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Sascha Raeder

Ad Arma · Germany
Inactive 83m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1173
Peak
1285 June 2018
Record
12W · 19L · 2D
Last
October 2019
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
731
Peak
776 April 2019
Record
1W · 3L
Last
April 2019

Scout analysis

Longsword

12W · 19L · 2D (36%)
Form
Steady
Recent 38% vs older 38%
Record: 12W · 19L · 2D (36%)
Recent half (16 fights): 38%
Older half (16 fights): 38%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 33 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-2.3 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 3
Over/under vs expectation: -2.3 (6 actual / 8.3 expected, n=20)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 41% · Elim 25%
Pool stage: 11W · 16L (41%)
Elimination: 1W · 3L (25%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
112 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1173
Peak rating: 1285 (June 2018)
Gap to peak: -112
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sword & Buckler

1W · 3L (25%)
Form
Building
25% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 1W · 3L (25%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 4 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
Pool stage: 1W · 3L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
45 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 731
Peak rating: 776 (April 2019)
Gap to peak: -45
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
6 events · 2 countries · 1.5 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 6
Countries fought in: 2 (de, nl)
Months active: 18
Fights / year: 24.7
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · Ad Arma (5)

Events & fights (6)

6. Herkules HEMA Turnier Kassel
October 2019 · de
No match-level data
5 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1212 ▲102 · 1,261.0
LOSS
DRAW
1010 72%
WIN
Olga Reinartz · Brückenschlag Longsword · pool
1301 45%
WIN
Clemens Mayer · Bellum Nobile Longsword · pool
1466 25%
LOSS
1377 36%
Frühlingsfechten 2019
April 2019 · de
No match-level data
11 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1207 ▲257 · 1,237.0
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 824 · 776.9
LOSS
1620 12%
WIN
David DeLuca · Arts of Mars Longsword · Pool 1
989 56%
WIN
1389 30%
WIN
Christopher John Black · Ad Arma Longsword · Pool 1
LOSS
1452 24%
WIN
821 74%
LOSS
Jan Philipp Lange · SC Borchen Longsword · round of 16
1299 33%
WIN
Maarten van der Auwera · Sumus Soldani Sword & Buckler · Pool 1
1161
LOSS
Stephan Eickelmann · Schildwache Potsdam e.V Sword & Buckler · Pool 1
LOSS
657
LOSS
Davy van Elst · Sumus Soldani Sword & Buckler · Pool 1
1087
5. offenes Fechtturnier in Kassel
October 2018 · de
No match-level data
3 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1307 ▼222 · 1,175.8
LOSS
Simon Berg · Krifon Longsword · Pool D
1015 54%
LOSS
Andreas Wolff · ASV Ossweil Longsword · Pool D
915 59%
LOSS
Andreas Schaffrath · Brückenschlag Longsword · Pool D
Dutch Lions Cup 2018
August 2018 · nl
No match-level data
5 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1014 ▼198 · 1,230.1
LOSS
1526 36%
LOSS
Arto Fama · Zwaard & Steen Longsword · Pool 7
1840 12%
LOSS
1244 57%
LOSS
1421 38%
LOSS
Martin Forrester · KdF Manchester Longsword · Pool 7
1324 43%
Dutch Lions Cub #1 2018
June 2018 · nl
No match-level data
5 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 809 ▲190 · 1,285.7
LOSS
Ethan den Boer · Zwaard & Steen Longsword · Eighth Final
1147 52%
WIN
Luc van Beek · Zwaard & Steen Longsword · Pool 4
WIN
Bob Boukes · Zwaard & Steen Longsword · Pool 4
1425 35%
LOSS
1506 36%
DRAW
Ramon Lippmann · Via Gladiatorem Longsword · Pool 4
Frühlingsfechten 2018
April 2018 · de
No match-level data
8 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 963 · 1,217.8
WIN
Till Schultz · Pfälzer Schwertlöwen Longsword · 1/8 final
998
LOSS
1190
WIN
1163
LOSS
Julien Wessels · Ad Arma Longsword · Pool 4
1407
WIN
Dirk Sebastian · Die Duellanten Longsword · Pool 4
1135
LOSS
998
WIN
Ulrich Blex · SC Borchen Longsword · Pool 4
737
LOSS
Maarten van der Auwera · Sumus Soldani Longsword · quarterfinals
1408
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.