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Carolyn Shepard
Inactive 16m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword
Current
1247
#390
Peak
1261
August 2025
Record
15W · 35L · 6D
Last
August 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
1044
#1,978
Peak
1053
August 2025
Record
10W · 13L · 2D
Last
August 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1005
#4,990
Peak
1014
August 2025
Record
15W · 35L · 6D
Last
August 2025
Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Sabre
Regional
Current
1281
#113
Peak
1289
May 2025
Record
10W · 13L · 2D
Last
May 2025
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Regional
Current
789
#489
Peak
796
April 2025
Record
0W · 4L
Last
April 2025
Scout analysis
Longsword
15W · 35L · 6D (27%)
Longsword
15W · 35L · 6D (27%)
Form
Steady
Recent 29% vs older 25%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 29% vs older 25%
Record: 15W · 35L · 6D (27%)
Recent half (28 fights): 29%
Older half (28 fights): 25%
Delta: +4%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 56 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-6 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-6 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 3
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
-6
(9 actual / 15 expected, n=37)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 30%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 30%
Pool stage: 15W · 35L (30%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1247
Peak rating: 1261 (August 2025)
Gap to peak: -13
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
By division
Underrepresented Genders Steel Longsword
13W · 24L · 4D
(32%)
-2.2 vs expectation
(n=27)
avg opponent 1333
Mixed Steel Longsword (Open)
1W · 6L · 1D
(13%)
-2.9 vs expectation
(n=7)
avg opponent 1355
+7 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Sabre
10W · 13L · 2D (40%)
Sabre
10W · 13L · 2D (40%)
Form
Steady
Recent 33% vs older 42%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 33% vs older 42%
Record: 10W · 13L · 2D (40%)
Recent half (12 fights): 33%
Older half (12 fights): 42%
Delta: -9%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 25 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-2.3 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-2.3 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
-2.3
(2 actual / 4.3 expected, n=11)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.75
Avg exchanges / match: 7
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 100%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 43%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 43%
Pool stage: 10W · 13L (43%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1281
Peak rating: 1289 (May 2025)
Gap to peak: -7
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
By division
Mixed Steel Sabre
4W · 6L
(40%)
-0.7 vs expectation
(n=6)
avg opponent 1281
+15 fights in 3 thinner divisions
Singlestick
0W · 4L (0%)
Singlestick
0W · 4L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Form
Building
0% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 0W · 4L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 4 Losses
Based on 4 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
Pool stage: 0W · 4L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 789
Peak rating: 796 (April 2025)
Gap to peak: -7
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Reach
6 events · us · 1.2 yrs active
3 rated weapons
▾
Reach
6 events · us · 1.2 yrs active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 6
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 14
Fights / year: 72.9
Rated weapons: 3
Clubmates
·
Dartmouth Swordplay Guild●
(6)
Events & fights
(6)
Boar's Tooth 2025●
August 2025 · us
27 fights
▾
August 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 4428 ▼27 · 1,014.4
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 1611 ▲341 · 1,053.9
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword Rank 296 ▲19 · 1,261.6
17 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 4238 ▲367 · 1,010.7
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword Rank 301 ▲33 · 1,248.3
Arsenal Assault of Arms 2025●
May 2025 · us
11 fights
▾
May 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 1890 ▼76 · 940.6
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Sabre Rank 67 · 1,289.0
Legend of the Lake 2025●
April 2025 · us
10 fights
▾
April 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 4605 · 937.4
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 1814 · 923.3
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 441 · 796.7
BHL 5 2024●
July 2024 · us
11 fights
▾
July 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword Rank 245 ▲14 · 1,223.2
LOSS
1576 27%
LOSS
1576 27%
9 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword Rank 259 · 1,204.3
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.
Regional At least one of this fighter's ratings is "island" - their rank/percentile is relative to an isolated regional scene, not the global population. Cross-scene rating comparisons are unreliable.