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Matthew Holden-Williams

Tempus Fugitives · United Kingdom
Inactive 84m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
1359
Peak
1448 November 2019
Record
7W · 6L
Last
November 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1342
Peak
1445 November 2019
Record
49W · 37L · 1D
Last
November 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
1059
Peak
1138 November 2019
Record
0W · 0L
Last
November 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
1119
Peak
1236 November 2018
Record
14W · 20L · 3D
Last
September 2019

Scout analysis

Longsword

45W · 37L · 2D (54%)
Form
Rising
Recent 74% vs older 33%
Record: 45W · 37L · 2D (54%)
Recent half (42 fights): 74%
Older half (42 fights): 33%
Delta: +41%
Current streak: 4 Wins
Based on 84 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+3.9 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 5
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation: +3.9 (29 actual / 25.1 expected, n=56)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 67% · Elim 50%
Pool stage: 26W · 13L (67%)
Elimination: 7W · 7L (50%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
103 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1342
Peak rating: 1445 (November 2019)
Gap to peak: -103
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword 38W · 32L · 1D (54%) +3.9 vs expectation (n=56) avg opponent 1273
Mixed Synthetic Longsword 7W · 5L · 1D (54%)

Sabre

14W · 20L · 3D (38%)
Form
Rising
Recent 44% vs older 33%
Record: 14W · 20L · 3D (38%)
Recent half (18 fights): 44%
Older half (18 fights): 33%
Delta: +11%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 37 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-3.4 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation: -3.4 (7 actual / 10.4 expected, n=25)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 12W · 12L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
116 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1119
Peak rating: 1236 (November 2018)
Gap to peak: -116
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sidesword

18W · 11L (62%)
Form
Rising
Recent 79% vs older 43%
Record: 18W · 11L (62%)
Recent half (14 fights): 79%
Older half (14 fights): 43%
Delta: +36%
Current streak: 3 Wins
Based on 29 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+2.8 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under vs expectation: +2.8 (13 actual / 10.2 expected, n=17)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 63% · Elim 50%
Pool stage: 15W · 9L (63%)
Elimination: 2W · 2L (50%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Rapier & Dagger

7W · 16L (30%)
Form
Rising
Recent 45% vs older 18%
Record: 7W · 16L (30%)
Recent half (11 fights): 45%
Older half (11 fights): 18%
Delta: +27%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 23 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+0.3 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Over/under vs expectation: +0.3 (5 actual / 4.7 expected, n=14)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
Pool stage: 7W · 14L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sword & Buckler

6W · 5L (55%)
Form
Rising
Recent 80% vs older 20%
Record: 6W · 5L (55%)
Recent half (5 fights): 80%
Older half (5 fights): 20%
Delta: +60%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 11 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+3.1 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 5
Over/under vs expectation: +3.1 (6 actual / 2.9 expected, n=9)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 50% · Elim 67%
Pool stage: 4W · 4L (50%)
Elimination: 2W · 1L (67%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
89 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1359
Peak rating: 1448 (November 2019)
Gap to peak: -89
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
13 events · 2 countries · 2.5 yrs active
4 rated weapons
Tournaments: 13
Countries fought in: 2 (uk, nl)
Months active: 30
Fights / year: 73.6
Rated weapons: 4

Clubmates · Tempus Fugitives (15)

Events & fights (14)

