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Ashley Polasek
Inactive 94m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Women's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1282
Peak
1370
November 2018
Record
25W · 37L
Last
November 2018
Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1282
Peak
1370
November 2018
Record
25W · 37L
Last
November 2018
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1000
Peak
1083
November 2018
Record
25W · 37L
Last
November 2018
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
901
Peak
949
November 2018
Record
1W · 3L
Last
November 2018
Scout analysis
Longsword
41W · 52L (44%)
Longsword
41W · 52L (44%)
Form
Rising
Recent 57% vs older 30%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 57% vs older 30%
Record: 41W · 52L (44%)
Recent half (46 fights): 57%
Older half (46 fights): 30%
Delta: +27%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 93 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+1 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+1 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 9
Over/under vs expectation:
+1
(22 actual / 21 expected, n=59)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 54% · Elim 50%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 54% · Elim 50%
Pool stage: 13W · 11L (54%)
Elimination: 4W · 4L (50%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
88 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
88 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1282
Peak rating: 1370 (November 2018)
Gap to peak: -88
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Women's Steel Longsword
32W · 30L
(52%)
+3.1 vs expectation
(n=40)
avg opponent 1244
Mixed Steel Longsword
7W · 19L
(27%)
-2.1 vs expectation
(n=19)
avg opponent 1256
+5 fights in 1 thinner division
Messer
1W · 3L · 1D (20%)
Messer
1W · 3L · 1D (20%)
Form
Building
20% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
20% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 1W · 3L · 1D (20%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 5 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sidesword
3W · 1L · 1D (60%)
Sidesword
3W · 1L · 1D (60%)
Form
Building
60% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
60% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 3W · 1L · 1D (60%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Wins
Based on 5 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 100%
Pool stage: 3W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sword & Buckler
1W · 3L (25%)
Sword & Buckler
1W · 3L (25%)
Form
Building
25% win rate · 4 fights
▾
Form
Building
25% win rate · 4 fights
Record: 1W · 3L (25%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 4 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
Pool stage: 1W · 3L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
47 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
47 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 901
Peak rating: 949 (November 2018)
Gap to peak: -47
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
11 events · us · 2.6 yrs active
2 rated weapons
▾
Reach
11 events · us · 2.6 yrs active
2 rated weapons
Tournaments: 11
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 31
Fights / year: 41.4
Rated weapons: 2
Clubmates
·
Sword Carolina●
(21)
- Thomas Hanks●
- Ashley Hanks●
- Martin Niggemeier●
- Aaron Shober●
- Cameron Schapp●
- Josh Lucas●
- Matthew Simeon Metrinko●
- Lem Walt●
- Geoff Aldrich●
- Jordan Lee●
- Mason Gibbs●
- Patrick Elliott●
- Philip Arista●
- David Hamilton●
- Theo Griffin●
- Zach Pearson●
- Zane Holmes●
- Chris Shober●
- Connor Hillyer●
- Jake Keefe●
- Joel Ahern●
Events & fights
(11)
1 fight
▾
4 fights
▾
11 fights
▾
6 fights
▾
9 fights
▾
8 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Women's Steel Longsword Rank 114 ▲4 · 1,075.3
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword Rank 114 ▲4 · 1,075.3
19 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1799 ▲55 · 1,083.0
- Women's Steel Longsword Rank 69 ▲26 · 1,370.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 585 · 949.4
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword Rank 69 ▲26 · 1,370.8
16 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1547 ▲107 · 1,065.7
- Women's Steel Longsword Rank 78 ▲22 · 1,290.4
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword Rank 78 ▲22 · 1,290.4
8 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1603 ▼143 · 1,006.8
14 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1386 ▲310 · 1,027.4
- Women's Steel Longsword Rank 95 ▲32 · 1,212.6
- Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword Rank 95 ▲32 · 1,212.6
11 fights
▾
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.