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Brett Kagan
Inactive 87m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
1582
Peak
1685
August 2019
Record
61W · 21L · 1D
Last
August 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
1503
Peak
1595
August 2019
Record
33W · 12L
Last
August 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1512
Peak
1578
August 2018
Record
10W · 1L
Last
August 2018
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword
Inactive
Current
1257
Peak
1313
February 2018
Record
9W · 3L · 2D
Last
February 2018
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
1075
Peak
1134
September 2017
Record
2W · 3L
Last
September 2017
Scout analysis
Rapier
61W · 20L · 1D (74%)
Rapier
61W · 20L · 1D (74%)
Form
Rising
Recent 83% vs older 66%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 83% vs older 66%
Record: 61W · 20L · 1D (74%)
Recent half (41 fights): 83%
Older half (41 fights): 66%
Delta: +17%
Current streak: 7 Wins
Based on 82 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+4.2 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+4.2 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 3
Over/under vs expectation:
+4.2
(28 actual / 23.8 expected, n=39)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 90% · Elim 70%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 90% · Elim 70%
Pool stage: 27W · 3L (90%)
Elimination: 7W · 3L (70%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
102 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
102 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1582
Peak rating: 1685 (August 2019)
Gap to peak: -102
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Single Rapier
55W · 17L · 1D
(75%)
+4.2 vs expectation
(n=39)
avg opponent 1350
Mixed Steel Rapier And Any Sidearm
6W · 3L
(67%)
Sword & Buckler
33W · 12L (73%)
Sword & Buckler
33W · 12L (73%)
Form
Rising
Recent 82% vs older 64%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 82% vs older 64%
Record: 33W · 12L (73%)
Recent half (22 fights): 82%
Older half (22 fights): 64%
Delta: +18%
Current streak: 7 Wins
Based on 45 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+2.1 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+2.1 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
+2.1
(12 actual / 9.9 expected, n=18)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 88% · Elim 57%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 88% · Elim 57%
Pool stage: 14W · 2L (88%)
Elimination: 4W · 3L (57%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
91 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
91 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1503
Peak rating: 1595 (August 2019)
Gap to peak: -91
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Any One-Handed Sword & Buckler
27W · 9L
(75%)
+1.5 vs expectation
(n=11)
avg opponent 1345
Mixed Steel Arming Sword & Buckler
6W · 3L
(67%)
+0.6 vs expectation
(n=7)
avg opponent 1111
Mixed Weapon
19W · 9L · 1D (66%)
Mixed Weapon
19W · 9L · 1D (66%)
Form
Steady
Recent 71% vs older 64%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 71% vs older 64%
Record: 19W · 9L · 1D (66%)
Recent half (14 fights): 71%
Older half (14 fights): 64%
Delta: +7%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 29 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 83% · Elim 33%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 83% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 10W · 2L (83%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Any One-Handed Weapon No Sidearm
15W · 6L · 1D
(68%)
+7 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Sidesword
9W · 3L · 2D (64%)
Sidesword
9W · 3L · 2D (64%)
Form
Rising
Recent 86% vs older 43%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 86% vs older 43%
Record: 9W · 3L · 2D (64%)
Recent half (7 fights): 86%
Older half (7 fights): 43%
Delta: +43%
Current streak: 6 Wins
Based on 14 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 75% · Elim 67%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 75% · Elim 67%
Pool stage: 6W · 2L (75%)
Elimination: 2W · 1L (67%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
56 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
56 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1257
Peak rating: 1313 (February 2018)
Gap to peak: -56
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
+14 fights in 3 thinner divisions
Basket-Hilted Broadsword
6W · 5L · 1D (50%)
Basket-Hilted Broadsword
6W · 5L · 1D (50%)
Form
Rising
Recent 67% vs older 33%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 67% vs older 33%
Record: 6W · 5L · 1D (50%)
Recent half (6 fights): 67%
Older half (6 fights): 33%
Delta: +34%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 12 recorded basket-hilted broadsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 55%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 55%
Pool stage: 6W · 5L (55%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Longsword
10W · 1L (91%)
Longsword
10W · 1L (91%)
Form
Rising
Recent 100% vs older 80%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 100% vs older 80%
Record: 10W · 1L (91%)
Recent half (5 fights): 100%
Older half (5 fights): 80%
Delta: +20%
Current streak: 6 Wins
Based on 11 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
