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MJ Posadas

Pittsburgh Fighters Guild● · United States
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1190 #3,102
Peak
1319 August 2025
Record
18W · 25L · 2D
Last
March 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
1041 #2,004
Peak
1043 March 2026
Record
5W · 14L · 1D
Last
March 2026

Scout analysis

Longsword

18W · 25L · 2D (40%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 27% vs older 55%
▾
Record: 18W · 25L · 2D (40%)
Recent half (22 fights): 27%
Older half (22 fights): 55%
Delta: -28%
Current streak: 4 Losses
Based on 45 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-7.9 vs expectation
▾
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 3
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 8
Over/under vs expectation: -7.9 (10 actual / 18 expected, n=33)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
7 exchange-coded matches
▾
Exchanges per point: 1.48
Avg exchanges / match: 10.1
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 86%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 33%
Stage
Balanced
Pool 43% · Elim 50%
▾
Pool stage: 15W · 20L (43%)
Elimination: 2W · 2L (50%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
128 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 1190
Peak rating: 1319 (August 2025)
Gap to peak: -128
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword 9W · 16L · 1D (35%) -6.2 vs expectation (n=18) avg opponent 1247
+19 fights in 3 thinner divisions

Sabre

5W · 13L · 1D (26%)
Form
Rising
Recent 33% vs older 22%
▾
Record: 5W · 13L · 1D (26%)
Recent half (9 fights): 33%
Older half (9 fights): 22%
Delta: +11%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 19 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-2.1 vs expectation
▾
Over/under vs expectation: -2.1 (1 actual / 3.1 expected, n=11)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
▾
Pool stage: 4W · 12L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Current rating: 1041
Peak rating: 1043 (March 2026)
Gap to peak: -1
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
8 events · us · 1.3 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Tournaments: 8
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 16
Fights / year: 48
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · Pittsburgh Fighters Guild● (11)

Events & fights (8)

