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Bryan Poppenhausen

Sword to Sword · United States
Inactive 116m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1307
Peak
1394 March 2017
Record
7W · 4L · 1D
Last
March 2017
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
1044
Peak
1113 March 2016
Record
0W · 0L
Last
March 2016

Scout analysis

Longsword

7W · 4L · 1D (58%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 50% vs older 67%
Record: 7W · 4L · 1D (58%)
Recent half (6 fights): 50%
Older half (6 fights): 67%
Delta: -17%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 12 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Comfort bracket
-0.1 vs expectation
Over/under vs expectation: -0.1 (3 actual / 3.1 expected, n=6)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
86 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1307
Peak rating: 1394 (March 2017)
Gap to peak: -86
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Rapier & Dagger

2W · 3L (40%)
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 2W · 3L (40%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 5 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
2 events · us · 1 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 12
Fights / year: 17
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · Sword to Sword (82)

Events & fights (2)

Purpleheart Open 2017
March 2017 · us
No match-level data
6 fights
WIN
1200 54%
WIN
1188 62%
DRAW
1628 37%
WIN
1120 62%
LOSS
1628 37%
Purpleheart Open 2016
March 2016 · us
No match-level data
11 fights
LOSS
1247
WIN
WIN
LOSS
1514
LOSS
1591
WIN
WIN
918
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.