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Ethan Adkins
Inactive 19m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
1560
#464
Peak
1595
February 2025
Record
64W · 52L
Last
February 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Current
1544
#261
Peak
1570
February 2025
Record
34W · 16L
Last
February 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger
Current
1232
#550
Peak
1247
February 2025
Record
0W · 0L
Last
February 2025
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword
Inactive
Current
984
Peak
1010
October 2022
Record
2W · 4L
Last
October 2022
Scout analysis
Longsword
64W · 52L (55%)
Longsword
64W · 52L (55%)
Form
Rising
Recent 64% vs older 47%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 64% vs older 47%
Record: 64W · 52L (55%)
Recent half (58 fights): 64%
Older half (58 fights): 47%
Delta: +17%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 116 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+7.6 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+7.6 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 21
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 5
Over/under vs expectation:
+7.6
(44 actual / 36.4 expected, n=93)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
7 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
7 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.57
Avg exchanges / match: 6.7
Doubles / match: 0
First scorer rate: 71%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 14%
Comeback wins (was behind): 43%
Stage
Balanced
Pool 58% · Elim 39%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 58% · Elim 39%
Pool stage: 49W · 35L (58%)
Elimination: 7W · 11L (39%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
34 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
34 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1560
Peak rating: 1595 (February 2025)
Gap to peak: -34
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
53W · 45L
(54%)
+3.1 vs expectation
(n=75)
avg opponent 1430
Mixed Steel Longsword (Division 1)
6W · 3L
(67%)
+1.7 vs expectation
(n=9)
avg opponent 1568
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier A)
5W · 4L
(56%)
+2.8 vs expectation
(n=9)
avg opponent 1668
Sabre
33W · 16L (67%)
Sabre
33W · 16L (67%)
Form
Rising
Recent 75% vs older 58%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 75% vs older 58%
Record: 33W · 16L (67%)
Recent half (24 fights): 75%
Older half (24 fights): 58%
Delta: +17%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 49 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+4.7 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+4.7 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
+4.7
(20 actual / 15.3 expected, n=30)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 70% · Elim 44%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 70% · Elim 44%
Pool stage: 23W · 10L (70%)
Elimination: 4W · 5L (44%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
26 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
26 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1544
Peak rating: 1570 (February 2025)
Gap to peak: -26
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Messer
11W · 6L (65%)
Messer
11W · 6L (65%)
Form
Rising
Recent 75% vs older 50%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 75% vs older 50%
Record: 11W · 6L (65%)
Recent half (8 fights): 75%
Older half (8 fights): 50%
Delta: +25%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 17 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 69% · Elim 33%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 69% · Elim 33%
Pool stage: 9W · 4L (69%)
Elimination: 1W · 2L (33%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier & Dagger
6W · 6L (50%)
Rapier & Dagger
6W · 6L (50%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 33% vs older 67%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 33% vs older 67%
Record: 6W · 6L (50%)
Recent half (6 fights): 33%
Older half (6 fights): 67%
Delta: -34%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 12 recorded rapier & dagger fights.
Schedule
Punching up
-0.7 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
-0.7 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 1
Over/under vs expectation:
-0.7
(1 actual / 1.7 expected, n=5)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 50%
Pool stage: 4W · 4L (50%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sidesword
2W · 4L (33%)
Sidesword
2W · 4L (33%)
Form
Building
33% win rate · 6 fights
▾
Form
Building
33% win rate · 6 fights
Record: 2W · 4L (33%)
Trajectory needs 8+ fights - will sharpen as more data lands.
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 6 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
▾
Stage
Pool data only
Pool 25%
Pool stage: 1W · 3L (25%)
Elimination: needs 3+ coded fights.