Wessex League: Bath Chapter 2017
October 2017 · uk
No match-level data
4 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 282 ▲85 · 1,055.8
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 997 ▼34 · 1,140.3
LOSS
1442 35%
WIN
955 59%
Wessex League: Bristol Chapter 2017
September 2017 · uk
No match-level data
5 fights
Wessex League: Oxford 2019
November 2019 · uk
16 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 505 ▲43 · 1,445.6
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 397 ▲9 · 1,138.9
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 146 ▲10 · 1,448.9
LOSS
Joseph Kennerley · Oxford Sword and Staff Longsword · Eighth-Finals
WIN
Richard Jervis · Oxford Sword and Staff Longsword · Elimination Bracket
WIN
1181 79%
WIN
Joe Smart · Smart HEMA Clubs Longsword · Pool Set 1
WIN
James Waite · Oxford Sword and Staff Longsword · Pool Set 1
922 82%
LOSS
Pedro San Miguel · Ausardia Rapier & Dagger · Eighth-Finals
1464 20%
LOSS
Sam Brennan Booth · The Renaissance Sword Club Rapier & Dagger · Pool Set 1
1537 17%
LOSS
Jordan Eyre · Academy of Historical Fencing Rapier & Dagger · Pool Set 1
1411 26%
WIN
Tom Verduyn · Smart HEMA Clubs Rapier & Dagger · Pool Set 1
835 61%
WIN
Douglas Mclean · Taunton Longswords Rapier & Dagger · Pool Set 1
763 64%
LOSS
Joseph Kennerley · Oxford Sword and Staff Rapier & Dagger · Pool Set 1
LOSS
Apollon Makropoulos · The School of the Sword Sidesword · Eighth-Finals
1343 60%
LOSS
Patrick Rance · Smart HEMA Clubs Sidesword · Pool Set 1
WIN
James Dougherty · KdF Manchester Sidesword · Pool Set 1
1085 56%
WIN
1258 66%
WIN
1413 49%
Wessex League: London 2019
October 2019 · uk
16 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 548 ▲118 · 1,431.5
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 406 ▲127 · 1,124.7
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 156 ▲2 · 1,430.4
WIN
1255 62%
WIN
James Waite · Oxford Sword and Staff Longsword · Elimination Bracket
866 75%
WIN
Zhengbang Deng · Oxford Sword and Staff Longsword · Pool Set 1 Score 10-2 Review →
WIN
1255 62%
WIN
Christopher Wood · Wolfshead Western Martial Arts Longsword · Pool Set 1 Score 12-5 Review →
1020 84%
LOSS
Jamie MacIver · London Historical Fencing Club Longsword · Quarterfinals Score 9-10 Review →
1639 18%
LOSS
Rory Merrall-Wyre · The Renaissance Sword Club Rapier & Dagger · Eighth-Finals
1407 20%
WIN
Michael Richards · The Iron Door Collective Rapier & Dagger · Pool Set 1 Score 11-0 Review →
785 56%
WIN
Emma Smith · The School of the Sword Rapier & Dagger · Pool Set 1 Score 10-0 Review →
804 55%
WIN
Apollon Makropoulos · The School of the Sword Rapier & Dagger · Pool Set 1 Score 10-6 Review →
1387 21%
LOSS
Rob Runacres · The Renaissance Sword Club Rapier & Dagger · Pool Set 1 Score 1-12 Review →
1605 10%
WIN
Apollon Makropoulos · The School of the Sword Sidesword · Pool Set 1 Score 10-6 Review →
1285 63%
WIN
Emma Smith · The School of the Sword Sidesword · Pool Set 1 Score 10-0 Review →
639 84%
WIN
Jo Wimborne · Edel Fencing Academy Sidesword · Pool Set 1 Score 10-2 Review →
860 91%
WIN
Stephen Howell · The Renaissance Sword Club Sidesword · Pool Set 1 Score 10-7 Review →
1100 74%
LOSS
Stephen Howell · The Renaissance Sword Club Sidesword · Quarterfinals Score 10-7 Review →
1100 74%
Wessex League - Exeter 2019
September 2019 · uk
18 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 666 ▲86 · 1,397.4
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 374 ▼32 · 1,208.0
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 158 ▲63 · 1,426.0
WIN
Stefano Conese · Scherma Storica Lecce Longsword · Eighth-Finals
1409 45%
WIN
Elizabeth Kirkpatrick · Taunton Longswords Longsword · Pool Set 1
547 88%
WIN
Ben Luxa · Exeter Sparring Group Longsword · Pool Set 1
