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Michael Keller
Inactive 13m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
1614
#151
Peak
1617
May 2026
Record
24W · 8L · 4D
Last
May 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1601
#341
Peak
1632
June 2022
Record
72W · 28L · 15D
Last
May 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Current
1370
#331
Peak
1372
May 2026
Record
44W · 23L · 6D
Last
May 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Current
1547
#170
Peak
1559
November 2025
Record
44W · 23L · 6D
Last
November 2025
Mixed & Men's Singlestick
Current
1630
#17
Peak
1640
August 2025
Record
13W · 2L
Last
August 2025
Scout analysis
Longsword
72W · 28L · 15D (63%)
Longsword
72W · 28L · 15D (63%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 51% vs older 75%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 51% vs older 75%
Record: 72W · 28L · 15D (63%)
Recent half (57 fights): 51%
Older half (57 fights): 75%
Delta: -24%
Current streak: 4 Losses
Based on 115 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-4.5 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
-4.5 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 9
Over/under vs expectation:
-4.5
(44 actual / 48.5 expected, n=79)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
15 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
15 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.14
Avg exchanges / match: 5.5
Doubles / match: 1.2
First scorer rate: 73%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 38%
Comeback wins (was behind): 38%
Stage
Balanced
Pool 71% · Elim 80%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 71% · Elim 80%
Pool stage: 49W · 20L (71%)
Elimination: 12W · 3L (80%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
31 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
31 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1601
Peak rating: 1632 (June 2022)
Gap to peak: -31
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
34W · 8L · 4D
(74%)
+1.7 vs expectation
(n=26)
avg opponent 1313
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier A)
10W · 9L · 6D
(40%)
-3.9 vs expectation
(n=25)
avg opponent 1528
Mixed Steel Longsword (Open)
10W · 4L · 2D
(63%)
-0.9 vs expectation
(n=11)
avg opponent 1438
Mixed Steel Longsword (Pools)
7W · 4L · 1D
(58%)
-2.3 vs expectation
(n=8)
avg opponent 1278
+16 fights in 3 thinner divisions
Rapier
44W · 23L · 6D (60%)
Rapier
44W · 23L · 6D (60%)
Form
Rising
Recent 69% vs older 53%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 69% vs older 53%
Record: 44W · 23L · 6D (60%)
Recent half (36 fights): 69%
Older half (36 fights): 53%
Delta: +16%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 73 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+1.2 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+1.2 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
+1.2
(22 actual / 20.8 expected, n=38)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
15 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
15 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.33
Avg exchanges / match: 4.1
Doubles / match: 0.27
First scorer rate: 60%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 18%
Comeback wins (was behind): 91%
Stage
Balanced
Pool 69% · Elim 50%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 69% · Elim 50%
Pool stage: 36W · 16L (69%)
Elimination: 4W · 4L (50%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1547
Peak rating: 1559 (November 2025)
Gap to peak: -12
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Single Rapier
34W · 18L · 6D
(59%)
+1.2 vs expectation
(n=38)
avg opponent 1302
Mixed Steel Rapier And Any Sidearm
5W · 4L
(56%)
+6 fights in 1 thinner division
Smallsword
28W · 14L (67%)
Smallsword
28W · 14L (67%)
Form
Steady
Recent 71% vs older 62%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 71% vs older 62%
Record: 28W · 14L (67%)
Recent half (21 fights): 71%
Older half (21 fights): 62%
Delta: +9%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 42 recorded smallsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
11 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
11 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 0.66
Avg exchanges / match: 3.6
Doubles / match: 0.36
First scorer rate: 73%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 83%
Stage
Balanced
Pool 71% · Elim 70%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 71% · Elim 70%
Pool stage: 20W · 8L (71%)
Elimination: 7W · 3L (70%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sabre
24W · 8L · 4D (67%)
Sabre
24W · 8L · 4D (67%)
Form
Rising
Recent 72% vs older 61%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 72% vs older 61%
Record: 24W · 8L · 4D (67%)
Recent half (18 fights): 72%
Older half (18 fights): 61%
Delta: +11%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 36 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+0.6 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+0.6 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
+0.6
(13 actual / 12.4 expected, n=18)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 81%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 81%
Pool stage: 21W · 5L (81%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1614
Peak rating: 1617 (May 2026)
Gap to peak: -2
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Spear
24W · 4L (86%)
Spear
24W · 4L (86%)
Form
Steady
Recent 86% vs older 86%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 86% vs older 86%
