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Bailey Fatool
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Current
1554
#160
Peak
1557
March 2026
Record
18W · 7L
Last
March 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
1502
#321
Peak
1504
March 2026
Record
10W · 9L
Last
March 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1375
#1,404
Peak
1561
July 2024
Record
10W · 9L
Last
March 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword
Regional
Current
1286
#274
Peak
1299
July 2024
Record
4W · 2L · 2D
Last
July 2024
Scout analysis
Smallsword
17W · 4L · 6D (63%)
Smallsword
17W · 4L · 6D (63%)
Form
Rising
Recent 77% vs older 46%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 77% vs older 46%
Record: 17W · 4L · 6D (63%)
Recent half (13 fights): 77%
Older half (13 fights): 46%
Delta: +31%
Current streak: 6 Wins
Based on 27 recorded smallsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 82% · Elim 100%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 82% · Elim 100%
Pool stage: 14W · 3L (82%)
Elimination: 3W · 0L (100%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
Rapier
18W · 7L (72%)
Rapier
18W · 7L (72%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 67% vs older 83%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 67% vs older 83%
Record: 18W · 7L (72%)
Recent half (12 fights): 67%
Older half (12 fights): 83%
Delta: -16%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 25 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+0.3 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+0.3 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 3
Over/under vs expectation:
+0.3
(7 actual / 6.7 expected, n=11)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 67% · Elim 83%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 67% · Elim 83%
Pool stage: 10W · 5L (67%)
Elimination: 5W · 1L (83%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1554
Peak rating: 1557 (March 2026)
Gap to peak: -2
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
By division
Mixed Steel Single Rapier (Tier A)
7W · 4L
(64%)
+0.3 vs expectation
(n=11)
avg opponent 1400
Mixed Steel Single Rapier (Tier B)
7W · 1L
(88%)
avg opponent 1179
+6 fights in 1 thinner division
Sabre
10W · 9L (53%)
Sabre
10W · 9L (53%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 44% vs older 67%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 44% vs older 67%
Record: 10W · 9L (53%)
Recent half (9 fights): 44%
Older half (9 fights): 67%
Delta: -23%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 19 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-0.3 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-0.3 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
-0.3
(4 actual / 4.3 expected, n=10)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 50% · Elim 75%
▾
Stage
Knockout killer
Pool 50% · Elim 75%
Pool stage: 6W · 6L (50%)
Elimination: 3W · 1L (75%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1502
Peak rating: 1504 (March 2026)
Gap to peak: -2
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
By division
Mixed Steel Sabre (Tier A)
4W · 7L
(36%)
-0.3 vs expectation
(n=10)
avg opponent 1577
Mixed Steel Sabre
6W · 2L
(75%)
avg opponent 1337
Longsword
10W · 9L (53%)
Longsword
10W · 9L (53%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 22% vs older 78%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 22% vs older 78%
Record: 10W · 9L (53%)
Recent half (9 fights): 22%
Older half (9 fights): 78%
Delta: -56%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 19 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-2.3 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-2.3 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 5
Over/under vs expectation:
-2.3
(6 actual / 8.3 expected, n=14)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
8 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Measured
8 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 0.96
Avg exchanges / match: 5.8
Doubles / match: 0.63
First scorer rate: 25%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 67%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 60% · Elim 33%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 60% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 9W · 6L (60%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
185 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
185 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1375
Peak rating: 1561 (July 2024)
Gap to peak: -185
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
By division
+19 fights in 4 thinner divisions
Sidesword
4W · 2L · 2D (50%)
Sidesword
4W · 2L · 2D (50%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 25% vs older 75%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 25% vs older 75%
Record: 4W · 2L · 2D (50%)
Recent half (4 fights): 25%
Older half (4 fights): 75%
Delta: -50%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 8 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 80%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 80%
Pool stage: 4W · 1L (80%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1286
Peak rating: 1299 (July 2024)
Gap to peak: -12
Peak is relative to an isolated regional scene - see the "How to read this profile" note below.
By division
+8 fights in 2 thinner divisions
Reach
4 events · us · 2.1 yrs active
4 rated weapons
▾
Reach
4 events · us · 2.1 yrs active
4 rated weapons
Tournaments: 4
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 25
Fights / year: 47
Rated weapons: 4
Clubmates
·
Swordplay LA●
(11)
Events & fights
(4)
LoCal Swordfight 2026●
March 2026 · us
18 fights
▾
March 2026 · us
LoCal Swordfight 2025●
March 2025 · us
16 fights
▾
March 2025 · us
Combat Con 2024●
July 2024 · us
32 fights
▾
July 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 306 ▲873 · 1,561.4
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 200 · 1,489.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 196 · 1,299.4
WIN
Andrew Bradford●
·
Sacramento Historical Fencing Academy●
Rapier
· Elimination Bracket
Score 1-7 · 1 double
Review →
LOSS
Andrew Bradford●
·
Sacramento Historical Fencing Academy●
Rapier
· Pool Set 1
Score 1-7 · 1 double
Review →
WIN
Tom Ostrowski●
·
Einhorn Los Angeles Historical Fencing Arts●
Smallsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 6-0
Review →
SoCal Swordfight 2024●
February 2024 · us
32 fights
▾
February 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1054 · 1,329.3
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 105 · 1,495.8
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.
Regional At least one of this fighter's ratings is "island" - their rank/percentile is relative to an isolated regional scene, not the global population. Cross-scene rating comparisons are unreliable.