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Cale Rainkie
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1584
#378
Peak
1616
August 2025
Record
57W · 26L
Last
March 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
1287
#918
Peak
1294
August 2025
Record
4W · 3L · 2D
Last
August 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword
Inactive
Current
902
Peak
944
September 2018
Record
1W · 2L
Last
September 2018
Scout analysis
Longsword
57W · 26L (69%)
Longsword
57W · 26L (69%)
Form
Steady
Recent 71% vs older 66%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 71% vs older 66%
Record: 57W · 26L (69%)
Recent half (41 fights): 71%
Older half (41 fights): 66%
Delta: +5%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 83 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+7.4 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+7.4 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 8
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 7
Over/under vs expectation:
+7.4
(46 actual / 38.6 expected, n=70)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
9 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
9 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 0.95
Avg exchanges / match: 8.6
Doubles / match: 0.78
First scorer rate: 56%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 86%
Stage
Balanced
Pool 67% · Elim 78%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 67% · Elim 78%
Pool stage: 47W · 23L (67%)
Elimination: 7W · 2L (78%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
32 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
32 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1584
Peak rating: 1616 (August 2025)
Gap to peak: -32
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
33W · 15L
(69%)
+4.3 vs expectation
(n=36)
avg opponent 1216
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier A)
11W · 4L
(73%)
+3.5 vs expectation
(n=15)
avg opponent 1505
Mixed Steel Longsword (Open)
7W · 1L
(88%)
+1.1 vs expectation
(n=7)
avg opponent 1180
+12 fights in 3 thinner divisions
Messer
10W · 5L · 1D (63%)
Messer
10W · 5L · 1D (63%)
Form
Rising
Recent 75% vs older 50%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 75% vs older 50%
Record: 10W · 5L · 1D (63%)
Recent half (8 fights): 75%
Older half (8 fights): 50%
Delta: +25%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 16 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 77%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 77%
Pool stage: 10W · 3L (77%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sabre
4W · 3L · 2D (44%)
Sabre
4W · 3L · 2D (44%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 25% vs older 50%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 25% vs older 50%
Record: 4W · 3L · 2D (44%)
Recent half (4 fights): 25%
Older half (4 fights): 50%
Delta: -25%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 9 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
Pool stage: 1W · 2L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1287
Peak rating: 1294 (August 2025)
Gap to peak: -6
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Dussack
2W · 2L · 2D (33%)
Dussack
2W · 2L · 2D (33%)
Form
Building
33% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
33% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 2W · 2L · 2D (33%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 6 recorded dussack fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 2W · 2L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Smallsword
4W · 2L (67%)
Smallsword
4W · 2L (67%)
Form
Building
67% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
67% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 4W · 2L (67%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 6 recorded smallsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 80%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 80%
Pool stage: 4W · 1L (80%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sidesword
1W · 2L (33%)
Sidesword
1W · 2L (33%)
Form
Building
33% win rate · 3 fights
▾
Form
Building
33% win rate · 3 fights
Record: 1W · 2L (33%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 3 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
Pool stage: 1W · 2L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
42 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
42 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 902
Peak rating: 944 (September 2018)
Gap to peak: -42
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Mixed Weapon
0W · 1L (0%)
Mixed Weapon
0W · 1L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 1 fights
▾
Form
Building
0% win rate · 1 fights
Record: 0W · 1L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 1 recorded mixed weapon fight.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
13 events · 2 countries · 7.6 yrs active
3 rated weapons
▾
Reach
13 events · 2 countries · 7.6 yrs active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 13
Countries fought in: 2 (ca, us)
Months active: 91
Fights / year: 16.4
Rated weapons: 3
Clubmates
·
Edmonton Historical Martial Arts●
(21)
- Michael Miller●
- Eric Dalshaug●
- Stephen Briggs●
- Selena Cline●
- Jonathan Cann●
- Grey Wallstrum●
- Clinton Sime●
- Roman Frolov●
- Alex Komar●
- Eric Gyug●
- Andrew Rodriguez●
- Jereme Wilson●
- Logan Gauthier●
- August Sieben●
- Duncan Chow●
- Hunter Witherspoon●
- Chance Mederi●
- Hugh Cowles●
- Demitri Walls●
- Darren Paetz●
- Laury Plant●
Events & fights
(15)
EGFG's Drehfuchs Event 2026●
March 2026 · ca
9 fights
▾
March 2026 · ca
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 358 ▼52 · 1,587.9
HornFest 2025●
August 2025 · ca
18 fights
▾
August 2025 · ca
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 263 ▲80 · 1,616.7
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 728 · 1,294.0
WIN
1330 73%
Bayou Fecht 2024●
May 2024 · us
12 fights
▾
May 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 336 ▲148 · 1,532.7
WIN
1388 59%
AG Open 2024●
September 2024 · us
6 fights
▾
September 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 235 ▲94 · 1,594.4
WIN
Bradley Smith●
·
Denver Historical Fencing Academy●
Longsword
· Eighth-Finals
Score 10-5 · 1 double
Review →
1725 24%
WIN
Bradley Smith●
·
Denver Historical Fencing Academy●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 10-5 · 1 double
Review →
1725 24%
WIN
Thomas Pifer●
·
Atlanta Historical Fencing Academy●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 12-3 · 1 double
Review →
1645 35%
LOSS
Joseph Pugnetti●
·
Steel City Historical Fencing●
Longsword
· Quarterfinals
Score 6-10 · 3 doubles
Review →
1723 26%
Hornfest 2024●
July 2024 · ca
8 fights
▾
July 2024 · ca
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 321 ▲35 · 1,552.8
WIN
Tyler Janzen●
·
The Historical Combat Collective●
Longsword
· Tournament seeding pool
Score 6-0
Review →
1359 56%
LOSS
Brett Gattinger●
·
Bighorn Historical Combat●
Longsword
· Tournament seeding pool
Score 4-8
Review →
897 77%
WIN
Adam Andrews●
·
Edmonton German Fencing Guild●
Longsword
· Tournament seeding pool
Score 8-6
Review →
1371 63%
WIN
954 74%
The Goose Strikes Back 2024●
March 2024 · ca
8 fights
▾
March 2024 · ca
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 481 ▲244 · 1,481.2
LOSS
1490 43%
LOSS
1440 37%
WIN
821 74%
WIN
1283 59%
WIN
1605 32%
Salt Lake Open 2023●
October 2023 · us
8 fights
▾
October 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 662 ▲661 · 1,409.7
WIN
Timothy Magnuson●
·
SoCal Swords●
Longsword
· !! Attention !! Excluded From Scoring Calculations Pool Set 1
1342 42%
WIN
John Merrill●
·
United Clans Swordsman Association●
Longsword
· Gold Medal Match
Score 10-3
Review →
1308 44%
WIN
WIN
791 68%
WIN
941 52%
11 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1211 ▲362 · 1,249.0
9 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1049 ▲336 · 1,116.7
AG Open 2023●
May 2023 · us
4 fights
▾
May 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1573 ▲25 · 1,161.3
SoCal Swordfight 2023●
February 2023 · us
3 fights
▾
February 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1438 ▲54 · 1,137.7
9 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2497 ▼767 · 971.2
Nordschlag 2018●
September 2018 · ca
7 fights
▾
September 2018 · ca
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1466 · 1,134.1
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 152 · 944.7
WIN
Goose 4: All Honked Up 2025○
November 2025
No match-level data
6 fights
▾
November 2025
No match-level data
Blizzard Brawl 2020○
January 2020
No match-level data
6 fights
▾
January 2020
No match-level data
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.