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Nichole Lopes
Inactive 115m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
880
Peak
966
January 2016
Record
4W · 15L
Last
March 2017
Underrepresented Genders & Women's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
789
Peak
846
January 2017
Record
4W · 15L
Last
January 2017
Women's Steel Longsword
Inactive
Current
789
Peak
846
January 2017
Record
4W · 15L
Last
January 2017
Scout analysis
Longsword
5W · 19L (21%)
Longsword
5W · 19L (21%)
Form
Steady
Recent 17% vs older 25%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 17% vs older 25%
Record: 5W · 19L (21%)
Recent half (12 fights): 17%
Older half (12 fights): 25%
Delta: -8%
Current streak: 2 Losses
Based on 24 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-1.5 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-1.5 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
-1.5
(2 actual / 3.5 expected, n=11)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
85 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
85 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 880
Peak rating: 966 (January 2016)
Gap to peak: -85
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
3W · 9L
(25%)
-1.7 vs expectation
(n=5)
avg opponent 1229
Women's Steel Longsword
2W · 10L
(17%)
+0.2 vs expectation
(n=6)
avg opponent 1194
Arming Sword
1W · 4L (20%)
Arming Sword
1W · 4L (20%)
Form
Building
20% win rate · 5 fights
▾
Form
Building
20% win rate · 5 fights
Record: 1W · 4L (20%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 3 Losses
Based on 5 recorded arming sword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
▾
Stage
Sample too small
Stage breakdown pending
Pool stage: needs 3+ coded fights.
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
4 events · us · 1.2 yrs active
Single-weapon
▾
Reach
4 events · us · 1.2 yrs active
Single-weapon
Tournaments: 4
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 14
Fights / year: 24.9
Rated weapons: 1
Clubmates
·
Virginia Academy of Fencing●
(63)
- Malcolm Ponte●
- Henry McLemore●
- Doug Perritt●
- Allyson Deitrick●
- Matthew Martens●
- Dustin Collier●
- Bill Grandy●
- Charissa Eagy●
- Peter Brusseau●
- Iman Muttardy●
- Jonathan Gordon●
- James McDonnell●
- James Convery●
- Kelly Boger●
- Steve Sheets●
- Doug Bahnick●
- Tim Hall●
- Daniel Ramos●
- Robert Gonia●
- Matthew Rodgers●
- Jesse Lambert●
- Kevin Comer●
- Vidmas Kondratas●
- Daniel Rosenberg●
- Forrest Gonia●
- Steve Patarcity●
- Alexander Wahid●
- Louis Melancon●
- Filip Sufitchi●
- Anson Tran●
- Daniel Heitz●
- Christopher Perez●
- Harvey Haglin●
- Jesse Cassiba●
- Shaun Whitney●
- Omar Quintero●
- Reed Mihaelow●
- Steve Andreadis●
- Benjamin Gobel●
- Michael Petrovich●
- Stuart Sutphin●
- Thomas Connolly●
- Andrew Luster●
- Bob Watts●
- Christian Luna●
- Clayton Willets●
- Cody Williams●
- Corrigan Owen●
- David Scruggs●
- Dennis Yau●
- Jeremy Kedziora●
- John Koenig●
- Jonathan MacKenzie Gordan●
- Robert Deitrick●
- William Bergman●
- Christopher Karagiannis●
- Frank Janicki●
- Howard Clark●
- Nicole Hernandez●
- Zach Dutke●
- Brian Cox●
- John Dowdle●
- Karen Bishop●
Events & fights
(4)
7 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1113 ▼80 · 960.7
4 fights
▾
10 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 439 · 966.1
8 fights
▾
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.