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Andrew Roche
Inactive 45m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
1307
Peak
1338
November 2022
Record
8W · 9L
Last
November 2022
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1204
Peak
1273
January 2020
Record
10W · 7L · 1D
Last
January 2020
Scout analysis
Longsword
10W · 7L · 1D (56%)
Longsword
10W · 7L · 1D (56%)
Form
Rising
Recent 67% vs older 44%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 67% vs older 44%
Record: 10W · 7L · 1D (56%)
Recent half (9 fights): 67%
Older half (9 fights): 44%
Delta: +23%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 18 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-1.1 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-1.1 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
-1.1
(2 actual / 3.1 expected, n=6)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 64% · Elim 33%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 64% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 9W · 5L (64%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
68 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
68 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1204
Peak rating: 1273 (January 2020)
Gap to peak: -68
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier
8W · 9L (47%)
Rapier
8W · 9L (47%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 38% vs older 50%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 38% vs older 50%
Record: 8W · 9L (47%)
Recent half (8 fights): 38%
Older half (8 fights): 50%
Delta: -12%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 17 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 50% · Elim 33%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 50% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 7W · 7L (50%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
31 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
31 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1307
Peak rating: 1338 (November 2022)
Gap to peak: -31
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Single Rapier
6W · 4L
(60%)
avg opponent 1306
+7 fights in 1 thinner division
Dagger
4W · 4L (50%)
Dagger
4W · 4L (50%)
Form
Steady
Recent 50% vs older 50%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 50% vs older 50%
Record: 4W · 4L (50%)
Recent half (4 fights): 50%
Older half (4 fights): 50%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 8 recorded dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 4W · 4L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
4 events · us · 3.8 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
4 events · us · 3.8 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 4
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 46
Fights / year: 11.2
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Sword to Sword●
(83)
- Kevin Beahan●
- Nathan Grepares●
- Colin Whitfill●
- Sam Street●
- Julius Pedersen●
- Drew Schulz●
- Alex Jonischkies●
- Kyle Peltier●
- Scott Harrell●
- Freddie Hess●
- Peter Boehl●
- DJ Nero●
- Patrick Eldridge●
- Storm Pulikkathara●
- Jessica Le●
- Patrick Torres●
- Coleman Liles●
- Rohit Mathilakath●
- Marshall Futch●
- Luke Connell●
- Daniel Owen●
- Amanda Turner●
- Zeke Ramirez●
- Kevin Kuhn●
- Levi Tran●
- Nicklas Daugherty●
- Charlie Yang●
- Gray Bennett●
- Luke Sandhop●
- Bailey Catoire●
- Ellen Drott●
- Laramie Joseph●
- Eli Lasics●
- Isabella Cordero●
- Jonathan Sload●
- Houston Porterfield●
- Bryan Poppenhausen●
- Scott Southworth●
- Shane Tolhurst●
- Hannah Meade●
- Jacob Williams●
- McKenzie Tolhurst●
- Michael Rodriguez●
- Pearl Flath●
- Lance Stodghill●
- Leelund Kim●
- Ryan Cater●
- Benjamin Alvarado●
- James Morris●
- Wayde Brackin●
- Albert Quiambao●
- Levi Krupala●
- Aaron Nichols●
- Jamie Marzoni●
- Morgan Gill●
- Van Wilde●
- Dominik Hussl●
- Lisa Thidavanh●
- Maxwell Herskowitz●
- Parker McFarland●
- Thomas Fryar●
- Brett Ardiel●
- Gustavo Assing●
- Brett Flodder●
- Adrian Tjandra●
- Alex Swart●
- Andrew Charlton●
- Clinton Allen●
- Doug Bowman●
- Emanuel Landeros●
- Michael Chavez●
- Roger Loney●
- Seth Ledesma●
- Zach Matthews●
- Ashton Ricks●
- Christopher Ruddell●
- Gabe Hansen●
- Joe Carson●
- Jorge Gonzalez●
- Owen Elliff●
- Michael Mancenido●
- Jesse Jefferies●
- Kelly Lin●
Events & fights
(4)
AFO Tournament of Defense 2022●
November 2022 · us
17 fights
▾
November 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 147 · 1,338.8
WEIRD Open 2020●
January 2020 · us
15 fights
▾
January 2020 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1180 ▲567 · 1,273.5
4 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1634 ▼85 · 1,158.4
7 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1430 · 1,172.0
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.