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Juan Manuel Ortega Carrillo
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1234
#2,656
Peak
1239
December 2025
Record
7W · 5L
Last
December 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Regional
Current
1036
#950
Peak
1040
November 2025
Record
2W · 3L
Last
November 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
919
#2,435
Peak
923
November 2025
Record
2W · 3L
Last
November 2025
Scout analysis
Longsword
7W · 5L (58%)
Longsword
7W · 5L (58%)
Form
Rising
Recent 83% vs older 33%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 83% vs older 33%
Record: 7W · 5L (58%)
Recent half (6 fights): 83%
Older half (6 fights): 33%
Delta: +50%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 12 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
Pool stage: 6W · 3L (67%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1234
Peak rating: 1239 (December 2025)
Gap to peak: -5
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
By division
+12 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Mixed Weapon
6W · 0L (100%)
Mixed Weapon
6W · 0L (100%)
Form
Building
100% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
100% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 6W · 0L (100%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 6 Wins
Based on 6 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
Pool stage: 4W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Rapier
2W · 3L (40%)
Rapier
2W · 3L (40%)
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 2W · 3L (40%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 5 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 2W · 2L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1036
Peak rating: 1040 (November 2025)
Gap to peak: -3
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Sabre
2W · 3L (40%)
Sabre
2W · 3L (40%)
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 2W · 3L (40%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 5 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 2W · 2L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 919
Peak rating: 923 (November 2025)
Gap to peak: -3
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Rapier & Dagger
2W · 3L (40%)
Rapier & Dagger
2W · 3L (40%)
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 2W · 3L (40%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 5 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 2W · 2L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Reach
2 events · mx · 1 mo active
3 rated weapons
▾
Reach
2 events · mx · 1 mo active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (mx)
Months active: 1
Fights / year: 396
Rated weapons: 3
Clubmates
·
Esgrima Histórica Scorpius●
(9)
Events & fights
(2)
Torneo con Causa – Ayudemos a Ana Tavera 2025●
December 2025 · mx
18 fights
▾
December 2025 · mx
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2507 ▲2163 · 1,239.1
WIN
José Andrés Guerrero Sánchez●
·
Wolfskopf Fencing Academy●
Longsword
· Pools
Score 9-0 · 2 doubles
Review →
WIN
Sergio Felipe Beltran●
·
Wolfskopf Fencing Academy●
Mixed Weapon
· Gold Medal Match
Score 10-6
Review →
WIN
WIN
Fernando Cascat Cienfuegos Hernandez●
·
Esgrima Histórica Scorpius●
Mixed Weapon
· Semifinals
Score 6-5
Review →
Torneo Nacional de Esgrima Antigua 2025●
November 2025 · mx
15 fights
▾
November 2025 · mx
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 4670 · 1,010.7
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 2282 · 923.1
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 833 · 1,040.8
WIN
Miguel Angel Herrera Merino●
·
Arcant Esgrima Medieval Puebla●
Longsword
· Pool 2
Score 10-3
Review →
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.
Regional At least one of this fighter's ratings is "island" - their rank/percentile is relative to an isolated regional scene, not the global population. Cross-scene rating comparisons are unreliable.