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Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
1256
Peak
1414 August 2018
Record
30W · 36L · 5D
Last
July 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
820
Peak
870 July 2019
Record
0W · 4L · 2D
Last
July 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
1164
Peak
1209 July 2017
Record
2W · 0L
Last
July 2017

Scout analysis

Rapier

30W · 35L · 5D (43%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 34% vs older 51%
Record: 30W · 35L · 5D (43%)
Recent half (35 fights): 34%
Older half (35 fights): 51%
Delta: -17%
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 70 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-4.2 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation: -4.2 (12 actual / 16.2 expected, n=34)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 45% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 10W · 12L (45%)
Elimination: 2W · 4L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
158 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1256
Peak rating: 1414 (August 2018)
Gap to peak: -158
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Single Rapier 26W · 31L · 4D (43%) -4.4 vs expectation (n=29) avg opponent 1319
+9 fights in 2 thinner divisions

Sword & Buckler

0W · 4L · 2D (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 0W · 4L · 2D (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 4 Losses
Based on 6 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-2.3 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation: -2.3 (0 actual / 2.3 expected, n=5)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
Pool stage: 0W · 3L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
49 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 820
Peak rating: 870 (July 2019)
Gap to peak: -49
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
+6 fights in 2 thinner divisions

Sabre

2W · 0L (100%)
Form
Building
100% win rate · 2 fights
Record: 2W · 0L (100%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 2 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
45 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1164
Peak rating: 1209 (July 2017)
Gap to peak: -45
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
8 events · au · 2.3 yrs active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 8
Countries fought in: 1 (au)
Months active: 27
Fights / year: 34.7
Rated weapons: 3

Clubmates · Vanguard Swordsmanship Academy (28)

Events & fights (9)

Sword Fight V 2019
July 2019 · au
10 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 160 ▼25 · 1,358.7
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 789 ▲94 · 870.7
LOSS
Emma O'Toner · Collegium in Armis Rapier · Pool Set 1
1564 24%
LOSS
1514 28%
DRAW
1229 66%
LOSS
1285 55%
DRAW
1174 69%
LOSS
Emma O'Toner · Collegium in Armis Sword & Buckler · Pool Set 1
1381 38%
LOSS
Jake Richards · Sword Fighter Gold Coast Sword & Buckler · Pool Set 1
1559 32%
DRAW
Shane Stapleton · Prima Spada School of Fence Sword & Buckler · Pool Set 1
1075 46%
LOSS
Mark Arnold · Prima Spada School of Fence Sword & Buckler · Pool Set 1
1057 49%
DRAW
Robert Dobson · Vanguard Swordsmanship Academy Sword & Buckler · Pool Set 1
786 60%
Sword Fight III
July 2017 · au
No match-level data
7 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 144 · 1,209.7
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 69 ▲41 · 1,284.1
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 333 · 757.1
7 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 126 ▲9 · 1,385.6
WIN
830 82%
LOSS
WIN
Katherine Livingston · Scholar Victoria Rapier · Pool 1 Score 2-1 Review →
LOSS
1470 31%
LOSS
1642 16%
WIN
Tim Harris · Fitzroy College of Arms Rapier · Repecharge (B Finals)
1196 58%
WIN
Nelson McGuigan · Melbourne Messer Club Rapier · Repecharge (B Finals)
1219 56%
Prima Spada HEMA Rapier Tournament 2019
March 2019 · au
No match-level data
10 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 135 ▼21 · 1,367.6
LOSS
1407 38%
WIN
977 72%
LOSS
1578 27%
LOSS
1413 47%
LOSS
1493 39%
LOSS
LOSS
1451 34%
LOSS
LOSS
1431 37%
1st HERA Event 2018
August 2018 · au
4 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 83 ▲6 · 1,414.2
LOSS
Mark Holgate · Adelaide Sword Academy Rapier · Eighth-Finals
1358 47%
DRAW
James Handley · Adelaide Sword Academy Rapier · Pool Matches
1497 29%
WIN
768 81%
WIN
Kimito Wynn · Adelaide Sword Academy Rapier · Pool Matches
Sword Fight IV 2018
July 2018 · au
10 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 89 ▲18 · 1,402.3
LOSS
1372 39%
LOSS
1614 25%
WIN
Carter Walshe · Ursa Major HEMA Academy Rapier · Pool Matches
1185 61%
LOSS
1539 31%
WIN
1192 54%
WIN
1247 56%
DRAW
1366 46%
LOSS
Paul Roberson · Sword Fighter Gold Coast Rapier · Pool Matches
1307 52%
WIN
739 68%
WIN
1177 54%
Prima Spada HEMA Rapier Tournament
March 2018 · au
No match-level data
10 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 91 ▲16 · 1,358.9
WIN
1234 49%
WIN
1066 59%
LOSS
WIN
LOSS
LOSS
1065 52%
LOSS
1411 34%
Festival of the Sword '17
April 2017 · au
No match-level data
16 fights
Swordplay Australia 2018
September 2018
No match-level data
4 fights
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.