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Austin Lottimer

Warriors of Ash · United States
Inactive 94m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1245
Peak
1321 January 2019
Record
7W · 6L
Last
January 2019

Scout analysis

Longsword

7W · 6L (54%)
Form
Steady
Recent 50% vs older 50%
Record: 7W · 6L (54%)
Recent half (6 fights): 50%
Older half (6 fights): 50%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 13 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+0.1 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation: +0.1 (4 actual / 3.9 expected, n=7)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
4 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 2.14
Avg exchanges / match: 3.8
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 100%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Balanced
Pool 50% · Elim 67%
Pool stage: 4W · 4L (50%)
Elimination: 2W · 1L (67%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
76 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1245
Peak rating: 1321 (January 2019)
Gap to peak: -76
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Spear

5W · 1L (83%)
Form
Building
83% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 5W · 1L (83%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 5 Wins
Based on 6 recorded spear fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.55
Avg exchanges / match: 11.3
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 67%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 50%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
Pool stage: 4W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sidesword

1W · 3L (25%)
Form
Building
25% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 1W · 3L (25%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 4 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
Pool stage: 1W · 3L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
2 events · us · 11 mo active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 11
Fights / year: 25.1
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · Warriors of Ash (35)

Events & fights (2)

Queen's Gambit 2019
January 2019 · us
17 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 826 ▲378 · 1,321.8
WIN
Joshua Wiest · Triangle Sword Guild Longsword · Eighth-Finals
1365 50%
WIN
Donald Church · Triangle Sword Guild Longsword · Elimination Bracket
1043 61%
LOSS
Casey Boatwright · Richmond Kunst Des Fechtens Longsword · Pool Set 1 Score 0-4 Review →
1310 49%
WIN
Kasey McClelland · Swordwind Historical Swordsmanship Longsword · Pool Set 1 Score 7-1 Review →
994 67%
WIN
1377 56%
LOSS
Alexander Foster · Sword Circle-LLC Longsword · Pool Set 1
1010 60%
LOSS
John Stansfield · Richmond Kunst Des Fechtens Longsword · Quarterfinals Score 0-4 Review →
1501 42%
LOSS
Marshall Strong · Schola St. George Spear · Gold Medal Match Score 5-11 Review →
WIN
Alexander Foster · Sword Circle-LLC Spear · Pool Set 1
WIN
Joshua Wiest · Triangle Sword Guild Spear · Pool Set 1
WIN
Michael Erbach · Warriors of Ash Spear · Pool Set 1
WIN
Alexander Foster · Sword Circle-LLC Spear · Semifinals
WIN
Lisa Losito · Maryland Kunst des Fechtens Sidesword · Pool Set 1 Score 4-0 Review →
LOSS
Frederic David · La Salle d'Armes Escrime Ancienne Sidesword · Pool Set 1 Score 0-5 Review →
LOSS
Chris Nolan · Triangle Sword Guild Sidesword · Pool Set 1 Score 2-6 Review →
LOSS
Martin Niggemeier · Sword Carolina Sidesword · Pool Set 1 Score 0-4 Review →
Queen's Gambit 2018
February 2018 · us
No match-level data
6 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 837 · 1,228.9
WIN
Andrew Magee · Triangle Sword Guild Longsword · Elims Round 2
1201
LOSS
1831
LOSS
1738
WIN
1274
LOSS
1201
WIN
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.