Record: 24W · 4L (86%)
Recent half (14 fights): 86%
Older half (14 fights): 86%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 28 recorded spear fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 94% · Elim 60%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 94% · Elim 60%
Pool stage: 16W · 1L (94%)
Elimination: 3W · 2L (60%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Singlestick
13W · 2L (87%)
Singlestick
13W · 2L (87%)
Form
Steady
Recent 86% vs older 86%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 86% vs older 86%
Record: 13W · 2L (87%)
Recent half (7 fights): 86%
Older half (7 fights): 86%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 15 recorded singlestick fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+1.5 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+1.5 vs expectation
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
+1.5
(6 actual / 4.5 expected, n=7)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
Pool stage: 10W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
At peak
Near career best
▾
Peak
At peak
Near career best
Current rating: 1630
Peak rating: 1640 (August 2025)
Gap to peak: -9
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Mixed Weapon
8W · 5L (62%)
Mixed Weapon
8W · 5L (62%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 50% vs older 67%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 50% vs older 67%
Record: 8W · 5L (62%)
Recent half (6 fights): 50%
Older half (6 fights): 67%
Delta: -17%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 13 recorded mixed weapon fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 62%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 62%
Pool stage: 8W · 5L (62%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Any Steel One-Handed Weapon With Any Sidearm
6W · 4L
(60%)
+3 fights in 1 thinner division
Rapier & Dagger
6W · 2L (75%)
Rapier & Dagger
6W · 2L (75%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 50% vs older 100%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 50% vs older 100%
Record: 6W · 2L (75%)
Recent half (4 fights): 50%
Older half (4 fights): 100%
Delta: -50%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 8 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 86%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 86%
Pool stage: 6W · 1L (86%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
14 events · us · 6.7 yrs active
4 rated weapons
▾
Reach
14 events · us · 6.7 yrs active
4 rated weapons
Tournaments: 14
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 80
Fights / year: 49.5
Rated weapons: 4
Clubmates
·
Wichita Fencing & HEMA Academy●
(30)
- Gavin Page●
- Court Dyke●
- Mark Heidrick●
- Stewart McClelland●
- Jordan Callier●
- Zoey Bonner●
- Cory Tibbitts●
- Nolan Montonye●
- Brenton Burke●
- Connor Brusso●
- David Henderson●
- Amber Brown●
- Emily Carol Smith●
- Adam Bruce●
- Christian Chase●
- Travis Marler●
- Justin Doan-Shepherd●
- Alan Horn●
- Christian Kohl●
- Kaleb Barker●
- Michael Carrigan●
- Joe Shubert●
- Caleb Ferrell●
- Alec DeChant●
- Jack Rue●
- Austin Skidmore●
- Jason Issel●
- Marin Pendergrass●
- Jud Brown●
- Manuel Rubio●
Events & fights
(16)
SwordStrong 2026●
May 2026 · us
28 fights
▾
May 2026 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 318 ▼27 · 1,605.1
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 147 ▲64 · 1,617.0
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 326 · 1,372.2
WIN
William Fischer●
·
Omaha-Metro Armed Combat Academy●
Rapier & Dagger
· Pool Set 1
Score 6-1
Review →
WIN
William Fischer●
·
Omaha-Metro Armed Combat Academy●
Rapier & Dagger
· Pool Set 2
Score 6-1
Review →
LOSS
1053
LOSS
1595
WIN
1603 47%
WIN
1023 80%
Gesellen Fechten 2025●
October 2025 · us
32 fights
▾
October 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 239 ▲71 · 1,627.4
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 161 ▲13 · 1,538.6
WIN
Kyle Callaway●
·
Dallas School of Historical Fencing●
Longsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 3-2
Review →
1503 63%
LOSS
Ryan Hetchler●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 0-3
Review →
1646 39%
WIN
Franz Metz●
·
Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association●
Longsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 4-0 · 1 double
Review →
1223 83%
WIN
1458 70%
DRAW
WIN
Kim Sheely●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Rapier
· First Round of Pools
Score 5-0
Review →
720 92%
LOSS
Micaiah Elliott●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Rapier
· First Round of Pools
Score 2-3
Review →
1494 40%
WIN
Oliver Wroten●
·
Historical Swordfighting Guild of UT Dallas●
Rapier
· First Round of Pools
Score 4-1
Review →
WIN
1222 69%
WIN
Kim Sheely●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Rapier
· Second Round of Pools
Score 5-0
Review →
720 92%
WIN
Oliver Wroten●
·
Historical Swordfighting Guild of UT Dallas●
Smallsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 4-1
Review →
WIN
Caelyn Hamilton●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Smallsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 4-0
Review →
WIN
WIN
Timothy D'Ambrosio●
·
Monarch Historical Fencing●
Smallsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 4-0
Review →
AFO Tournament of Defense 2025●
November 2025 · us
6 fights
▾
November 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 145 ▲17 · 1,559.9
Donnybrook 2025●
August 2025 · us
23 fights
