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Justin Hernandez
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
1400
#546
Peak
1543
October 2023
Record
49W · 37L
Last
February 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Current
1057
#1,254
Peak
1137
May 2024
Record
5W · 10L
Last
November 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword
Inactive
Current
1127
Peak
1185
October 2022
Record
7W · 7L
Last
October 2023
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
1005
Peak
1052
December 2022
Record
5W · 10L
Last
July 2023
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
1202
Peak
1224
January 2023
Record
3W · 3L
Last
January 2023
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
860
Peak
884
January 2023
Record
1W · 4L
Last
January 2023
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Inactive
Current
1237
Peak
1288
August 2019
Record
3W · 3L
Last
August 2019
Scout analysis
Sabre
48W · 37L (56%)
Sabre
48W · 37L (56%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 50% vs older 62%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 50% vs older 62%
Record: 48W · 37L (56%)
Recent half (42 fights): 50%
Older half (42 fights): 62%
Delta: -12%
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 85 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-2.3 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-2.3 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 3
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 8
Over/under vs expectation:
-2.3
(32 actual / 34.3 expected, n=61)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 61% · Elim 63%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 61% · Elim 63%
Pool stage: 39W · 25L (61%)
Elimination: 5W · 3L (63%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
143 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
143 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1400
Peak rating: 1543 (October 2023)
Gap to peak: -143
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Sabre
48W · 32L
(60%)
-0.4 vs expectation
(n=56)
avg opponent 1282
+5 fights in 1 thinner division
Rapier & Dagger
4W · 15L (21%)
Rapier & Dagger
4W · 15L (21%)
Form
Steady
Recent 22% vs older 22%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 22% vs older 22%
Record: 4W · 15L (21%)
Recent half (9 fights): 22%
Older half (9 fights): 22%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 4 Losses
Based on 19 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-2 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-2 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation:
-2
(0 actual / 2 expected, n=8)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
Pool stage: 4W · 12L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier
5W · 10L (33%)
Rapier
5W · 10L (33%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 14% vs older 43%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 14% vs older 43%
Record: 5W · 10L (33%)
Recent half (7 fights): 14%
Older half (7 fights): 43%
Delta: -29%
Current streak: 4 Losses
Based on 15 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-2.2 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-2.2 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation:
-2.2
(0 actual / 2.2 expected, n=5)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 38%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 38%
Pool stage: 5W · 8L (38%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
80 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
80 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1057
Peak rating: 1137 (May 2024)
Gap to peak: -80
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Single Rapier
4W · 7L
(36%)
avg opponent 1182
+4 fights in 1 thinner division
Sidesword
7W · 7L (50%)
Sidesword
7W · 7L (50%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 43% vs older 57%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 43% vs older 57%
Record: 7W · 7L (50%)
Recent half (7 fights): 43%
Older half (7 fights): 57%
Delta: -14%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 14 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-1.7 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-1.7 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
-1.7
(2 actual / 3.7 expected, n=6)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 58%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 58%
Pool stage: 7W · 5L (58%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
58 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
58 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1127
Peak rating: 1185 (October 2022)
Gap to peak: -58
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Messer
7W · 6L · 1D (50%)
Messer
7W · 6L · 1D (50%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 29% vs older 71%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 29% vs older 71%
Record: 7W · 6L · 1D (50%)
Recent half (7 fights): 29%
Older half (7 fights): 71%
Delta: -42%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 14 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 56%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 56%
Pool stage: 5W · 4L (56%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Singlestick
3W · 3L (50%)
Singlestick
3W · 3L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
50% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 3W · 3L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 6 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 67% · Elim 33%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 67% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 2W · 1L (67%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
50 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
50 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1237
Peak rating: 1288 (August 2019)
Gap to peak: -50
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sword & Buckler
3W · 3L (50%)
Sword & Buckler
3W · 3L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
50% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 3W · 3L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 6 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 2W · 2L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
22 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
22 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1202
Peak rating: 1224 (January 2023)
Gap to peak: -22
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Smallsword
1W · 5L (17%)
Smallsword
1W · 5L (17%)
Form
Building
17% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
17% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 1W · 5L (17%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 6 recorded smallsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 20%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 20%
Pool stage: 1W · 4L (20%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Longsword
1W · 4L (20%)
Longsword
1W · 4L (20%)
Form
Building
20% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
20% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 1W · 4L (20%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 5 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
Pool stage: 1W · 3L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
24 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
24 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 860
Peak rating: 884 (January 2023)
Gap to peak: -24
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
19 events · us · 6.6 yrs active
6 rated weapons
▾
Reach
19 events · us · 6.6 yrs active
6 rated weapons
Tournaments: 19
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 79
Fights / year: 25.8
Rated weapons: 6
Clubmates
·
Vanguard Fencing Club●
(4)
Events & fights
(21)
7 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 494 ▼56 · 1,405.0
13 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 417 ▼28 · 1,433.5
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 1201 ▼83 · 1,063.3
5 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 358 ▲24 · 1,443.5
WIN
982 71%
WIN
1017 67%
Bayou Fecht 2024●
May 2024 · us
5 fights
▾
May 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 588 · 1,137.8
LoCal Swordfight 2025●
March 2025 · us
9 fights
▾
March 2025 · us
6 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 242 ▼70 · 1,475.8
Duel For The Jewel 2023●
October 2023 · us
16 fights
▾
October 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 91 ▲55 · 1,543.3
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 273 ▼36 · 1,152.2
WIN
1750 19%
LOSS
1004 60%
14 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 411 ▲26 · 1,035.3
16 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2307 · 884.5
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 289 ▼66 · 970.7
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 262 · 1,224.5
As You Wish 2022●
December 2022 · us
6 fights
▾
December 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 223 · 1,052.9
6 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 90 ▼5 · 1,490.1
5 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 89 · 1,185.1
Crossroads 2022●
September 2022 · us
5 fights
▾
September 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 85 ▼17 · 1,486.4
LOSS
1035 72%
SoCal Swordfight 2022●
March 2022 · us
8 fights
▾
March 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 49 ▲35 · 1,480.3
7 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 162 ▲109 · 1,365.0
8 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 96 ▲66 · 1,423.2
6 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 341 ▼25 · 1,287.0
8 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 309 · 1,302.5
Combat Con 2019●
August 2019 · us
6 fights
▾
August 2019 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 123 · 1,288.2
AG Open 2024○
September 2024
No match-level data
4 fights
▾
September 2024
No match-level data
Queen's Court 2024○
July 2024
No match-level data
10 fights
▾
July 2024
No match-level data
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.