Skip to main content

Josh Lucas

Sword Carolina · United States
Rating
1344
Record
14W · 11L · 2D (28 fights)
Inactive 106m

Weapons

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1344
Peak
1493 July 2017
Record
0W · 0L
Last
November 2017

Scout analysis

Form
Steady
Recent 54% vs older 54%
Record: 14W · 11L · 2D (52%)
Recent half (13 fights): 54%
Older half (13 fights): 54%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 2 Losss
Based on 27 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
Avg opponent 1357
Avg opponent rating: 1357
Avg rating of fighters beaten: 1296
Avg rating of fighters who beat them: 1418
Quality wins (vs higher-rated): 5
Upset losses (to lower-rated by 50+): 3
Over/under vs expectation: -0.1 (9 actual / 9.1 expected, n=19)
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Reach
6 events · us · 1.3 yrs active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 6
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 16
Fights / year: 20.3
Rated weapons: 1
Peak
149 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1344
Peak rating: 1493 (July 2017)
Gap to peak: -149
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Events & fights (6)

Longpoint South 2016
October 2016 · us
ⓘ Not linked to HEMA Scorecard yet
4 fights
WIN
1399 49%
WIN
LOSS
1428 46%
SERFO 2017
November 2017 · us
ⓘ Not linked to HEMA Scorecard yet
3 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 277 ▼82 · 1,442.9
SERFO 2016
November 2016 · us
ⓘ Not linked to HEMA Scorecard yet
4 fights
Queen's Gambit 2017
March 2017 · us
ⓘ Not linked to HEMA Scorecard yet
9 fights
WIN
WIN
1171 71%
WIN
1077 52%
WIN
1153 69%
WIN
1662 27%
LOSS
1502 36%
Longpoint 2017
July 2017 · us
ⓘ Not linked to HEMA Scorecard yet
4 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 160 ▲60 · 1,493.3
WIN
1645 31%
LOSS
1676 32%
WIN
1803 18%
Longpoint 2016
July 2016 · us
ⓘ Not linked to HEMA Scorecard yet
3 fights

Clubmates · Sword Carolina (21)

How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.