865 75%
WIN
Stefano Conese · Scherma Storica Lecce Longsword · Pool Set 1
1409 45%
WIN
1012 80%
LOSS
Adrien Michaud · Auckland Longsword Longsword · Pool Set 1
1522 28%
LOSS
Edmund Withnell · Order of the Blade Longsword · Quarterfinals
1537 27%
LOSS
Thomas Pittwood · The Iron Door Collective Sabre · Eighth-Finals Score 5-6 Review →
1184 55%
WIN
Jonathan Green · The Iron Door Collective Sabre · Pool Set 1 Score 12-6 Review →
485 76%
LOSS
Zoltan Betlen · Cambridge HEMA Sabre · Pool Set 1 Score 4-7 Review →
1157 47%
LOSS
Pedro San Miguel · Ausardia Sabre · Pool Set 1 Score 2-11 Review →
1711 8%
WIN
Douglas Mclean · Taunton Longswords Sabre · Pool Set 1 Score 10-3 Review →
856 75%
WIN
Stefano Conese · Scherma Storica Lecce Sidesword · Gold Medal Match
1010 55%
WIN
Zoltan Betlen · Cambridge HEMA Sidesword · Pool Set 1 Score 4-7 Review →
939 65%
WIN
Emma Smith · The School of the Sword Sidesword · Pool Set 1
WIN
Jo Wimborne · Edel Fencing Academy Sidesword · Pool Set 1
836 87%
WIN
Jonathan Green · The Iron Door Collective Sidesword · Quarterfinals Score 12-6 Review →
WIN
Zoltan Betlen · Cambridge HEMA Sidesword · Semifinals Score 4-7 Review →
939 65%
Wessex League: Winchester Chapter 2018
November 2018 · uk
No match-level data
17 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 598 ▲79 · 1,381.7
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 257 ▼8 · 1,236.6
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 175 ▲188 · 1,351.3
WIN
1304 53%
WIN
Philip Mitchell · Cambridge HEMA Longsword · Pool 2
1188 69%
WIN
1072 55%
LOSS
1727 9%
WIN
Douglas Mclean · Taunton Longswords Longsword · Pool 2
915 85%
LOSS
Thomas Pittwood · The Iron Door Collective Longsword · Quarterfinal
1159 71%
WIN
886 70%
LOSS
1150 52%
LOSS
1533 19%
LOSS
Jay Maxwell · Tempus Fugitives Sword & Buckler · Eighthfinal
1760 9%
WIN
1290 36%
WIN
Adrian Faulkner · The School of the Sword Sword & Buckler · Pool 3
1474 24%
WIN
Philip Hodder · The School of the Sword Sword & Buckler · Pool 3
1103 44%
LOSS
Mike Prendergast · Historical Combat Academy Sword & Buckler · Pool 3
1147 43%
WIN
Joshua Bradshaw · Southampton Historical Fencing Sword & Buckler · Quarterfinal
1290 36%
WIN
Dave McPherson · Alpha Weapons Academy Sword & Buckler · Semifinal
1479 22%
Wessex League: London Chapter 2018
October 2018 · uk
No match-level data
20 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 677 ▲104 · 1,350.9
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 249 ▲7 · 1,227.7
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 448 ▲4 · 983.4
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 363 ▲73 · 1,119.4
WIN
Amir Sheikh-Warak · Schola Gladiatoria Longsword · Eighthfinal
1442 34%
WIN
1076 73%
WIN
981 58%
WIN
Leo Brown · Virtus Sword School Longsword · Pool 4
867 78%
WIN
Pepin Marshall · Ochs München Longsword · Pool 4
814 72%
LOSS
Pedro San Miguel · Ausardia Longsword · Pool 4
1609 15%
LOSS
Rowan Skilbeck · Waterloo Sparring Group Longsword · Quarterfinal
1648 13%
LOSS
Chris Hartley · The School of the Sword Rapier & Dagger · Pool 1
1155 41%
LOSS
Maria Makarova · Waterloo Sparring Group Rapier & Dagger · Pool 1
1248 36%
LOSS
Adrian Faulkner · The School of the Sword Rapier & Dagger · Pool 1
1504 19%
LOSS
Mike Prendergast · Historical Combat Academy Rapier & Dagger · Pool 1
1443 21%
WIN
WIN
908 60%
DRAW
1299 41%
LOSS
Anthony Garnier · Lyon AMHE Sabre · Pool 1
942 57%
LOSS
Pedro San Miguel · Ausardia Sabre · Pool 1
1645 13%
WIN
Jo Wimborne · Edel Fencing Academy Sidesword · Pool 3
891 64%
LOSS
Sam Gedrych · Riddle of Steel Sidesword · Pool 3
WIN
Jordan Mock · Academy of Steel Sidesword · Pool 3
LOSS
1588 16%
Wessex League: London Chapter 2018
September 2018 · uk