▾
August 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 303 ▲50 · 1,597.7
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 14 ▲17 · 1,640.1
LOSS
Spring Fechten 2025●
May 2025 · us
16 fights
▾
May 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 335 ▲68 · 1,575.3
WIN
Josh Saito●
·
Dallas School of Historical Fencing●
Longsword
· Elim Pools
Score 4-0 · 1 double
Review →
1450 68%
WIN
Ronan Davis●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 3-1
Review →
946 92%
WIN
Josh Saito●
·
Dallas School of Historical Fencing●
Longsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 4-0 · 1 double
Review →
1450 68%
WIN
Mark Heidrick●
·
Wichita Fencing & HEMA Academy●
Longsword
· First Round of Pools
Score 3-1
Review →
WIN
Mark Heidrick●
·
Wichita Fencing & HEMA Academy●
Longsword
· Second Round of Pools
Score 3-1
Review →
SwordStrong 2025●
May 2025 · us
26 fights
▾
May 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 335 ▲68 · 1,575.3
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 140 ▲74 · 1,583.7
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 161 ▲45 · 1,523.9
DRAW
1030 82%
DRAW
Henry Tsai●
·
Springfield Historical Fencing Guild●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 2-2 · 1 double
Review →
WIN
Jakob Seehaas●
·
Baerswords School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 4-0
Review →
1359 78%
LOSS
1652 38%
WIN
1222 78%
WIN
1626 43%
LOSS
WIN
Joseph Martinez●
·
Baerswords School of Western Martial Arts●
Rapier
· Pool Set 1
Score 3-2
Review →
1315 58%
WIN
Ryan Collins●
·
Baerswords School of Western Martial Arts●
Rapier
· Top 16
Score 3-1 · 1 double
Review →
1404 57%
42 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 336 ▼19 · 1,551.4
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 127 · 1,574.6
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 224 ▲185 · 1,413.2
AFO Tournament of Defense 2024●
November 2024 · us
16 fights
▾
November 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 186 ▼59 · 1,521.5
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 172 ▲52 · 1,471.0
WIN
Smallsword
· Semifinals
Donnybrook 2024●
August 2024 · us
19 fights
▾
August 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 309 ▼30 · 1,560.9
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 22 ▲28 · 1,552.6
LOSS
Bryan Howard●
·
Baerswords School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· Elimination Bracket
Score 7-10
Review →
1413 79%
LOSS
1648 49%
WIN
687 80%
WIN
Gabriel McNeil●
·
Heartland HEMA Historical Fencing Club●
Smallsword
· Elimination Bracket
Score 9-8
Review →
WIN
Emma Moon●
·
Heartland HEMA Historical Fencing Club●
Smallsword
· Elimination Bracket
Score 9-2
Review →
LOSS
Michael Waggoner●
·
Omaha Kunst des Fechtens●
Smallsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 0-8 · 2 doubles
Review →
Gesellen Fechten 2022●
October 2022 · us
19 fights
▾
October 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 124 ▼31 · 1,598.7
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 173 ▲13 · 1,286.2
WIN
Bryan Howard●
·
Baerswords School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 2-1 · 2 doubles
Review →
1195 92%
LOSS
Dax Moore●
·
Dallas School of Historical Fencing●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 1-2 · 2 doubles
Review →
1483 66%
WIN
Michael Worthy●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 3-1
Review →
WIN
918 89%
WIN
Michael Worthy●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Rapier
· Elimination Bracket
Score 3-1
Review →
742 72%
Donnybrook 2022●
June 2022 · us
20 fights
▾
June 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 78 ▲1 · 1,632.8
- Mixed & Men's Singlestick Rank 18 · 1,429.2
Gesellen Fechten 2021●
October 2021 · us
14 fights
▾
October 2021 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 86 ▲50 · 1,631.4
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 162 · 1,264.0
LOSS
Preston Parks●
·
Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts●
Rapier
· Pool Set 1
Score 1-3 · 1 double
Review →
Donnybrook 2021●
June 2021 · us
20 fights
▾
June 2021 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 142 ▲237 · 1,585.6
WIN
1438 51%
WIN
Bryce Lowman●
·
Heartland HEMA Historical Fencing Club●
Longsword
· Gold Medal Match
Score 10-2
Review →
1345 60%
WIN
955 71%
WIN
Lucas Olson●
·
Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association●
Longsword
· Quarterfinals
Score 10-5
Review →
1393 63%
LOSS
WIN
WIN
LOSS
Robert Ault●
·
Baerswords School of Western Martial Arts●
Smallsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 8-11 · 1 double
Review →
WIN
Tyler Larson●
·
Omaha-Metro Armed Combat Academy●
Smallsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 12-2 · 1 double
Review →
WIN
Daniel Rauens●
·
Wisconsin Historical Fencing Association●
Smallsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 13-6
Review →
WIN
Shen Williams●
·
Heartland HEMA Historical Fencing Club●
Smallsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 10-3 · 2 doubles
Review →
Gesellen Fechten 2019●
October 2019 · us
21 fights
▾
October 2019 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 462 · 1,461.0
WIN
LOSS
Michael Graves●
·
Davenriche European Martial Artes School●
Longsword
· Semifinals
Score 2-3
Review →
1142
SpearStrong KC 2026○
March 2026
No match-level data
13 fights
▾
March 2026
No match-level data
SpearStrong 2025○
January 2025
No match-level data
15 fights
▾
January 2025
No match-level data
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.