 1,199.0
6 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 287 ▲102 · 1,276.1
6 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 467 · 1,197.6
Winter Open 2021●
July 2021 · au
10 fights
▾
July 2021 · au
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1054 ▲223 · 1,188.1
WIN
Duc Tam (John) Nguyen●
·
The School of Historical Fencing●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 1-6
Review →
WIN
1057 60%
Capoferro Comp 2021●
February 2021 · au
5 fights
▾
February 2021 · au
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 164 · 1,348.8
Summer Sword Clash 2020●
February 2020 · au
10 fights
▾
February 2020 · au
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1847 ▲56 · 1,142.5
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 188 ▲65 · 1,075.3
LOSS
1111 40%
Oktoberfecht 2019●
October 2019 · au
10 fights
▾
October 2019 · au
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1829 ▼99 · 1,135.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 236 · 915.4
5 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1635 ▲260 · 1,148.9
Festival of the Sword 2019●
April 2019 · au
12 fights
▾
April 2019 · au
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1895 ▲1437 · 1,091.7
WIN
1130 36%
November Fechtschule 2018●
November 2018 · au
5 fights
▾
November 2018 · au
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3208 · 717.9
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.