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Codi Ervin
Inactive 23m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1156
#3,427
Peak
1242
October 2024
Record
9W · 14L · 2D
Last
November 2024
Scout analysis
Longsword
9W · 14L · 2D (36%)
Longsword
9W · 14L · 2D (36%)
Form
Steady
Recent 33% vs older 42%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 33% vs older 42%
Record: 9W · 14L · 2D (36%)
Recent half (12 fights): 33%
Older half (12 fights): 42%
Delta: -9%
Current streak: 4 Losses
Based on 25 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-2.5 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-2.5 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 3
Over/under vs expectation:
-2.5
(7 actual / 9.5 expected, n=19)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
4 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
4 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 2.36
Avg exchanges / match: 8.3
Doubles / match: 1.5
First scorer rate: 100%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 41%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 41%
Pool stage: 9W · 13L (41%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
85 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
85 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1156
Peak rating: 1242 (October 2024)
Gap to peak: -85
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
6W · 10L
(38%)
-0.8 vs expectation
(n=10)
avg opponent 1182
+9 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Messer
3W · 1L · 1D (60%)
Messer
3W · 1L · 1D (60%)
Form
Building
60% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
60% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 3W · 1L · 1D (60%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 5 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 75%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 75%
Pool stage: 3W · 1L (75%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Mixed Weapon
0W · 1L (0%)
Mixed Weapon
0W · 1L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 1 fights
▾
Form
Building
0% win rate · 1 fights
Record: 0W · 1L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 1 recorded mixed weapon fight.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
5 events · ca · 5.5 yrs active
Single-weapon
▾
Reach
5 events · ca · 5.5 yrs active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 5
Countries fought in: 1 (ca)
Months active: 66
Fights / year: 5.6
Rated weapons: 1
Clubmates
·
Edmonton German Fencing Guild●
(20)
- Avery Begin●
- Adam Andrews●
- Aaron Babb●
- John Ming Ngo●
- Alexander Croteau●
- Riley Escuyos●
- David Kenyon●
- Patrick Moore●
- Sol Ballester●
- Regan Rempel●
- Xander Harpe●
- Larry Croteau●
- Chris Lemke●
- Thomas Finnman●
- Tyler Nychka●
- David Schultz●
- Quinn Collins-Cruickshank●
- Brad Ballard●
- Jason Baldwin●
- Sheldon Wang●
Events & fights
(5)
Return of the Goose 2024●
November 2024 · ca
4 fights
▾
November 2024 · ca
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2379 ▼567 · 1,177.3
LOSS
1052 63%
LOSS
1486 27%
LOSS
1487 29%
LOSS
Brett Gattinger●
·
Bighorn Historical Combat●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 5-10 · 2 doubles
Review →
989 68%
Nordschlag 2024●
October 2024 · ca
5 fights
▾
October 2024 · ca
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1812 ▲348 · 1,242.6
LOSS
WIN
1588 20%
LOSS
WIN
Nicholas Morrish●
·
The Academy of European Swordsmanship●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 4-2
Review →
1116 56%
Hornfest 2024●
July 2024 · ca
9 fights
▾
July 2024 · ca
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2081 ▲291 · 1,187.3
LOSS
Alex Williamson●
·
Bighorn Historical Combat●
Longsword
· Tournament seeding pool
Score 2-5 · 3 doubles
Review →
1677 25%
LOSS
Dan Nagtegaal●
·
The Historical Combat Collective●
Longsword
· Tournament seeding pool
Score 4-5
Review →
1055 62%
DRAW
Grey Wallstrum●
·
Edmonton Historical Martial Arts●
Longsword
· Tournament seeding pool
Score 6-6
Review →
941 63%
WIN
Jonathan Cann●
·
Edmonton Historical Martial Arts●
Longsword
· Tournament seeding pool
Score 8-2
Review →
806 66%
DRAW
1510 34%
WIN
1015 56%
LOSS
Laury Plant●
·
Edmonton Historical Martial Arts●
Longsword
· Elim pools
Score 2-7 · 1 double
Review →
1171 57%
LOSS
1359 40%
9 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 949 ▲58 · 1,157.5
4 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1789 · 1,122.1
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.