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Bradley Pemberton

Loyal Order of the Sword · United States
Inactive 94m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
1202
Peak
1267 November 2018
Record
5W · 5L · 1D
Last
November 2018
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
1149
Peak
1247 November 2017
Record
5W · 5L · 1D
Last
November 2018
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1090
Peak
1199 November 2017
Record
6W · 8L · 3D
Last
November 2018
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
945
Peak
996 November 2017
Record
2W · 2L
Last
November 2017

Scout analysis

Longsword

6W · 8L · 3D (35%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 25% vs older 50%
Record: 6W · 8L · 3D (35%)
Recent half (8 fights): 25%
Older half (8 fights): 50%
Delta: -25%
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 17 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-2.2 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation: -2.2 (2 actual / 4.2 expected, n=9)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
108 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1090
Peak rating: 1199 (November 2017)
Gap to peak: -108
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Rapier

5W · 5L · 1D (45%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 40% vs older 60%
Record: 5W · 5L · 1D (45%)
Recent half (5 fights): 40%
Older half (5 fights): 60%
Delta: -20%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 11 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
Pool stage: 1W · 2L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
64 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1202
Peak rating: 1267 (November 2018)
Gap to peak: -64
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Rapier & Dagger

5W · 5L · 1D (45%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 20% vs older 80%
Record: 5W · 5L · 1D (45%)
Recent half (5 fights): 20%
Older half (5 fights): 80%
Delta: -60%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 11 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
Pool stage: 1W · 3L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sword & Buckler

2W · 2L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 2W · 2L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 4 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
50 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 945
Peak rating: 996 (November 2017)
Gap to peak: -50
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
4 events · us · 2 yrs active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 4
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 24
Fights / year: 21.5
Rated weapons: 3

Clubmates · Loyal Order of the Sword (21)

Events & fights (4)

Savannah Historic Longsword Open 2017
April 2017 · us
No match-level data
8 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 667 ▲549 · 1,181.2
WIN
1018 52%
LOSS
1059 43%
WIN
LOSS
WIN
SERFO 2016
November 2016 · us
No match-level data
3 fights
SERFO 2018
November 2018 · us
No match-level data
11 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1416 ▼155 · 1,165.2
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 219 ▼9 · 1,267.2
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 245 ▼57 · 1,211.8
LOSS
1446 34%
DRAW
858 65%
LOSS
1601 25%
LOSS
Harvey Marshall Rapier & Dagger · Pool 7
LOSS
Brian Caswell Rapier & Dagger · Pool 7
1589 38%
WIN
1229 52%
DRAW
David Powell · SCA Rapier & Dagger · Pool 7
1375 46%
LOSS
962 64%
LOSS
Joshua Beck · Schola St. George Rapier · Pool 6
WIN
902 68%
LOSS
1178 50%
SERFO 2017
November 2017 · us
No match-level data
21 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 837 ▲26 · 1,199.1
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 137 · 1,264.0
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 104 · 1,247.4
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 306 · 996.1
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.