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Martin Forrester

KdF Manchester · United Kingdom
Inactive 107m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1332
Peak
1425 November 2018
Record
18W · 11L · 1D
Last
November 2018
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
1257
Peak
1402 July 2017
Record
10W · 10L · 2D
Last
November 2018
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Inactive
Current
1367
Peak
1417 October 2017
Record
4W · 0L
Last
October 2017
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
1224
Peak
1288 July 2017
Record
4W · 2L · 1D
Last
July 2017

Scout analysis

Longsword

18W · 11L · 1D (60%)
Form
Rising
Recent 67% vs older 53%
Record: 18W · 11L · 1D (60%)
Recent half (15 fights): 67%
Older half (15 fights): 53%
Delta: +14%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 30 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+0.4 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation: +0.4 (13 actual / 12.6 expected, n=22)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 67% · Elim 50%
Pool stage: 10W · 5L (67%)
Elimination: 2W · 2L (50%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
93 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1332
Peak rating: 1425 (November 2018)
Gap to peak: -93
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sabre

10W · 10L · 2D (45%)
Form
Steady
Recent 45% vs older 45%
Record: 10W · 10L · 2D (45%)
Recent half (11 fights): 45%
Older half (11 fights): 45%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 22 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-0.5 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under vs expectation: -0.5 (4 actual / 4.5 expected, n=9)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 67% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 4W · 2L (67%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
144 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1257
Peak rating: 1402 (July 2017)
Gap to peak: -144
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sword & Buckler

4W · 2L · 1D (57%)
Form
Building
57% win rate · 7 fights
Record: 4W · 2L · 1D (57%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 7 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
64 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1224
Peak rating: 1288 (July 2017)
Gap to peak: -64
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Singlestick

4W · 0L (100%)
Form
Building
100% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 4W · 0L (100%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 4 Wins
Based on 4 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
50 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1367
Peak rating: 1417 (October 2017)
Gap to peak: -50
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Backsword

1W · 3L (25%)
Form
Building
25% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 1W · 3L (25%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 4 recorded backsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
6 events · 2 countries · 1.3 yrs active
4 rated weapons
Tournaments: 6
Countries fought in: 2 (uk, nl)
Months active: 16
Fights / year: 50.3
Rated weapons: 4

Clubmates · KdF Manchester (6)

Events & fights (6)

QuadroHEMiA 4
October 2017 · uk
No match-level data
4 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 22 · 1,417.9
FightCamp 2017
August 2017 · uk
No match-level data
15 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 419 ▲694 · 1,333.7
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 133 ▼88 · 1,246.7
WIN
WIN
1081 49%
LOSS
1526 30%
LOSS
1624 29%
LOSS
1294 60%
LOSS
LOSS
LOSS
LOSS
Astolat HEMA Open 2017
July 2017 · uk
No match-level data
20 fights
Wessex League: Winchester Chapter 2018
November 2018 · uk
No match-level data
13 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 470 ▲13 · 1,425.6
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 166 ▲34 · 1,339.7
WIN
1183 76%
WIN
Thomas Shaw · Cambridge HEMA Longsword · Pool 4
963 73%
WIN
Robin Dando · Oxford Sword and Staff Longsword · Pool 4
1268 71%
WIN
936 81%
WIN
926 84%
LOSS
1304 66%
LOSS
Adrien Michaud · Auckland Longsword Longsword · Quarterfinal
1343 49%
LOSS
1533 32%
WIN
957 64%
LOSS
Pedro San Miguel · Ausardia Sabre · Pool 1
1654 26%
WIN
1150 63%
LOSS
Pedro San Miguel · Ausardia Sabre · Semifinal
1654 26%
Dutch Lions Cup 2018
August 2018 · nl
No match-level data
5 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 438 ▲235 · 1,420.6
WIN
1244 64%
LOSS
1526 46%
LOSS
1421 46%
WIN
Sascha Raeder · Ad Arma Longsword · Pool 7
1284 57%
LOSS
Arto Fama · Zwaard & Steen Longsword · Pool 7
1840 20%
FightCamp 2018
August 2018 · uk
No match-level data
10 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 438 ▲235 · 1,420.6
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 173 ▲40 · 1,293.2
WIN
1071 59%
LOSS
1319 58%
WIN
748 77%
WIN
1047 74%
WIN
1469 40%
WIN
Sam Ive · Tree of Shields Longsword · Semi-Final
1165 61%
LOSS
Pedro San Miguel · Ausardia Longsword · Semi-Final
1487 47%
WIN
793 66%
LOSS
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.