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David Powell

SCA · United States
Inactive 83m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
1450
Peak
1522 November 2019
Record
11W · 5L · 3D
Last
November 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
1419
Peak
1481 November 2019
Record
9W · 3L · 3D
Last
November 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
1354
Peak
1451 November 2018
Record
11W · 5L · 3D
Last
November 2019

Scout analysis

Rapier & Dagger

15W · 6L · 3D (63%)
Form
Steady
Recent 58% vs older 67%
Record: 15W · 6L · 3D (63%)
Recent half (12 fights): 58%
Older half (12 fights): 67%
Delta: -9%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 24 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-0.9 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under vs expectation: -0.9 (4 actual / 4.9 expected, n=9)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 70% · Elim 67%
Pool stage: 7W · 3L (70%)
Elimination: 2W · 1L (67%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Rapier

11W · 5L · 3D (58%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 44% vs older 67%
Record: 11W · 5L · 3D (58%)
Recent half (9 fights): 44%
Older half (9 fights): 67%
Delta: -23%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 19 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-1.6 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation: -1.6 (2 actual / 3.6 expected, n=6)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 80% · Elim 67%
Pool stage: 4W · 1L (80%)
Elimination: 2W · 1L (67%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
72 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1450
Peak rating: 1522 (November 2019)
Gap to peak: -72
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sword & Buckler

9W · 3L · 3D (60%)
Form
Steady
Recent 57% vs older 57%
Record: 9W · 3L · 3D (60%)
Recent half (7 fights): 57%
Older half (7 fights): 57%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 3 Wins
Based on 15 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
+0.5 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation: +0.5 (3 actual / 2.5 expected, n=5)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 67% · Elim 100%
Pool stage: 2W · 1L (67%)
Elimination: 4W · 0L (100%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
62 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1419
Peak rating: 1481 (November 2019)
Gap to peak: -62
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Arming Sword & Buckler 8W · 2L · 2D (67%) avg opponent 1426
+3 fights in 1 thinner division
Reach
3 events · us · 2 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 24
Fights / year: 29
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · SCA (1)

Events & fights (3)

SERFO 2019
November 2019 · us
No match-level data
18 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 68 ▲24 · 1,522.6
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 133 ▼25 · 1,420.2
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 122 ▲197 · 1,481.9
WIN
JD Minnick · Denver Historical Fencing Academy Rapier & Dagger · Eighthfinal 2
WIN
WIN
Chris Nolan · Triangle Sword Guild Rapier & Dagger · Pool 4
DRAW
LOSS
Kevin Murakoshi · Sacramento Historical Fencing Academy Rapier & Dagger · Quarterfinal 1
1569 38%
WIN
Chris Nolan · Triangle Sword Guild Rapier & Dagger · Sixteenthfinal 4
DRAW
796 74%
WIN
DRAW
Michael Vaughn · Ochs America Rapier · Pool 4
LOSS
1397 48%
WIN
Alexander Laslavic · En Garde Fencing Sword & Buckler · Eighth-Finals
WIN
Dustin Collier · Virginia Academy of Fencing Sword & Buckler · Elimination Bracket
LOSS
David Rowe · Metropolitan Historical Fencing Academy Sword & Buckler · Gold Medal Match
1665 34%
DRAW
Philippe Dupont · Bold City Longsword Sword & Buckler · Pool 12
WIN
DRAW
Jonathan Brown · UWF Fencing Club Sword & Buckler · Pool 12
WIN
Michael Konrad · Ironwood Historic Swordsmanship Sword & Buckler · Quarterfinals
1482 42%
WIN
Chris Nolan · Triangle Sword Guild Sword & Buckler · Semifinals
1234 50%
SERFO 2018
November 2018 · us
No match-level data
20 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 71 ▲40 · 1,482.7
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 77 ▲42 · 1,451.9
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 241 ▼25 · 1,257.7
LOSS
962 69%
WIN
1229 56%
WIN
Harvey Marshall Rapier & Dagger · Pool 7
DRAW
Bradley Pemberton · Loyal Order of the Sword Rapier & Dagger · Pool 7
1257 54%
DRAW
Brian Caswell Rapier & Dagger · Pool 7
1589 42%
LOSS
Marshall Strong · Schola St. George Rapier & Dagger · Second Pool 2
WIN
Douglas Bostic · Tucson Historical Fencing Academy Rapier & Dagger · Second Pool 2
1333 54%
LOSS
Steve Chen · Maryland Kunst des Fechtens Rapier & Dagger · Second Pool 2
890 72%
WIN
Nicholas Woelfel · University of West Florida Fencing Rapier & Dagger · Second Pool 2
1268 55%
WIN
Marcus Lewis · Atlanta Historical Fencing Academy Rapier & Dagger · Second Pool 2
1524 47%
WIN
Jacob Pendergraft · Athens School of Arms Rapier · Eighthfinal 4
WIN
849 78%
WIN
WIN
1118 60%
WIN
Joshua Wiest · Triangle Sword Guild Rapier · Quarterfinal 2
LOSS
1438 45%
LOSS
Jonathan Brown · UWF Fencing Club Rapier · Third place
1359 50%
WIN
758 77%
DRAW
Benjamin Eades · Schola St. George Sword & Buckler · Pool 10
LOSS
Brian Caswell Sword & Buckler · Pool 10
1365 49%
SERFO 2017
November 2017 · us
No match-level data
20 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 75 · 1,382.8
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 62 · 1,367.4
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 129 · 1,270.4
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.