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AJ Trefney
Inactive 41m
Weapons & Rank/ratings
Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword
Current
-
Peak
1720
March 2023
Record
146W · 61L · 6D
Last
February 2026
Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre
Inactive
Current
1599
Peak
1648
March 2023
Record
40W · 13L
Last
March 2023
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword
Inactive
Current
1485
Peak
1514
October 2022
Record
8W · 1L
Last
October 2022
Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier
Inactive
Current
1394
Peak
1447
September 2021
Record
11W · 8L · 4D
Last
September 2021
Scout analysis
Longsword
146W · 61L · 6D (69%)
Longsword
146W · 61L · 6D (69%)
Form
Steady
Recent 68% vs older 69%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 68% vs older 69%
Record: 146W · 61L · 6D (69%)
Recent half (106 fights): 68%
Older half (106 fights): 69%
Delta: -1%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 213 recorded longsword fights.
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+8.4 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Getting ambushed
+8.4 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 12
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 17
Over/under vs expectation:
+8.4
(121 actual / 112.6 expected, n=177)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 72% · Elim 61%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 72% · Elim 61%
Pool stage: 98W · 38L (72%)
Elimination: 25W · 16L (61%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating: 1720 (March 2023)
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
By division
Mixed Steel Longsword
118W · 35L · 4D
(75%)
+12.6 vs expectation
(n=124)
avg opponent 1391
Mixed Steel Longsword (Tier A)
8W · 9L
(47%)
-2.7 vs expectation
(n=15)
avg opponent 1594
Mixed Steel Longsword (Invitational)
4W · 7L · 1D
(33%)
-1.4 vs expectation
(n=11)
avg opponent 1434
Mixed Steel Longsword (Division 1)
7W · 3L
(70%)
+0.3 vs expectation
(n=10)
avg opponent 1500
Mixed Steel Longsword (Div A)
4W · 4L · 1D
(44%)
-0.6 vs expectation
(n=9)
avg opponent 1588
Mixed Steel Longsword (Div 1)
5W · 3L
(63%)
+0.2 vs expectation
(n=8)
avg opponent 1560
Messer
67W · 18L (79%)
Messer
67W · 18L (79%)
Form
Steady
Recent 79% vs older 79%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 79% vs older 79%
Record: 67W · 18L (79%)
Recent half (42 fights): 79%
Older half (42 fights): 79%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 85 recorded messer fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Fast starter
5 exchange-coded matches
▾
Style
Fast starter
5 exchange-coded matches
Exchanges per point: 1.14
Avg exchanges / match: 4.8
Doubles / match: 0.2
First scorer rate: 60%
Dominant wins (shut-out): 0%
Comeback wins (was behind): 67%
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 86% · Elim 63%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 86% · Elim 63%
Pool stage: 50W · 8L (86%)
Elimination: 10W · 6L (63%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
▾
Peak
Peak data pending
Peak volatility low
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sabre
40W · 13L (75%)
Sabre
40W · 13L (75%)
Form
Rising
Recent 81% vs older 69%
▾
Form
Rising
Recent 81% vs older 69%
Record: 40W · 13L (75%)
Recent half (26 fights): 81%
Older half (26 fights): 69%
Delta: +12%
Current streak: 2 Wins
Based on 53 recorded sabre fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+2.9 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+2.9 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 3
Upset losses (lost as clear favourite): 3
Over/under vs expectation:
+2.9
(17 actual / 14.1 expected, n=24)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 82% · Elim 57%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 82% · Elim 57%
Pool stage: 27W · 6L (82%)
Elimination: 8W · 6L (57%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
49 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
49 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1599
Peak rating: 1648 (March 2023)
Gap to peak: -49
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Rapier
11W · 8L · 4D (48%)
Rapier
11W · 8L · 4D (48%)
Form
Steady
Recent 45% vs older 45%
▾
Form
Steady
Recent 45% vs older 45%
Record: 11W · 8L · 4D (48%)
Recent half (11 fights): 45%
Older half (11 fights): 45%
Delta: 0%
Current streak: 1 Loss
Based on 23 recorded rapier fights.
