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Casper Ellestad-Andersen
Inactive 59m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1459
Peak
1642
January 2017
Record
75W · 43L · 1D
Last
October 2021
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
1033
Peak
1095
January 2017
Record
0W · 0L
Last
January 2017
Scout analysis
Longsword
75W · 43L · 1D (63%)
Longsword
75W · 43L · 1D (63%)
Form
Steady
Recent 61% vs older 64%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 61% vs older 64%
Record: 75W · 43L · 1D (63%)
Recent half (59 fights): 61%
Older half (59 fights): 64%
Delta: -3%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 119 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+3.3 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+3.3 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 10
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 7
Over/under vs expectation:
+3.3
(51 actual / 47.7 expected, n=84)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 57% · Elim 33%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 57% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 4W · 3L (57%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
183 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
183 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1459
Peak rating: 1642 (January 2017)
Gap to peak: -183
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
66W · 37L · 1D
(63%)
+2.2 vs expectation
(n=75)
avg opponent 1295
Men's Steel Longsword
6W · 3L
(67%)
+1.1 vs expectation
(n=9)
avg opponent 1435
+6 fights in 1 thinner division
Messer
10W · 2L (83%)
Messer
10W · 2L (83%)
Form
Rising
Recent 100% vs older 67%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 100% vs older 67%
Record: 10W · 2L (83%)
Recent half (6 fights): 100%
Older half (6 fights): 67%
Delta: +33%
Current streak: 6 Wins
Based on 12 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
Pool stage: 6W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier & Dagger
2W · 3L (40%)
Rapier & Dagger
2W · 3L (40%)
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 2W · 3L (40%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 5 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
16 events · 5 countries · 9.5 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
16 events · 5 countries · 9.5 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 16
Countries fought in: 5 (us, dk, nl, se, by)
Months active: 114
Fights / year: 14.3
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Aros Historical Fencing Guild●
(18)
- Germano Pirrone●
- Benjamin Lentz Olesen●
- Morten Wesley Malm●
- Michał Barczuk●
- Magnus Spetzler●
- Julia Soh●
- Krzysztof Kruczyński●
- Mattias Nyström Renouf●
- Nicklas Zacho●
- Frank Nolte●
- Guglielmo Mirone●
- Jacob Aagaard Trier●
- Esben Gjerløff●
- Leif Capparelli Pettersen●
- Rasmus Birk Jørgensen●
- Leo Lejel Gehlert●
- Troels Windekilde●
- Thomas Joensen●
Events & fights
(18)
5 fights
▾
9 fights
▾
7 fights
▾
24 fights
▾
1 fight
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 238 ▼5 · 668.3
8 fights
▾
9 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 43 ▲26 · 1,542.1
6 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 61 ▼1 · 1,481.7
9 fights
▾
5 fights
▾
4 fights
▾
7 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 198 ▲59 · 1,522.8
4 fights
▾
3 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 277 ▼46 · 1,525.6
10 fights
▾
13 fights
▾
Longpoint 2019○
March 2019
No match-level data
6 fights
▾
March 2019
No match-level data
Longpoint 2012○
June 2012
No match-level data
6 fights
▾
June 2012
No match-level data
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.