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Forrest Gonia

Virginia Academy of Fencing● · United States
Inactive 81m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
886
Peak
946 January 2020
Record
4W · 10L
Last
January 2020
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
855
Peak
896 January 2020
Record
0W · 0L
Last
January 2020

Scout analysis

Longsword

4W · 10L (29%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 14% vs older 43%
▾
Record: 4W · 10L (29%)
Recent half (7 fights): 14%
Older half (7 fights): 43%
Delta: -29%
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 14 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 30% · Elim 33%
▾
Pool stage: 3W · 7L (30%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
59 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 886
Peak rating: 946 (January 2020)
Gap to peak: -59
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Rapier & Dagger

1W · 4L (20%)
Form
Building
20% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Record: 1W · 4L (20%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 5 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
▾
Pool stage: 1W · 2L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
2 events · us
2 rated weapons
▾
Tournaments: 2
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Rated weapons: 2

Clubmates · Virginia Academy of Fencing● (63)

Events & fights (2)

Washington DC HEMA OPEN 2020●
January 2020 · us
No match-level data
13 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2912 · 946.3
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 637 · 896.5
LOSS
Joseph Blair● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Bronze Medal Match
931
LOSS
Anson Tran● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Longsword · Pool A
LOSS
Joseph Blair● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Pool A
931
WIN
Andrew Luster● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Longsword · Pool A
LOSS
Daniel Heitz● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Longsword · Pool A
WIN
Jo Smith● · Battlefield KdF● Longsword · Pool A
WIN
Andrew Luster● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Longsword · Quarter-Finals
LOSS
Daniel Heitz● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Longsword · Semi-Finals
LOSS
Zach Dutke● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Rapier & Dagger · Bronze Medal Match
WIN
Daniel Heitz● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Rapier & Dagger · Pool A
LOSS
Zach Dutke● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Rapier & Dagger · Pool A
LOSS
Anson Tran● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Rapier & Dagger · Pool A
LOSS
Daniel Heitz● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Rapier & Dagger · Semi-Finals
2020 Capitol Clash HEMA Open Warmup #3●
January 2020 · us
No match-level data
6 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 2912 · 946.3
LOSS
David Rowe● · Metropolitan Historical Fencing Academy● Longsword · Pool 1
1594
LOSS
Louis Melancon● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Longsword · Pool 1
WIN
Christian Atos● · Maryland Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword · Pool 1
LOSS
Michael Uebel● · Capital Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword · Pool 1
LOSS
Vidmas Kondratas● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Longsword · Pool 1
841
LOSS
Michael Uebel● · Capital Kunst des Fechtens● Longsword · Round of 16 - 2
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.