Schedule
Punching up
+0.2 vs expectation
▾
Schedule
Punching up
+0.2 vs expectation
Quality wins (won as clear underdog): 2
Over/under vs expectation:
+0.2
(2 actual / 1.8 expected, n=5)
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Balanced
Pool 62% · Elim 60%
▾
Stage
Balanced
Pool 62% · Elim 60%
Pool stage: 8W · 5L (62%)
Elimination: 3W · 2L (60%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
53 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
53 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1394
Peak rating: 1447 (September 2021)
Gap to peak: -53
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Sidesword
8W · 1L (89%)
Sidesword
8W · 1L (89%)
Form
Cooling
Recent 75% vs older 100%
▾
Form
Cooling
Recent 75% vs older 100%
Record: 8W · 1L (89%)
Recent half (4 fights): 75%
Older half (4 fights): 100%
Delta: -25%
Current streak: 1 Win
Based on 9 recorded sidesword fights.
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
▾
Schedule
Schedule forming
Expectation data pending
Over/under needs 5+ rated fights - calculating as more data lands.
Expectation stats compare each result with the win chance implied by both fighters' ratings in that division.
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
▾
Style
Building signal
Needs more exchange data
Style signal needs per-exchange match data. Once enough of this fighter's
exchanges are recorded, this card will sharpen into scoring tempo, doubles rate,
comeback wins, early vs late scoring, and more.
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 100% · Elim 67%
▾
Stage
Pool specialist
Pool 100% · Elim 67%
Pool stage: 5W · 0L (100%)
Elimination: 2W · 1L (67%)
Stage tagging depends on upstream division labels - some fights may be uncategorised.
Peak
28 pts off peak
Currently below peak
▾
Peak
28 pts off peak
Currently below peak
Current rating: 1485
Peak rating: 1514 (October 2022)
Gap to peak: -28
Peak rating comes from the highest Glicko value recorded for this weapon.
Reach
24 events · us · 6.6 yrs active
3 rated weapons
▾
Reach
24 events · us · 6.6 yrs active
3 rated weapons
Tournaments: 24
Countries fought in: 1 (us)
Months active: 79
Fights / year: 58.2
Rated weapons: 3
Clubmates
·
Two Ravens Fencing School●
(42)
- Colin McConnell●
- David Socha●
- Brian Stone●
- Alex Beaudet●
- Alex Kellogg●
- Marten Dollinger●
- Alec Willette●
- Kathryn Dunn●
- Brandon Ransbury●
- Victor Marchetto●
- Tasia Socha●
- Amanda Webber●
- Caitlin Richards●
- Tyler Indermuhle●
- Pam Marvinney●
- Donald Schumitsh●
- Seanpatrick Brady●
- Anthony Deperro●
- Richard Bruyere●
- Cole Engle●
- Jill Cavanaugh●
- Chris Roan●
- Patrick Chick●
- Benji Merendino●
- David Frederick●
- John Dunn●
- Patrick Prejean●
- Zak Kudrna●
- Paul Schroeder●
- Robbie Crockett●
- Anson Eckel●
- Doki Kudrna●
- Jess Wike●
- Stephanie Bruyere●
- Tony DiFranco●
- Olivia Bruyere●
- Daniel Wilmer●
- Aaron Pinsoneault●
- Forrest Paige●
- Samantha Tietjen●
- Alphonso Nazario●
- Matt Lo●
Events & fights
(27)
16 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 181 ▲10 · 1,666.7
10 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 185 ▲18 · 1,662.3
Queen's Gambit 2025●
July 2025 · us
15 fights
▾
July 2025 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 187 ▲9 · 1,654.4
WIN
1562 67%
Duel For The Jewel 2024●
October 2024 · us
18 fights
▾
October 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 124 ▼40 · 1,666.4
LOSS
1512 81%
LOSS
1641 59%
LOSS
Alexander Brindley●
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 3-7
Review →
1642 54%
LOSS
1742 43%
LOSS
Alexander Brindley●
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
Longsword
· Semifinals
Score 3-7
Review →
1642 54%
WIN
Alexander Brindley●
·
