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Mark Winkelman
Inactive 27m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1460
#874
Peak
1577
June 2019
Record
37W · 16L
Last
June 2024
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword
Inactive
Current
1102
Peak
1144
September 2018
Record
2W · 1L
Last
September 2018
Scout analysis
Longsword
37W · 16L (70%)
Longsword
37W · 16L (70%)
Form
Steady
Recent 73% vs older 69%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 73% vs older 69%
Record: 37W · 16L (70%)
Recent half (26 fights): 73%
Older half (26 fights): 69%
Delta: +4%
Current streak: 3 Wins
Based on 53 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+0.6 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+0.6 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 5
Over/under vs expectation:
+0.6
(20 actual / 19.4 expected, n=32)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 81% · Elim 80%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 81% · Elim 80%
Pool stage: 25W · 6L (81%)
Elimination: 8W · 2L (80%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
117 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
117 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1460
Peak rating: 1577 (June 2019)
Gap to peak: -117
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Messer
25W · 11L · 2D (66%)
Messer
25W · 11L · 2D (66%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 58% vs older 74%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 58% vs older 74%
Record: 25W · 11L · 2D (66%)
Recent half (19 fights): 58%
Older half (19 fights): 74%
Delta: -16%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 38 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 67% · Elim 71%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 67% · Elim 71%
Pool stage: 18W · 9L (67%)
Elimination: 5W · 2L (71%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Dussack
4W · 1L · 1D (67%)
Dussack
4W · 1L · 1D (67%)
Form
Building
67% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
67% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 4W · 1L · 1D (67%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 6 recorded dussack fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 80%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 80%
Pool stage: 4W · 1L (80%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Mixed Weapon
2W · 2L (50%)
Mixed Weapon
2W · 2L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Form
Building
50% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 2W · 2L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 4 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Elim data only
Elim 67%
▾
Stage
Elim data only
Elim 67%
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: 2W · 1L (67%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sidesword
2W · 1L (67%)
Sidesword
2W · 1L (67%)
Form
Building
67% win rate · 3 fights
▾
Form
Building
67% win rate · 3 fights
Record: 2W · 1L (67%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 3 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 67%
Pool stage: 2W · 1L (67%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
41 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
41 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1102
Peak rating: 1144 (September 2018)
Gap to peak: -41
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
9 events · 2 countries · 11.1 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
9 events · 2 countries · 11.1 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 9
Countries fought in: 2 (us, ca)
Months active: 133
Fights / year: 9.4
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
The Forge: Western Martial Arts●
(35)
- Tavis McKee●
- Ashley Coe●
- Thora Jensdottir●
- Silken Kleer●
- Daniel Lenfest-Jameson●
- Lars Le Gras●
- Nathan Wellsman●
- Steven Dalla Vicenza●
- James Emerson●
- Tim Holter●
- Jimmy Munkaspeni●
- Josh MacDonald●
- Jeff Mostowich●
- Matthew Fisher●
- Aislinn MacCulloch●
- Joseph Graham●
- Vanja Salkauskas●
- Ali Naqvi●
- Calan Lovstoan●
- Catherine Lempke●
- Kyle Irwin●
- Michael Draper●
- Andrew Lawrence●
- Ben Greenbaum●
- Chad Hazzard●
- Justin Lo●
- Reese Bayliss●
- Erin Fletcher●
- Mark Kostecky●
- Brett Whelan●
- Dan LaPierre●
- Eric LaPierre●
- Ian LaPierre●
- Mehmet Can●
- Lexa Davidson●
Events & fights
(10)
12 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 473 ▲273 · 1,487.4
4 fights
▾
5 fights
▾
9 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 548 ▼125 · 1,425.1
16 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 274 ▼127 · 1,475.5
10 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 363 ▲37 · 1,440.3
18 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 294 ▲1015 · 1,424.7
14 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 182 ▲209 · 1,577.9
Nordschlag 2018●
September 2018 · ca
10 fights
▾
September 2018 · ca
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 310 ▲80 · 1,488.9
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 89 · 1,144.4
WIN
Blizzard Brawl 2020○
January 2020
No match-level data
6 fights
▾
January 2020
No match-level data
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.