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Aaron McGinnis
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Current
1542
#147
Peak
1544
April 2026
Record
35W · 16L
Last
April 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1483
#745
Peak
1485
April 2026
Record
46W · 26L · 1D
Last
April 2026
Scout analysis
Longsword
46W · 26L · 1D (63%)
Longsword
46W · 26L · 1D (63%)
Form
Steady
Recent 64% vs older 61%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 64% vs older 61%
Record: 46W · 26L · 1D (63%)
Recent half (36 fights): 64%
Older half (36 fights): 61%
Delta: +3%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 73 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+1.5 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+1.5 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 3
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 5
Over/under vs expectation:
+1.5
(29 actual / 27.5 expected, n=51)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 71% · Elim 20%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 71% · Elim 20%
Pool stage: 34W · 14L (71%)
Elimination: 1W · 4L (20%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1483
Peak rating: 1485 (April 2026)
Gap to peak: -1
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
35W · 20L
(64%)
+1.7 vs expectation
(n=37)
avg opponent 1305
+18 fights in 3 thinner divisions
Sword & Buckler
35W · 16L (69%)
Sword & Buckler
35W · 16L (69%)
Form
Rising
Recent 80% vs older 60%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 80% vs older 60%
Record: 35W · 16L (69%)
Recent half (25 fights): 80%
Older half (25 fights): 60%
Delta: +20%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 51 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+2.9 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+2.9 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 3
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
+2.9
(19 actual / 16.1 expected, n=30)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 74% · Elim 20%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 74% · Elim 20%
Pool stage: 25W · 9L (74%)
Elimination: 1W · 4L (20%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1542
Peak rating: 1544 (April 2026)
Gap to peak: -1
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Any One-Handed Sword & Buckler
19W · 8L
(70%)
+1.1 vs expectation
(n=16)
avg opponent 1280
Mixed Steel Arming Sword & Buckler
16W · 8L
(67%)
+1.8 vs expectation
(n=14)
avg opponent 1201
Reach
12 events · us · 2 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
12 events · us · 2 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 12
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 24
Fights / year: 62
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Atlanta Historical Fencing Academy●
(84)
- Veronica Young●
- Paul Groover●
- Mckenzie Adlai Ewing●
- Keith Cotter-Reilly●
- Thomas Pifer●
- Marcus Lewis●
- Ashley Hearn●
- Jarred Thompson●
- Benjamin Aycrigg●
- Richard Escoto●
- Daniel Pierce●
- Lindsey Mitchell●
- Jay Luo●
- Caitlyn Trautwein●
- Billy Matt Thompson●
- Eric Musgrove●
- Jonathan Shores●
- Andi Nealon●
- Ashley Sirmans●
- Ian Lowry●
- Cameron Low●
- Youseef Jaafar●
- Graham Wallis●
- Timothy von Gal II●
- Nick Bush●
- Drake Stephens●
- David Morgan●
- Jen Richards●
- Maeve Esk●
- Teresa Knapp●
- Nik Cheimis●
- Sam Kowalski●
- Daniel French●
- Geoffrey Uhal●
- Pablo Illing●
- Emily Pittman●
- Guy Martin●
- Olivia Kurth●
- Houston Nguyen●
- Vincent Decomo●
- Ava Thrasher●
- Ferlandas Carter●
- Jason Wellham●
- Christopher Deraney●
- Allen Welch●
- Hunter Hakimian●
- Angelita Singh●
- Melissa Sakakura●
- Robert Thackston●
- Adam Sandor●
- Dante Ha●
- Jack Davis●
- Faelan McGinnis●
- David Peters●
- Vanessa Danowitz●
- Carson Moore●
- Alexander Cruz●
- Matthew Castleman●
- Lena Moller●
- Adam Funderburk●
- Thomas Dugan●
- David Blair●
- Edward Sheridan●
- Aaron Cuneo●
- Chris Trevino●
- Kira Knight●
- Justin Jackson●
- Jared Prather●
- Marin Cochran●
- Amber Vanscoit●
- Samuel Garvey●
- Travis Stone●
- Zachary Rabalais●
- Antony Parks●
- Christopher Fix●
- Katie Scott●
- Morgan Reilly●
- Tarrant Newnham●
- Agraj Jain●
- Alejandro Batres●
- Bennett Whipple●
- Harry Harrell●
- Jack Ellis●
- Noa Levin●
Events & fights
(12)
Fence-acola 3 2026●
April 2026 · us
14 fights
▾
April 2026 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 735 ▲329 · 1,485.6
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 149 ▲54 · 1,544.0
WIN
WIN
1308 54%
WIN
1060 72%
Midtown Melee 2026●
April 2026 · us
15 fights
▾
April 2026 · us
17 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1035 ▼37 · 1,424.3
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 203 ▲108 · 1,485.2
WIN
1539 38%
11 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 922 ▲97 · 1,436.5
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 299 ▲47 · 1,393.7
Hot Sword Summer 2025●
June 2025 · us
7 fights
▾
June 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 981 ▲336 · 1,417.9
LOSS
1949 4%
SERFO - Southeast Renaissance Fencing Open 2025●
June 2025 · us
10 fights
▾
June 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 981 ▲336 · 1,417.9
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 325 ▲30 · 1,367.5
LOSS
1551 26%
DRAW
Anthony Sampedro●
·
Carolina Historical Fencing Association●
Longsword
· Pools
Score 5-5 · 5 doubles
Review →
1112 60%
LOSS
1277 60%
LOSS
Aidan Witherspoon●
·
Medieval European Martial Arts Guild●
Sword & Buckler
· Pools
Score 7-1
Review →
1367 50%
6 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1317 ▼246 · 1,359.2
Fence-acola II 2025●
April 2025 · us
7 fights
▾
April 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1071 ▲452 · 1,392.2
15 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1415 ▲547 · 1,318.5
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 331 ▲293 · 1,342.9
Mid-South Historical Fencing Open 2024●
October 2024 · us
6 fights
▾
October 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1822 ▲745 · 1,240.4
10 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2436 ▲1513 · 1,131.1
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 596 ▲428 · 1,144.9
Fence-acola 2024●
April 2024 · us
6 fights
▾
April 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 3871 · 858.3
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 1008 · 866.1
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.