Nashville School of Historical Fencing●
Messer
· Bronze Medal Match
Score 3-7
Review →
10 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 86 ▲4 · 1,708.1
Queen's Gambit 2024●
July 2024 · us
20 fights
▾
July 2024 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 90 ▼6 · 1,703.1
Queen's Gambit 2023●
July 2023 · us
19 fights
▾
July 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 69 ▲3 · 1,703.6
10 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 64 ▲19 · 1,715.5
AG Open 2023●
May 2023 · us
11 fights
▾
May 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 67 ▼15 · 1,699.1
WIN
Joshua Barnett●
·
Bold City Longsword●
Messer
· !! Attention !! Excluded From Scoring Calculations Pool Set 1
SoCal Swordfight 2023●
March 2023 · us
19 fights
▾
March 2023 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 50 ▲6 · 1,720.2
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 32 ▲8 · 1,648.5
9 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 46 ▲29 · 1,715.6
17 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 75 ▲14 · 1,661.0
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Sidesword Rank 17 · 1,514.2
Crossroads 2022●
September 2022 · us
12 fights
▾
September 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 89 ▼6 · 1,632.3
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 31 ▼9 · 1,619.2
Combat Con 2022●
July 2022 · us
22 fights
▾
July 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 82 ▲11 · 1,630.2
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 22 ▲15 · 1,612.5
WIN
1013 72%
WIN
Abraham Madrid●
·
Phoenix Society of Historical Swordsmanship●
Longsword
· Pool Set 1
Score 5-1
Review →
WIN
994 68%
WIN
1209 76%
AG Open 2022●
April 2022 · us
8 fights
▾
April 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 79 ▲11 · 1,618.6
SoCal Swordfight 2022●
March 2022 · us
19 fights
▾
March 2022 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 90 ▲34 · 1,591.3
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 30 ▲28 · 1,548.0
10 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 92 ▲43 · 1,479.2
9 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 144 ▲81 · 1,550.4
Steel City Open 2021●
September 2021 · us
53 fights
▾
September 2021 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 226 ▲98 · 1,507.2
- Mixed & Men's Steel Sabre Rank 135 · 1,399.4
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 62 ▲77 · 1,447.5
WIN
1574 37%
7 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 338 ▲221 · 1,459.4
7 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 686 ▲170 · 1,398.1
9 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 825 ▲359 · 1,363.8
8 fights
▾
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1107 · 1,270.1
Steel City Open 2019●
August 2019 · us
17 fights
▾
August 2019 · us
Rating outcome
- Mixed & Men's Steel Longsword Rank 1107 · 1,270.1
- Mixed & Men's Steel Single Rapier Rank 248 · 1,275.7
Duel For The Jewel 2023○
October 2023
No match-level data
9 fights
▾
October 2023
No match-level data
Lake E-Fecht 2023○
December 2023
No match-level data
11 fights
▾
December 2023
No match-level data
Brick City Brawl 2024○
October 2024
No match-level data
8 fights
▾
October 2024
No match-level data
How to read this profile
Rating is Glicko-2: the number shown is score - 2*RD (97.5% confidence lower bound), not raw skill. Inactive fighters "drift down" as RD grows - not because they got worse.
Hemaratings ratings don't factor in match scores, exchange counts, or doubles. Scout's score-margin and style metrics describe HOW a fighter fights, not the rating tier their results earned.
Hemaratings recomputes in batches days-to-weeks after events. A fighter's most recent tournament may not yet be reflected.