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Manuel B. Carvajal

Arcant Esgrima Medieval Puebla● · Mexico
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1078 #4,230
Peak
1083 December 2025
Record
2W · 5L · 2D
Last
December 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
1244 #1,051
Peak
1248 November 2025
Record
3W · 2L
Last
November 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Regional
Current
1036 #951
Peak
1040 November 2025
Record
5W · 2L
Last
November 2025

Scout analysis

Longsword

2W · 5L · 2D (22%)
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 0%
▾
Record: 2W · 5L · 2D (22%)
Recent half (4 fights): 50%
Older half (4 fights): 0%
Delta: +50%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 9 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 29%
▾
Pool stage: 2W · 5L (29%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Current rating: 1078
Peak rating: 1083 (December 2025)
Gap to peak: -4
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
By division
+9 fights in 2 thinner divisions

Rapier

5W · 2L (71%)
Form
Building
71% win rate · 7 fights
▾
Record: 5W · 2L (71%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 7 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 75%
▾
Pool stage: 3W · 1L (75%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Current rating: 1036
Peak rating: 1040 (November 2025)
Gap to peak: -3
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.

Sabre

3W · 2L (60%)
Form
Building
60% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Record: 3W · 2L (60%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 5 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 75%
▾
Pool stage: 3W · 1L (75%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Current rating: 1244
Peak rating: 1248 (November 2025)
Gap to peak: -4
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.

Rapier & Dagger

2W · 3L (40%)
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Record: 2W · 3L (40%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 5 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
▾
Pool stage: 1W · 2L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.

Mixed Weapon

1W · 3L (25%)
Form
Building
25% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Record: 1W · 3L (25%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 4 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
▾
Pool stage: 1W · 3L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Reach
2 events · mx · 1 mo active
3 rated weapons
▾
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (mx)
Months active: 1
Fights / year: 360
Rated weapons: 3

Clubmates · Arcant Esgrima Medieval Puebla● (3)

Events & fights (2)

Torneo con Causa – Ayudemos a Ana Tavera 2025●
December 2025 · mx
16 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 4001 ▲1640 · 1,083.3
DRAW
Jose Luis Martin Garcia● · Wolfskopf Fencing Academy● Longsword · Pools
LOSS
Juan Manuel Ortega Carrillo● · Esgrima Histórica Scorpius● Longsword · Pools
1010 44%
DRAW
Heriberto Pineda Tapia● · Compañía Escarlata● Longsword · Pools
WIN
Eduardo Zepeda● · Esgrima Histórica Scorpius● Longsword · Pools
WIN
José Andrés Guerrero Sánchez● · Wolfskopf Fencing Academy● Longsword · Pools
LOSS
Jose Luis Martin Garcia● · Wolfskopf Fencing Academy● Mixed Weapon · Pools
WIN
Sebastián López● · Esgrima Histórica Scorpius● Mixed Weapon · Pools
LOSS
Juan Manuel Ortega Carrillo● · Esgrima Histórica Scorpius● Mixed Weapon · Pools
LOSS
Omar José Hernández Alcalá● · Wolfskopf Fencing Academy● Mixed Weapon · Pools
WIN
Ulises Ernesto Castro Morales● · Maza de Plata● Rapier · Bronze Medal Match
WIN
Diego Osiris Rivera Ayala● · Esgrima Histórica Scorpius● Rapier · Pools
LOSS
Erik Steven Verdin● · Wolfskopf Fencing Academy● Rapier · Pools
WIN
Juan Manuel Ortega Carrillo● · Esgrima Histórica Scorpius● Rapier · Pools
WIN
José René Cortes Santos● · Wolfskopf Fencing Academy● Rapier · Pools
LOSS
German Eduardo Jaber De Lima● · Hydra Esgrima Historica● Rapier · Semifinals
WIN
Juan Manuel Ortega Carrillo● · Esgrima Histórica Scorpius● Rapier · Top 6
Torneo Nacional de Esgrima Antigua 2025●
November 2025 · mx
14 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 5641 · 901.0
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 958 · 1,248.3
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 831 · 1,040.8
LOSS
Adolfo Arturo Camargo Alva● · Krigerskole● Longsword · Pool 3
1332
LOSS
José Luis Zamarripa Soltero● · Phoebus Ferratus● Longsword · Pool 3
1309
LOSS
Christian Lizarraga● · Axolotes Fencing Club● Longsword · Pool 3
1344
LOSS
Adán Vásquez González● · Krigerskole● Longsword · Pool 3
1145
WIN
Fernando Cascat Cienfuegos Hernandez● · Esgrima Histórica Scorpius● Rapier & Dagger · Pool 3
LOSS
José Luis Zamarripa Soltero● · Phoebus Ferratus● Rapier & Dagger · Pool 3
LOSS
Adán Vásquez González● · Krigerskole● Rapier & Dagger · Pool 3
WIN
Miguel Angel Herrera Merino● · Arcant Esgrima Medieval Puebla● Rapier & Dagger · Top 12
LOSS
José Luis Zamarripa Soltero● · Phoebus Ferratus● Rapier & Dagger · Top 8
WIN
Francisco Hernández Guarneros● · Krigerskole● Sabre · Pool 5
LOSS
Antonio Jose Garcia Osuna● · Bärenstark - Escuela de Esgrima Antigua● Sabre · Pool 5
WIN
Sabrina Valenzuela Ramirez● · Axolotes Fencing Club● Sabre · Pool 5
WIN
Rogelio Avila Ballesteros● · Axolotes Fencing Club● Sabre · Pool 5
1335
LOSS
Carlos Arturo Tello Rebolledo● · Arcant Esgrima Medieval Puebla● Sabre · Top 16
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.

Regional At least one of this fighter's ratings is "island" - their rank/percentile is relative to an isolated regional scene, not the global population. Cross-scene rating comparisons are unreliable.