Skip to main content

Justin Doan-Shepherd

Inactive 50m

Weapons & Rank/ratings

Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1109
Peak
1146 June 2022
Record
4W · 7L
Last
June 2022
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
1040
Peak
1069 October 2021
Record
2W · 2L
Last
October 2021
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
895
Peak
924 October 2021
Record
1W · 2L · 1D
Last
October 2021

Scout analysis

Longsword

4W · 7L (36%)
Form
Rising
Recent 60% vs older 0%
Record: 4W · 7L (36%)
Recent half (5 fights): 60%
Older half (5 fights): 0%
Delta: +60%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 11 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 36%
Pool stage: 4W · 7L (36%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
37 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1109
Peak rating: 1146 (June 2022)
Gap to peak: -37
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
+11 fights in 3 thinner divisions

Rapier

2W · 2L (50%)
Form
Building
50% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 2W · 2L (50%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 4 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Measured
4 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 3.33
Avg exchanges / match: 5
Doubles / match: 1.75
First scorer rate: 50%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 50%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 2W · 2L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
29 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1040
Peak rating: 1069 (October 2021)
Gap to peak: -29
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sword & Buckler

1W · 2L · 1D (25%)
Form
Building
25% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 1W · 2L · 1D (25%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 4 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
3 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 3.75
Avg exchanges / match: 5
Doubles / match: 2.33
First scorer rate: 67%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 100%
Comeback wins (was behind): 100%
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
Pool stage: 1W · 2L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
28 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 895
Peak rating: 924 (October 2021)
Gap to peak: -28
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
2 events · us · 8 mo active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 8
Fights / year: 28.5
Rated weapons: 3

Clubmates · Wichita Fencing & HEMA Academy (30)

Events & fights (2)

Donnybrook 2022
June 2022 · us
3 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 969 ▲239 · 1,146.9
LOSS
1539 21%
WIN
1149 45%
WIN
Nathaniel Metcalf · House of Blades Longsword · Pool Set 1
Gesellen Fechten 2021
October 2021 · us
16 fights
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1309 · 1,034.4
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 290 · 1,069.8
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 393 · 924.2
LOSS
Joel Overly · En Garde Fencing Longsword · Pool Set 1
1289
LOSS
Johnathan Bartlett · En Garde Fencing Longsword · Pool Set 1
1174
LOSS
1255
LOSS
WIN
1695
LOSS
DJ Nero · Sword to Sword Longsword · Pool Set 1
1165
WIN
Kenneth Ostrom · Nachreisen Historical Fencing Rapier · Pool Set 1 Score 4-1 Review →
891
LOSS
Justinder Singh · Burning Sun Rapier · Pool Set 1 Score 0-3 · 2 doubles Review →
LOSS
Michael Konrad · Ironwood Historic Swordsmanship Rapier · Pool Set 1 Score 1-3 · 1 double Review →
1456
WIN
Alexander Xi · Dallas School of Historical Fencing Rapier · Pool Set 1 Score 1-0 · 4 doubles Review →
960
LOSS
Jeffery Fisher · Ironwood Historic Swordsmanship Sword & Buckler · Pool Set 1
1058
DRAW
Yanpeng Song · Shanghai Historical Martial Arts Sword & Buckler · Pool Set 1 Score 2-2 · 1 double Review →
WIN
Preston Selby · Tattershall School of Defense Sword & Buckler · Pool Set 1 Score 4-0 · 1 double Review →
LOSS
Rex Ashcraft · Tattershall School of Defense Sword & Buckler · Pool Set 1 Score 0-2 · 3 doubles Review →
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.