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Rogelio Avila Ballesteros
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1372
#1,511
Peak
1387
May 2024
Record
13W · 5L
Last
November 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
1303
#914
Peak
1344
October 2024
Record
8W · 5L
Last
November 2025
Scout analysis
Longsword
13W · 5L (72%)
Longsword
13W · 5L (72%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 67% vs older 78%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 67% vs older 78%
Record: 13W · 5L (72%)
Recent half (9 fights): 67%
Older half (9 fights): 78%
Delta: -11%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 18 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+1.1 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+1.1 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
+1.1
(7 actual / 5.9 expected, n=9)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
4 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
4 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.44
Avg exchanges / match: 6.5
Doubles / match: 1.75
First scorer rate: 25%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 33%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 86% · Elim 33%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 86% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 12W · 2L (86%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1372
Peak rating: 1387 (May 2024)
Gap to peak: -15
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sabre
8W · 5L (62%)
Sabre
8W · 5L (62%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 50% vs older 67%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 50% vs older 67%
Record: 8W · 5L (62%)
Recent half (6 fights): 50%
Older half (6 fights): 67%
Delta: -17%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 13 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 63% · Elim 100%
▾
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 63% · Elim 100%
Pool stage: 5W · 3L (63%)
Elimination: 3W · 0L (100%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
41 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
41 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1303
Peak rating: 1344 (October 2024)
Gap to peak: -41
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
4 events · 2 countries · 1.9 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
4 events · 2 countries · 1.9 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 4
Countries fought in: 2 (mx, us)
Months active: 23
Fights / year: 16.2
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Axolotes Fencing Club●
(15)
- Alejandro Jaquez●
- Moises Vladimir Alejandro Sanchez Gallegos●
- Francisco Javier Gil Sandoval●
- Raul Davila●
- Gabriel Chavez●
- Alam Samuel Aguilar Lozada●
- Luz Zavala●
- Fernando Solis●
- Christian Lizarraga●
- Sabrina Valenzuela Ramirez●
- Hans Hubbard●
- Domingo Aguilar Mejía●
- Jesus Fernandez Leyva●
- Natalia Felix Sanchez●
- Luis Arturo Alba Ramirez●
Events & fights
(4)
Torneo Nacional de Esgrima Antigua 2025●
November 2025 · mx
10 fights
▾
November 2025 · mx
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1311 ▲653 · 1,379.7
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 748 ▼94 · 1,310.0
WIN
Antonio Jose Garcia Osuna●
·
Bärenstark - Escuela de Esgrima Antigua●
Longsword
· Pool 3
Score 14-4
Review →
1139 60%
WIN
Antonio Jose Garcia Osuna●
·
Bärenstark - Escuela de Esgrima Antigua●
Sabre
· Pool 5
Score 14-4
Review →
Oktoberhau 2024●
October 2024 · us
12 fights
▾
October 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1457 ▼524 · 1,296.0
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 431 · 1,344.5
WIN
Christopher Soohoo●
·
Einhorn Los Angeles Historical Fencing Arts●
Sabre
· Pool Set 1
Score 8-2
Review →
SpringSteel 2024●
May 2024 · us
6 fights
▾
May 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 849 ▲1383 · 1,387.8
Baja Regional 2023●
December 2023 · mx
3 fights
▾
December 2023 · mx
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2025 · 1,143.2
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.