Scotty Scuffle 2026●
March 2026 · us
8 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3464 ▼449 · 1,147.2
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 2058 ▲127 · 1,016.6
DRAW
Tasia Socha● · Two Ravens Fencing School● Longsword · Pools
969 72%
LOSS
Ryan Leonard● · Hilt and Helm Pittsburgh Fencing Club● Longsword · Pools
1350 35%
LOSS
Joshua Megahan● · Broken Plow Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Pools
1287 37%
LOSS
James Stockton● · Broken Plow Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Pools
844 70%
WIN
Nolan Cynkar● · Carnegie Mellon University HEMA● Sabre · Pools
DRAW
Joshua Megahan● · Broken Plow Western Martial Arts● Sabre · Pools
LOSS
Christopher Shelton● · Hilt and Helm Pittsburgh Fencing Club● Sabre · Pools
1554 16%
LOSS
Chris Roan● · Two Ravens Fencing School● Sabre · Pools
1094 46%
LynxCup 2026●
February 2026 · us
No match-level data
15 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2626 ▼81 · 1,230.2
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 2026 ▲400 · 1,006.3
WIN
Tom Leslie● · Nashville School of Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pool
1445 26%
WIN
Maria Rieske● · Columbus United Fencing Club● Longsword · Pool
1145 63%
LOSS
Brady O'Callaghan● · Queen City Sword Guild● Longsword · Pool
1332 42%
LOSS
Dante Ha● · Atlanta Historical Fencing Academy● Longsword · Pool
1001 50%
LOSS
Matthew Melonuk● · Waterfront Historical Fencing Club● Longsword · Pool
1359 38%
WIN
Ellie Cook● · Queen City Sword Guild● Longsword · Pool
772 76%
LOSS
Tasia Socha● · Two Ravens Fencing School● Longsword · Table of 64
884 74%
LOSS
Justin Hernandez● · Vanguard Fencing Club● Sabre · Pool
1430 27%
LOSS
Alex Kellogg● · Two Ravens Fencing School● Sabre · Pool
1020 52%
LOSS
Joshua Derby● · Waterfront Historical Fencing Club● Sabre · Pool
1842 9%
LOSS
Joseph Kaltenthaler● · Youngstown Historical Fencing● Sabre · Pool
LOSS
Zach Jacobs● · Nashville School of Historical Fencing● Sabre · Pool
1420 24%
WIN
Jonah Jankovik● · Broken Plow Western Martial Arts● Sabre · Pool
LOSS
Samuel Ryals● · Gem City Duelists Society● Sabre · Table of 32
1764 12%
WIN
Chris Roan● · Two Ravens Fencing School● Sabre · Table of 64
1100 41%
Unicorn Cup 2026●
January 2026 · us
7 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2545 ▼738 · 1,235.0
LOSS
Sam Gorski● · Black Bear Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pools Score 5-10 Review →
944 71%
LOSS
Adam Growden● · Broken Plow Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Pools Score 8-10 Review →
1450 29%
LOSS
Seth Gingo● · Philadelphia Common Fencers Guild● Longsword · Pools Score 6-10 Review →
1240 66%
LOSS
Stephen Dougherty● · Medieval European Martial Arts Guild● Longsword · Pools Score 0-10 Review →
1643 21%
LOSS
Jesse May● · Hilt and Helm Pittsburgh Fencing Club● Longsword · Pools Score 7-10 Review →
1087 76%
WIN
Jordan Ritscher● · Waterfront Historical Fencing Club● Longsword · Pools Score 10-5 Review →
LOSS
Jason James● · Black Bear Historical Fencing● Longsword · Top 56 Score 5-10 Review →
1322 52%
Blood on the River 2025●
August 2025 · us
No match-level data
9 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1690 ▲246 · 1,319.0
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 2118 ▲187 · 909.5
DRAW
Mark Pagliaro● · Maryland Training in Historical Swordmanship● Longsword · Tier A Pool
1480 36%
WIN
Jonathan Kelly● · Broken Plow Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Tier A Pool
1312 39%
WIN
Gwen Crew● · Broken Plow Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Tier A Pool
634 76%
LOSS
Jason Chapman● · Broken Plow Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Tier A Pool
1246 45%
LOSS
Joshua Derby● · Waterfront Historical Fencing Club● Longsword · Tier A Pool
1635 20%
LOSS
Joshua Derby● · Waterfront Historical Fencing Club● Sabre · Pool
1730 14%
LOSS
Matthew Melonuk● · Waterfront Historical Fencing Club● Sabre · Pool
1269 36%
LOSS
Malin Grant● · Pittsburgh Fighters Guild● Sabre · Pool
1269 30%
WIN
Tim Lyle● · Broken Plow Western Martial Arts● Sabre · Pool
Lost Art 2024●
November 2024 · us
No match-level data
9 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1853 · 1,248.2
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 1798 · 812.9
WIN
Jason Chapman● · Broken Plow Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Bronze Finals
1472
WIN
Jason Chapman● · Broken Plow Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Pool 2
1472
LOSS
Jason Chapman● · Broken Plow Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Pool 2
1472
LOSS
Tony Cavalline● · Hilt and Helm Pittsburgh Fencing Club● Longsword · Pool 2
1338
WIN
Lee Bateman● · Waterfront Historical Fencing Club● Longsword · Pool 2
LOSS
Tan Nguyen● · Waterfront Historical Fencing Club● Longsword · Quarter Finals
911
WIN
Sarah Holt● · Broken Plow Western Martial Arts● Sabre · Pool 2
LOSS
Morgan Redfield● · Hilt and Helm Pittsburgh Fencing Club● Sabre · Pool 2
LOSS
Levi Ryan● · Broken Plow Western Martial Arts● Sabre · Pool 2
1275
Scotty Scuffle 2025●
March 2025 · us
1 fight ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1736 ▲58 · 1,287.1
WIN
Caleb Wickline● Longsword · !! Attention !! Excluded From Scoring Calculations Pool Set 1
LynxCup 2025●
February 2025 · us
No match-level data
7 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1794 ▲69 · 1,264.4
LOSS
Jonathan Adams● · Columbus United Fencing Club● Longsword · Pool
818 76%
LOSS
Tim Casey● · Columbus United Fencing Club● Longsword · Pool
WIN
Rhea Debussy● Longsword · Pool
WIN
Jacob Proto● · Waterfront Historical Fencing Club● Longsword · Pool
1006 54%
WIN
Rachel Burns-Watson● · Columbus United Fencing Club● Longsword · Pool
WIN
Rachel Burns-Watson● · Columbus United Fencing Club● Longsword · Table of 16
LOSS
Jonathan Fernandez● · Columbus United Fencing Club● Longsword · Table of 8
968 64%
Unicorn Cup 2025●
January 2025 · us
8 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1863 ▲15 · 1,250.7
WIN
Jennifer McCarel● · Indianapolis Fencing Club● Longsword · Elimination Bracket Score 10-4 Review →
822 73%
LOSS
Ben Adiletto● · Medieval European Martial Arts Guild● Longsword · Elimination Bracket Score 7-10 Review →
1370 59%
LOSS
Michael Asbury● · Philadelphia Common Fencers Guild● Longsword · Pool Set 1 Score 5-10 Review →
1638 38%
WIN
Veran Stanek● · Rochester Institute of Technology HEMA club● Longsword · Pool Set 1 Score 9-8 Review →
954 78%
WIN
Jesse May● · Hilt and Helm Pittsburgh Fencing Club● Longsword · Pool Set 1 Score 10-6 Review →
969 80%
WIN
Bill Cundiff● · Indianapolis Fencing Club● Longsword · Pool Set 1 Score 9-8 Review →
1439 40%
LOSS
Matthew Melonuk● · Waterfront Historical Fencing Club● Longsword · Pool Set 1 Score 8-10 Review →
1297 61%
LOSS
Jason James● · Black Bear Historical Fencing● Longsword · Pool Set 1
1104 58%
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.