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Patrick Breitenbach
Inactive 85m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1129
Peak
1214
September 2019
Record
12W · 21L · 1D
Last
September 2019
Scout analysis
Longsword
12W · 21L · 1D (35%)
Longsword
12W · 21L · 1D (35%)
Form
Rising
Recent 41% vs older 29%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 41% vs older 29%
Record: 12W · 21L · 1D (35%)
Recent half (17 fights): 41%
Older half (17 fights): 29%
Delta: +12%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 34 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-0.5 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-0.5 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
-0.5
(11 actual / 11.5 expected, n=29)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 38%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 38%
Pool stage: 11W · 18L (38%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
85 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
85 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1129
Peak rating: 1214 (September 2019)
Gap to peak: -85
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
8W · 16L · 1D
(32%)
-1.2 vs expectation
(n=20)
avg opponent 1259
Mixed Steel Longsword (Open)
4W · 5L
(44%)
+0.8 vs expectation
(n=9)
avg opponent 1296
Mixed Weapon
5W · 4L · 1D (50%)
Mixed Weapon
5W · 4L · 1D (50%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 40% vs older 60%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 40% vs older 60%
Record: 5W · 4L · 1D (50%)
Recent half (5 fights): 40%
Older half (5 fights): 60%
Delta: -20%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 10 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 56%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 56%
Pool stage: 5W · 4L (56%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
5 events · us · 2 yrs active
Single-weapon
▾
Reach
5 events · us · 2 yrs active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 5
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 24
Fights / year: 22
Rated weapons: 1
Clubmates
·
Boston Armizare●
(61)
- Christina Beaulieu●
- Derek Wise●
- David Lillethun●
- Nick Reynolds●
- Ania Chaney●
- Colin Cui●
- Andrew Gleason●
- Annette Sherrod●
- Declan Moloney●
- Ethan Heilman●
- Dionyssis Mintzopoulos●
- Mike O'Brien●
- Yuhan Guo●
- RJ Bacon●
- Joe DeMartino●
- Ian Carmichael●
- Jake Burns●
- Sean You●
- Diego Luis●
- Steve Massaroni●
- James Husband●
- Young Kuo●
- Michael Madeiros●
- Eric Chanudet●
- Chris Granados-Kramer●
- Molly Neylan●
- Jacqueline Doyle●
- Zachary Fournier●
- Arun Khanna●
- Clayton Dembski●
- Ryley Thompson●
- Cillian Sterling●
- Devin Reichardt●
- Alexis Pyne●
- Jay Leccese●
- Anders Anderson●
- Peter Breton●
- Siheng You●
- Katherine Butt●
- Nicholas Durant●
- Matthew Lee●
- Matthew Vega●
- Tim O'Connor●
- Chris Cecchi●
- Martin Kim●
- Christian Kunert●
- Jacob Chess●
- Maddi Coyne●
- Steve Landy●
- Adrian Gunn●
- Alexander Johnson●
- Emma Allard●
- Nicholas Clark●
- Raymond Walach●
- Will del Solar●
- William Brown●
- Chris Sousa●
- Diego Farrell●
- Wanli Cheng●
- Bryce Kneer●
- Gary Chen●
Events & fights
(5)
4 fights
▾
Iron Gate Exhibition (IGX) 2019●
September 2019 · us
14 fights
▾
September 2019 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1375 ▲112 · 1,214.0
Long Island Point 2018●
November 2018 · us
12 fights
▾
November 2018 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1262 ▲51 · 1,198.5
LOSS
Donovan Neiford●
·
Massachusetts Historical Swordsmanship●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 0-3
Review →
1409 30%
WIN
988 67%
LOSS
1565 19%
LOSS
1355 35%
WIN
Leanne Gonzalez-Singer●
·
New York Historical Fencing Association●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 2-0
Review →
857 80%
5 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1288 ▲294 · 1,175.5
9 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1545 ▲754 · 1,091.3
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.