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
26 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
26 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 984
Peak rating: 1010 (October 2022)
Gap to peak: -26
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
13 events · 2 countries · 3 yrs active
4 rated weapons
▾
Reach
13 events · 2 countries · 3 yrs active
4 rated weapons
Tournaments: 13
Countries fought in: 2 (us, fi)
Months active: 36
Fights / year: 66.7
Rated weapons: 4
Clubmates
·
Queen City Sword Guild●
(65)
- Matthew Huller●
- Brady O'Callaghan●
- Jason Feldman●
- Loyd Briski●
- Anabelle Reininger●
- Kaitlin Evans●
- Vic Mechler●
- William Grube●
- Nick Mills●
- Tiffany Shi●
- Ryan Stump●
- Ryan Drager●
- Trevor Samberg●
- Sharif Kerr●
- Cianna Drake●
- Mike Schuler●
- Kellen Ring●
- Aaron Hudson●
- Sydney Hanks●
- Bailey Mueller●
- Stuart Redfearn●
- Zach Thomas●
- Shane O'Neill●
- Ben Houck●
- Glenn Sparkes●
- Sean McCarthy●
- J Hendrix●
- Joe Hartman●
- Jonathan Elliott●
- Patrick McCarthy●
- Jack Graffagnino●
- Jade Smith●
- Daniel Blair●
- Ethan Rettig●
- Angus Thompson●
- James Coleman●
- Jared Willwerth●
- Robert Stewart●
- Adam Spies●
- Bethany Beer●
- Cole Gentry●
- William Bentley●
- Connor Potts●
- Finn James●
- Elaine Davis●
- Jimmy Lawrence●
- Robert DeHoff●
- Brandon Hunt●
- Cade Mclarty●
- Crystal Pfeiffer●
- Jadon Bardus●
- Jonah Carter●
- Nate Sirrat●
- Avery Appino●
- Edwin Rubio-Mora●
- Ian Witten●
- Jay Matusak●
- Jon Hart●
- Josh McGee●
- Joshua Oberlin●
- Laura Billheimer●
- Dominick Scheuringer●
- Michael Maphet●
- Micah Arthur●
- Christian Koch●
Events & fights
(13)
26 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 258 ▲57 · 1,595.1
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 144 ▲61 · 1,570.0
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 356 ▲219 · 1,247.4
Helsinki Longsword Open 2025●
January 2025 · fi
13 fights
▾
January 2025 · fi
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 315 ▲45 · 1,567.8
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 205 ▲110 · 1,510.5
LOSS
1346 72%
Duel For The Jewel 2024●
October 2024 · us
25 fights
▾
October 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 328 ▲90 · 1,553.9
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 288 ▲53 · 1,429.4
WIN
1641 27%
LOSS
Alexander Brindley●
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 3-8
Review →
1642 26%
LOSS
1742 15%
WIN
1641 27%
LOSS
1742 15%
LOSS
1416 41%
LOSS
1416 41%
8 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 405 ▲35 · 1,514.6
Queen's Gambit 2024●
July 2024 · us
17 fights
▾
July 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 440 ▲44 · 1,502.4
Summer Longsword and Rapier Open 2024●
June 2024 · us
15 fights
▾
June 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 484 ▲226 · 1,485.3
- Mixed & Men's Steel Rapier and Dagger Rank 485 · 1,084.1
LOSS
Alexander Brindley●
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
Longsword
· Gold Medal Match
Score 6-7
Review →
1587 26%
WIN
Harrison Thompson●
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 5-3
Review →
WIN
Jeremy Nidiffer●
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 5-2
Review →
1077 53%
WIN
Robert Stefanovich●
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 5-1
Review →
WIN
Daniel Kumatz●
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
Longsword
· Quarterfinals
Score 7-2
Review →
WIN
Harrison Thompson●
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
Longsword
· Semifinals
Score 5-3
Review →
WIN
Daniel Kumatz●
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
Rapier & Dagger
· Eighth-Finals
Score 7-2
Review →
WIN
Samuel Orndorff●
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
Rapier & Dagger
· Pool Set 1
Score 5-1
Review →
1141
LOSS
Logan Santerelli●
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
Rapier & Dagger
· Pool Set 1
Score 3-5
Review →
1017
WIN
Jeremy Nidiffer●
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
Rapier & Dagger
· Pool Set 1
Score 5-2
Review →
788
LOSS
Logan Santerelli●
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
Rapier & Dagger
· Quarterfinals
Score 3-5
Review →
1017
Queen's Gambit 2023●
July 2023 · us
13 fights
▾
July 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 523 ▲166 · 1,440.7
SoCal Swordfight 2023●
March 2023 · us
18 fights
▾
March 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 587 ▲142 · 1,388.2
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 170 ▲42 · 1,395.7
23 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 648 ▼105 · 1,336.0
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 177 ▲115 · 1,337.2
6 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 732 ▼141 · 1,244.2
12 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 543 ▲79 · 1,370.3
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 146 · 1,010.6
Crossroads 2022●
September 2022 · us
14 fights
▾
September 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 622 ▲185 · 1,327.6
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 284 · 1,195.6
SoCal Swordfight 2022●
March 2022 · us
10 fights
▾
March 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 490 · 1,280.3
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.