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Christian Lizarraga

Axolotes Fencing Club● · Mexico
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1390 #1,276
Peak
1395 November 2025
Record
8W · 4L
Last
November 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Regional
Current
1326 #395
Peak
1329 November 2025
Record
0W · 0L
Last
November 2025

Scout analysis

Longsword

8W · 4L (67%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 50% vs older 83%
▾
Record: 8W · 4L (67%)
Recent half (6 fights): 50%
Older half (6 fights): 83%
Delta: -33%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 12 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-0.8 vs expectation
▾
Over/under vs expectation: -0.8 (2 actual / 2.8 expected, n=5)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 75% · Elim 67%
▾
Pool stage: 6W · 2L (75%)
Elimination: 2W · 1L (67%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Current rating: 1390
Peak rating: 1395 (November 2025)
Gap to peak: -5
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
By division
+12 fights in 2 thinner divisions

Rapier & Dagger

4W · 1L (80%)
Form
Building
80% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Record: 4W · 1L (80%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 5 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
▾
Pool stage: 4W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Reach
2 events · mx · 6 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (mx)
Months active: 72
Fights / year: 2.8
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · Axolotes Fencing Club● (15)

Events & fights (2)

Torneo Nacional de Esgrima Antigua 2025●
November 2025 · mx
11 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1181 ▲356 · 1,395.9
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 335 · 1,329.3
LOSS
José Luis Zamarripa Soltero● · Phoebus Ferratus● Longsword · Pool 3
1309 52%
LOSS
Adolfo Arturo Camargo Alva● · Krigerskole● Longsword · Pool 3
1332 56%
WIN
Alam Samuel Aguilar Lozada● · Axolotes Fencing Club● Longsword · Pool 3
1342 53%
WIN
Manuel B. Carvajal● · Arcant Esgrima Medieval Puebla● Longsword · Pool 3
WIN
Adán Vásquez González● · Krigerskole● Longsword · Pool 3
1145 64%
LOSS
Orest Levchuk● · Krigerskole● Longsword · Top 12
1453 50%
WIN
German Eduardo Jaber De Lima● · Hydra Esgrima Historica● Rapier & Dagger · Pool 2
WIN
Juan Manuel Ortega Carrillo● · Esgrima Histórica Scorpius● Rapier & Dagger · Pool 2
WIN
Ana Sofia Ochoa Salda● · Arcant Esgrima Medieval Puebla● Rapier & Dagger · Pool 2
WIN
Francisco Hernández Guarneros● · Krigerskole● Rapier & Dagger · Pool 2
LOSS
Carlos Arturo Tello Rebolledo● · Arcant Esgrima Medieval Puebla● Rapier & Dagger · Top 8
Baja Regional 2019●
December 2019 · mx
No match-level data
6 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 730 · 1,389.5
WIN
Rodrigo Teràn● · North Blazing Sun● Longsword · Bronze Final
943
WIN
Christopher Nelson● · Phoenix Society of Historical Swordsmanship● Longsword · Pool 1
1429
WIN
Adán Vásquez González● · Krigerskole● Longsword · Pool 1
WIN
Jose Cerda● · North Blazing Sun● Longsword · Pool 1
WIN
Raul Davila● · Axolotes Fencing Club● Longsword · Quarters
LOSS
Omar Alonso Macias Ortiz● · Ritterschaft HEMA● Longsword · Semifinals
1406
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.

Regional At least one of this fighter's ratings is "island" - their rank/percentile is relative to an isolated regional scene, not the global population. Cross-scene rating comparisons are unreliable.