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Daniel Heitz

Virginia Academy of Fencing● · United States
Inactive 80m
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Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
1138
Peak
1184 January 2020
Record
4W · 3L
Last
January 2020
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Inactive
Current
1000
Peak
1040 January 2020
Record
0W · 0L
Last
January 2020
Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler
Inactive
Current
714
Peak
745 January 2020
Record
0W · 2L
Last
January 2020

Scout analysis

Longsword

4W · 3L (57%)
Form
Building
57% win rate · 7 fights
▾
Record: 4W · 3L (57%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Wins
Based on 7 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 60%
▾
Pool stage: 3W · 2L (60%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
45 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 1138
Peak rating: 1184 (January 2020)
Gap to peak: -45
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Rapier & Dagger

2W · 3L (40%)
Form
Building
40% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Record: 2W · 3L (40%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 5 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 33%
▾
Pool stage: 1W · 2L (33%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.

Sword & Buckler

0W · 2L (0%)
Form
Building
0% win rate · 2 fights
▾
Record: 0W · 2L (0%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 2 recorded sword & buckler fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate, comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
31 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Current rating: 714
Peak rating: 745 (January 2020)
Gap to peak: -31
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
1 event · us
3 rated weapons
▾
Tournaments: 1
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Rated weapons: 3

Clubmates · Virginia Academy of Fencing● (63)

Events & fights (1)

Washington DC HEMA OPEN 2020●
January 2020 · us
No match-level data
14 fights ▾
Rating outcome
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1620 · 1,184.0
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 509 · 1,040.8
  • Mixed & Men's Steel Sword and Buckler Rank 965 · 745.9
LOSS
Anson Tran● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Longsword · Gold Medal Match
LOSS
Andrew Luster● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Longsword · Pool A
WIN
Jo Smith● · Battlefield KdF● Longsword · Pool A
LOSS
Anson Tran● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Longsword · Pool A
WIN
Forrest Gonia● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Longsword · Pool A
WIN
Joseph Blair● · Cymbrogi School of Western Martial Arts● Longsword · Pool A
931
WIN
Forrest Gonia● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Longsword · Semi-Finals
LOSS
Anson Tran● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Rapier & Dagger · Gold Medal Match
LOSS
Forrest Gonia● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Rapier & Dagger · Pool A
LOSS
Anson Tran● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Rapier & Dagger · Pool A
WIN
Zach Dutke● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Rapier & Dagger · Pool A
WIN
Forrest Gonia● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Rapier & Dagger · Semi-Finals
LOSS
Anson Tran● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Sword & Buckler · Pool A
LOSS
Anson Tran● · Virginia Academy of Fencing● Sword & Buckler · Pool A
How to read this profile

Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.

Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.

Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.