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Shane Tolhurst

Sword to Sword · United States
Inactive 85m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1040
Peak
1202 May 2019
Record
5W · 8L
Last
October 2019

Scout analysis

Longsword

5W · 8L (38%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 17% vs older 50%
Record: 5W · 8L (38%)
Recent half (6 fights): 17%
Older half (6 fights): 50%
Delta: -33%
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 13 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-1.5 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 2
Over/under vs expectation: -1.5 (2 actual / 3.5 expected, n=7)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 42%
Pool stage: 5W · 7L (42%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
161 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1040
Peak rating: 1202 (May 2019)
Gap to peak: -161
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword 4W · 5L (44%) avg opponent 1190
+4 fights in 1 thinner division

Messer

0W · 4L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 0W · 4L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 4 Losses
Based on 4 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
Pool stage: 0W · 4L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
3 events · us · 4.3 yrs active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 3
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 52
Fights / year: 3.9
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · Sword to Sword (82)

Events & fights (4)

Baton Rouge Open 2019
May 2019 · us
4 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1382 · 1,202.4
WIN
966
WIN
Stephen Loch · Indes Ferox Gladio Longsword · Pool Set 1
1343
LOSS
Julie Gaunt · Athena School of Arms Longsword · Pool Set 1
1211
Purpleheart Open 2019
August 2019 · us
No match-level data
5 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2007 ▼598 · 1,083.2
LOSS
879 77%
WIN
1127 56%
LOSS
1234 66%
LOSS
Eric Hardeman · SoCal Swords Longsword · Sixteenthfinal 8
1565 40%
Gesellen Fechten 2019
October 2019 · us
4 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1960 ▲81 · 1,108.1
WIN
1160 50%
LOSS
1310 36%
LOSS
Sean Parrish · Ordo Procinctus Longsword · Pools
1428 29%
Texas Audacious Knife Fight 2023
August 2023
No match-level data
4 fights
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.