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Sean Ellis
Inactive 13m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1357
#1,554
Peak
1446
May 2024
Record
29W · 22L · 1D
Last
July 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
999
Peak
1020
April 2023
Record
2W · 3L
Last
April 2023
Scout analysis
Longsword
29W · 22L · 1D (56%)
Longsword
29W · 22L · 1D (56%)
Form
Steady
Recent 58% vs older 54%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 58% vs older 54%
Record: 29W · 22L · 1D (56%)
Recent half (26 fights): 58%
Older half (26 fights): 54%
Delta: +4%
Current streak: 5 Losses
Based on 52 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-2.6 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-2.6 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 3
Over/under vs expectation:
-2.6
(13 actual / 15.6 expected, n=28)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
6 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
6 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.34
Avg exchanges / match: 9.8
Doubles / match: 0.33
First scorer rate: 83%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 50%
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 69% · Elim 29%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 69% · Elim 29%
Pool stage: 27W · 12L (69%)
Elimination: 2W · 5L (29%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
88 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
88 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1357
Peak rating: 1446 (May 2024)
Gap to peak: -88
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
18W · 10L · 1D
(62%)
-0.5 vs expectation
(n=14)
avg opponent 1246
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier B)
5W · 3L
(63%)
-0.1 vs expectation
(n=8)
avg opponent 1234
+15 fights in 4 thinner divisions
Messer
2W · 6L (25%)
Messer
2W · 6L (25%)
Form
Steady
Recent 25% vs older 25%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 25% vs older 25%
Record: 2W · 6L (25%)
Recent half (4 fights): 25%
Older half (4 fights): 25%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 8 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
Pool stage: 2W · 6L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier
2W · 3L (40%)
Rapier
2W · 3L (40%)
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 2W · 3L (40%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 5 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 40%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 40%
Pool stage: 2W · 3L (40%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
21 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
21 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 999
Peak rating: 1020 (April 2023)
Gap to peak: -21
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Mixed Weapon
3W · 1L (75%)
Mixed Weapon
3W · 1L (75%)
Form
Building
75% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Form
Building
75% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 3W · 1L (75%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Wins
Based on 4 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
Pool stage: 3W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Basket-Hilted Broadsword
0W · 3L (0%)
Basket-Hilted Broadsword
0W · 3L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 3 fights
▾
Form
Building
0% win rate · 3 fights
Record: 0W · 3L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 3 recorded basket-hilted broadsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
Pool stage: 0W · 3L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
10 events · us · 6.5 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
10 events · us · 6.5 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 10
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 78
Fights / year: 11.1
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Swordplay LA●
(11)
Events & fights
(11)
CombatCon 2025●
July 2025 · us
7 fights
▾
July 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1298 ▼374 · 1,371.2
LOSS
Lee Coulson●
·
Phoenix Society of Historical Swordsmanship●
Longsword
· Pools
Score 2-5 · 1 double
Review →
1043 76%
6 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 629 ▲12 · 1,446.5
SoCal Swordfight 2024●
February 2024 · us
8 fights
▾
February 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 618 ▲54 · 1,436.8
LOSS
Aidan Witherspoon●
·
Medieval European Martial Arts Guild●
Mixed Weapon
· Elimination Bracket
Score 3-4 · 2 doubles
Review →
WIN
Pike Pullen●
·
Swordwind Historical Swordsmanship●
Mixed Weapon
· Pool Set 1
Score 2-0 · 1 double
Review →
Salt Lake Open 2023●
October 2023 · us
10 fights
▾
October 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 621 ▲112 · 1,422.6
WIN
1032 62%
WIN
Andrew Rodriguez●
·
Edmonton Historical Martial Arts●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 10-4 · 1 double
Review →
917 77%
LOSS
1308 57%
Wine Country Sword Crush 2023●
April 2023 · us
11 fights
▾
April 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 689 ▲185 · 1,363.2
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 446 · 1,020.6
WIN
Nathaniel Montgomery●
·
Napa-Solano Historical Fencing Guild●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 7-1
Review →
848 74%
7 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 637 ▲52 · 1,388.6
SoCal Swordfight 2023●
February 2023 · us
4 fights
▾
February 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 821 ▼14 · 1,305.6
LOSS
1236 62%
WIN
1193 56%
4 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 537 ▼76 · 1,308.8
5 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 650 ▲181 · 1,338.3
SoCal Swordfight 2020●
February 2020 · us
4 fights
▾
February 2020 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1143 · 1,287.7
SoCal Swordfight 2019○
February 2019
No match-level data
6 fights
▾
February 2019
No match-level data
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.