No match-level data
20 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 677 ▲104 · 1,350.9
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 249 ▲7 · 1,227.7
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 448 ▲4 · 983.4
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 363 ▲73 · 1,119.4
LOSS
Robert Williams · The School of the Sword Longsword · Eighthfinal
1366 29%
WIN
1244 33%
WIN
LOSS
1658 8%
WIN
James Barker · The School of the Sword Rapier & Dagger · Pool 1
883
LOSS
Michael Smallridge · Auckland Longsword Rapier & Dagger · Pool 1
1301
LOSS
Adrian Faulkner · The School of the Sword Rapier & Dagger · Pool 1
1457
WIN
Emilia Skirmuntt · The School of the Sword Rapier & Dagger · Pool 1
1048
LOSS
1181 47%
WIN
LOSS
1569 19%
DRAW
967 55%
WIN
LOSS
Pedro San Miguel · Ausardia Sabre · Quarterfinal
1568 20%
WIN
1114 34%
WIN
WIN
LOSS
Dorian Canham · De Feu et d'Acier Sidesword · Pool 1
1633 15%
LOSS
Wessex League: London Chapter 2018
September 2018 · uk
No match-level data
19 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 677 ▲104 · 1,350.9
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 249 ▲7 · 1,227.7
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 448 ▲4 · 983.4
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 363 ▲73 · 1,119.4
WIN
1125 51%
WIN
1284 33%
WIN
1051 60%
LOSS
1657 8%
WIN
1366 29%
WIN
1002 47%
LOSS
1719 6%
LOSS
Dave McPherson · Alpha Weapons Academy Rapier & Dagger · Pool 4
LOSS
Stewart Hotston · The School of the Sword Rapier & Dagger · Pool 4
1578
LOSS
Maria Makarova · Waterloo Sparring Group Rapier & Dagger · Pool 4
1100
LOSS
John Waller · The School of the Sword Rapier & Dagger · Pool 4
1036
WIN
LOSS
WIN
1091 53%
LOSS
Pedro San Miguel · Ausardia Sabre · Pool 2
1568 20%
WIN
Chris Mills · The School of the Sword Sword & Buckler · Pool 5
1149 32%
LOSS
LOSS
Stewart Hotston · The School of the Sword Sword & Buckler · Pool 5
LOSS
Davy van Elst · Sumus Soldani Sword & Buckler · Pool 5
1032 46%
Dutch Lions Cup 2018
August 2018 · nl
No match-level data
5 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1211 ▼119 · 1,175.1
LOSS
1346 40%
LOSS
Sacha de Wind · Zwaard & Steen Longsword · Pool 9
1443 26%
LOSS
Jos Baars · Zwaard & Steen Longsword · Pool 9
1346 34%
LOSS
Bastian Tilgner · Schwert und Bogen Longsword · Pool 9
1523 20%
LOSS
Max van den Ekart · Houw en Hoede Longsword · Pool 9
1674 11%
Albion Cup 2018
July 2018 · uk
No match-level data
13 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1092 ▲172 · 1,203.5
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 310 ▲64 · 1,125.8
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 582 · 814.1
LOSS
Pedro San Miguel · Ausardia Longsword · Pool 4
1461 25%
LOSS
1619 14%
WIN
Leonard Carpentier · AMHE Paris Longsword · Pool 4
1486 23%
WIN
Anezka Havlikova · Glasgow HEMA Longsword · Pool 4
873 61%
LOSS
Jerze de Reus · De Zwaardkring Longsword · Pool 4
1114 44%
WIN
1005 60%
LOSS
Greg Szanto · Tree of Shields Sabre · Pool 2
1259 33%
WIN
Jerze de Reus · De Zwaardkring Sabre · Pool 2
LOSS
1529 21%
LOSS
Greg Szanto · Tree of Shields Sidesword · Pool 4
1129
LOSS
1330
LOSS
Max van den Ekart · Houw en Hoede Sidesword · Pool 4
1423
LOSS
842
Wessex League: Bath Chapter 2017
December 2017 · uk
No match-level data
9 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 282 ▲85 · 1,055.8
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 997 ▼34 · 1,140.3
Wessex League: Bath Chapter 2017
November 2017 · uk
No match-level data
9 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 282 ▲85 · 1,055.8
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 997 ▼34 · 1,140.3
The May Melee 2017
May 2017
No match-level data
13 fights
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.