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Thomas Duncan
Inactive 98m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
1220
Peak
1358
September 2017
Record
7W · 7L
Last
September 2018
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
957
Peak
1016
September 2018
Record
3W · 6L
Last
September 2018
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
921
Peak
1010
September 2016
Record
3W · 12L
Last
September 2018
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
915
Peak
965
September 2018
Record
2W · 3L
Last
September 2018
Scout analysis
Sabre
3W · 12L (20%)
Sabre
3W · 12L (20%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 14% vs older 29%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 14% vs older 29%
Record: 3W · 12L (20%)
Recent half (7 fights): 14%
Older half (7 fights): 29%
Delta: -15%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 15 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-1.6 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-1.6 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation:
-1.6
(1 actual / 2.6 expected, n=8)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
Pool stage: 1W · 3L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
89 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
89 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 921
Peak rating: 1010 (September 2016)
Gap to peak: -89
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sword & Buckler
7W · 7L (50%)
Sword & Buckler
7W · 7L (50%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 43% vs older 57%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 43% vs older 57%
Record: 7W · 7L (50%)
Recent half (7 fights): 43%
Older half (7 fights): 57%
Delta: -14%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 14 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
Pool stage: 1W · 3L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
137 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
137 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1220
Peak rating: 1358 (September 2017)
Gap to peak: -137
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Longsword
3W · 6L (33%)
Longsword
3W · 6L (33%)
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 25%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 25%
Record: 3W · 6L (33%)
Recent half (4 fights): 50%
Older half (4 fights): 25%
Delta: +25%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 9 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
Pool stage: 1W · 2L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
58 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
58 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 957
Peak rating: 1016 (September 2018)
Gap to peak: -58
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
+9 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Rapier
2W · 3L (40%)
Rapier
2W · 3L (40%)
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 2W · 3L (40%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 5 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 40%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 40%
Pool stage: 2W · 3L (40%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
49 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
49 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 915
Peak rating: 965 (September 2018)
Gap to peak: -49
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
3 events · au · 2 yrs active
4 rated weapons
▾
Reach
3 events · au · 2 yrs active
4 rated weapons
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 1 (au)
Months active: 24
Fights / year: 21.5
Rated weapons: 4
Clubmates
·
Glen Lachlann Estate College of Arms●
(13)
Events & fights
(3)
8 fights
▾
19 fights
▾
Swordplay 2018●
September 2018 · au
16 fights
▾
September 2018 · au
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1980 ▲45 · 1,016.5
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 467 ▲36 · 992.2
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 417 · 965.4
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 193 ▼42 · 1,294.0
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.