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Michael Carrigan

Wichita Fencing & HEMA Academy● · United States
Inactive 83m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
915
Peak
967 October 2019
Record
2W · 5L · 1D
Last
October 2019

Scout analysis

Longsword

2W · 5L · 1D (25%)
Form
Rising
Recent 50% vs older 0%
▾
Record: 2W · 5L · 1D (25%)
Recent half (4 fights): 50%
Older half (4 fights): 0%
Delta: +50%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 8 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Pool stage: 2W · 2L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
52 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 915
Peak rating: 967 (October 2019)
Gap to peak: -52
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Dagger

0W · 4L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Record: 0W · 4L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 4 Losses
Based on 4 recorded dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 0%
▾
Pool stage: 0W · 4L (0%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
1 event · us
Single-weapon
▾
Tournaments: 1
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Rated weapons: 1

Clubmates · Wichita Fencing & HEMA Academy● (30)

Events & fights (1)

Gesellen Fechten 2019●
October 2019 · us
12 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2691 · 967.8
LOSS
Christian Kohl● · Wichita Fencing & HEMA Academy● Longsword · Elims
LOSS
Michael Graves● · Davenriche European Martial Artes School● Longsword · Elims
1142
LOSS
Rowen Pace● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Elims
794
DRAW
Andrew Champion● · Dallas School of Historical Fencing● Longsword · Elims
LOSS
Rex Ashcraft● · Tattershall School of Defense● Longsword · Pools Score 2-3 Review →
LOSS
Michael Graves● · Davenriche European Martial Artes School● Longsword · Pools
1142
WIN
Daven Chagnon● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Pools Score 4-1 Review →
WIN
Jesse Brownfield● Longsword · Pools Score 2-0 Review →
LOSS
Anthony Buonomo● · Austin Historical Weapons Guild● Dagger · Pools
LOSS
Bryant Cobarrubias● · Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association● Dagger · Pools
LOSS
Derek Nash● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Dagger · Pools
LOSS
Daniel Rauens● · Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association● Dagger · Pools
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.