Pool stage: 8W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
66 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
66 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1512
Peak rating: 1578 (August 2018)
Gap to peak: -66
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
+11 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Sabre
2W · 3L (40%)
Sabre
2W · 3L (40%)
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 2W · 3L (40%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 5 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
58 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
58 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1075
Peak rating: 1134 (September 2017)
Gap to peak: -58
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Smallsword
4W · 1L (80%)
Smallsword
4W · 1L (80%)
Form
Building
80% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
80% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 4W · 1L (80%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 5 recorded smallsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
Pool stage: 4W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
12 events · 4 countries · 2.3 yrs active
5 rated weapons
▾
Reach
12 events · 4 countries · 2.3 yrs active
5 rated weapons
Tournaments: 12
Countries fought in: 4 (au, ie, uk, it)
Months active: 28
Fights / year: 87
Rated weapons: 5
Clubmates
·
The School of Historical Fencing●
(89)
- Gindi Wauchope●
- Stuart Manahan●
- Stuart Willis●
- Justin Weaver●
- Lachlan Porter●
- Jesse De Cata●
- Roman Cunci●
- Patrick Hunter●
- Adam Tate●
- Liam Schofield●
- Roy Bleasdale●
- Tashi Dhondup●
- Jason Metcalfe●
- Simon Tomasetti●
- Hunter Blackwood●
- Will Brookes●
- Maxime Kerault●
- Liu Yuxing●
- Andrew Trounson●
- Julian Trounson●
- Lorne Williams●
- Pavle Ivanov●
- Elizabeth Norris-King●
- SongYu Liang●
- Zhenghao (William) Hua●
- Gregory Noonan●
- Martin Bucholtz●
- Ashleigh Minney●
- Enzo Lara-Hamilton●
- Zuorui Liu●
- Alex Muir●
- Oskarn Olsson●
- Xinghuan Liu●
- David Stella●
- Minh Le●
- Lu Lu●
- Kay Tiefholz●
- Mitchell Paterson●
- Paul Coia●
- Anthony Polanski●
- Brad Bennets●
- Lucy Jarvis●
- David Barclay●
- David Norris-King●
- Alan Li●
- Andrew Slorach●
- Jason Cochrane●
- Michael Aitken●
- Valerie Bright●
- Chao Li●
- Darcy Pingitore●
- Duc Tam (John) Nguyen●
- Robin Ren●
- Mitchell Keene●
- Kale Lacey●
- Adam Hembree●
- Ash Rhynsburger●
- Daniel Bolitho●
- Michael Kot●
- Dylan Porter●
- Mateo Castano●
- Patrick Mao●
- Henrick Chan●
- James Mitchell Brit Davison●
- Jessey Dalla-Vecchia●
- Juan Maddock●
- Tom Montgomery-Scobie●
- Aella Mendes●
- Joe Kakou●
- Kelvin Pedofsky●
- Matthew Juers●
- Aidan Vidovic●
- Thomas Howe●
- Vivian Excell●
- Aisling Henry●
- Angus McCarter●
- Anita Twisk●
- Luca Patel●
- Urvashi Garg●
- Andrew McLay●
- Koosha Ahmadi●
- Lachlan Steel●
- Leigh Maffei●
- Timothy Swayn●
- William Duong●
- Emily Manning●
- Tom Lanyon●
- Michael Petselis●
- Conory Attwood●
Events & fights
(16)
21 fights
▾
Winter Open Tournaments 2019●
August 2019 · au
14 fights
▾
August 2019 · au
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 15 ▲9 · 1,685.4
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 54 ▲39 · 1,595.0
18 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 32 ▼11 · 1,429.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 68 · 1,332.2
Festival of the Sword 2019●
April 2019 · au
19 fights
▾
April 2019 · au
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 18 ▲4 · 1,653.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 81 ▲52 · 1,524.4
WIN
1519 39%
WIN
Sebastian Seager●
·
Victorian Historical Combat Academy●
Sword & Buckler
· Pool 2
Score 4-1
Review →
LOSS
1813 17%
WIN
400 Year Tournament 2018●
November 2018 · au
15 fights
▾
November 2018 · au
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 18 · 1,642.6
1st HERA Event 2018●
August 2018 · au
12 fights
▾
August 2018 · au
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 138 ▲248 · 1,578.9
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 16 ▲4 · 1,622.8
WIN
Kristian Zirnasak●
·
Historical European Rapier Academy●
Longsword
· Pool Matches
Score 6-0
Review →
WIN
920 76%
WIN
920 76%
LOSS
1645 45%
Sword Fight IV 2018●
July 2018 · au
12 fights
▾
July 2018 · au
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 20 ▲10 · 1,604.1
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 89 ▲6 · 1,448.9
LOSS
1614 42%
WIN
1614 42%
LOSS
1427 46%
6 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 29 ▲14 · 1,540.7
7 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 42 ▼1 · 1,457.3
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 81 ▼16 · 1,429.5
6 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 38 · 1,313.5
16 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 320 · 1,439.7
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 65 ▼5 · 1,453.8
17 fights
▾
Sidesword Open 2018○
June 2018
No match-level data
7 fights
▾
June 2018
No match-level data
Alfieri Open 2019○
February 2019
No match-level data
10 fights
▾
February 2019
No match-level data
World Broadsword Championship 2018○
June 2018
No match-level data
12 fights
▾
June 2018
No match-level data
400 Years Tournament○
July 2017
No match-level data
11 fights
▾
July 2017
No match-level data
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.