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Daniel Carrillo
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1354
#1,673
Peak
1355
June 2026
Record
6W · 3L
Last
June 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Current
1328
#393
Peak
1330
June 2026
Record
1W · 4L
Last
June 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Current
1189
#757
Peak
1198
August 2025
Record
4W · 5L
Last
August 2025
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Current
806
#473
Peak
813
June 2025
Record
0W · 4L
Last
June 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
488
#3,388
Peak
496
April 2025
Record
0W · 4L
Last
April 2025
Scout analysis
Rapier & Dagger
11W · 9L (55%)
Rapier & Dagger
11W · 9L (55%)
Form
Rising
Recent 60% vs older 50%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 60% vs older 50%
Record: 11W · 9L (55%)
Recent half (10 fights): 60%
Older half (10 fights): 50%
Delta: +10%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 20 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-0.8 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-0.8 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
-0.8
(2 actual / 2.8 expected, n=6)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 64%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 64%
Pool stage: 7W · 4L (64%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Rapier & Dagger
7W · 5L
(58%)
-0.2 vs expectation
(n=5)
avg opponent 1262
Mixed Steel Rapier & Dagger (Tier B)
4W · 4L
(50%)
avg opponent 886
Longsword
6W · 3L (67%)
Longsword
6W · 3L (67%)
Form
Steady
Recent 75% vs older 75%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 75% vs older 75%
Record: 6W · 3L (67%)
Recent half (4 fights): 75%
Older half (4 fights): 75%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 3 Wins
Based on 9 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 75%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 75%
Pool stage: 6W · 2L (75%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1354
Peak rating: 1355 (June 2026)
Gap to peak: -1
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
+9 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Sword & Buckler
4W · 5L (44%)
Sword & Buckler
4W · 5L (44%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 0% vs older 100%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 0% vs older 100%
Record: 4W · 5L (44%)
Recent half (4 fights): 0%
Older half (4 fights): 100%
Delta: -100%
Current streak: 5 Losses
Based on 9 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.73
Avg exchanges / match: 6.3
Doubles / match: 1
First scorer rate: 67%
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 0% · Elim 80%
▾
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 0% · Elim 80%
Pool stage: 0W · 3L (0%)
Elimination: 4W · 1L (80%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1189
Peak rating: 1198 (August 2025)
Gap to peak: -9
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Smallsword
3W · 3L · 1D (43%)
Smallsword
3W · 3L · 1D (43%)
Form
Building
43% win rate · 7 fights
▾
Form
Building
43% win rate · 7 fights
Record: 3W · 3L · 1D (43%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 7 recorded smallsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Elim data only
Elim 67%
▾
Stage
Elim data only
Elim 67%
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: 2W · 1L (67%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier
1W · 4L (20%)
Rapier
1W · 4L (20%)
Form
Building
20% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
20% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 1W · 4L (20%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 5 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
5 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
5 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.15
Avg exchanges / match: 6
Doubles / match: 0.8
First scorer rate: 40%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 0%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
Pool stage: 1W · 3L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1328
Peak rating: 1330 (June 2026)
Gap to peak: -2
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Singlestick
0W · 4L (0%)
Singlestick
0W · 4L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Form
Building
0% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 0W · 4L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 4 Losses
Based on 4 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
Pool stage: 0W · 3L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 806
Peak rating: 813 (June 2025)
Gap to peak: -6
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sabre
0W · 4L (0%)
Sabre
0W · 4L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Form
Building
0% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 0W · 4L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 4 Losses
Based on 4 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
6 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
6 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 2
Avg exchanges / match: 3.3
Doubles / match: 0.83
First scorer rate: 33%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 0%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
Pool stage: 0W · 4L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 488
Peak rating: 496 (April 2025)
Gap to peak: -8
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
5 events · us · 1.2 yrs active
5 rated weapons
▾
Reach
5 events · us · 1.2 yrs active
5 rated weapons
Tournaments: 5
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 14
Fights / year: 49.7
Rated weapons: 5
Clubmates
·
Black Flag HEMA●
(16)
Events & fights
(5)
SERFO - Southeast Renaissance Fencing Open 2026●
June 2026 · us
10 fights
▾
June 2026 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1651 ▲2025 · 1,355.9
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 390 ▲133 · 1,330.3
Steel Jam VII 2025●
November 2025 · us
15 fights
▾
November 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 434 ▲59 · 1,252.9
Steel Jam VI 2025●
August 2025 · us
9 fights
▾
August 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 641 · 1,198.2
Hot Sword Summer 2025●
June 2025 · us
10 fights
▾
June 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3005 ▼56 · 1,155.8
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 480 · 813.2
Fence-acola II 2025●
April 2025 · us
14 fights
▾
April 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2822 · 1,157.4
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 2297 · 496.3
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 437 · 1,214.0
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.